Players
2024 Week 5 · Archive

Players — 2024 Week 5

Scoring: Full PPR · 6-pt pass TD

RB fantasy football rankings for Week 5, 2024: projected points with calibrated floor and ceiling ranges and boom/bust odds, sortable by any column.

Archived example week — 2024 Week 5. These are not current projections. Many of these players are still active, so don't use these numbers to set a lineup. Subscribers get the live week. See plans →

This archived week lists every player we projected that week, whatever his team or status today.

Some seasons ahead are not ranked for RB here, because what we have for them doesn't hold up; the seasons offered above are the ones we publish.

Weekly projections for DL, LB and DB are not part of this 2024 Week 5 example; choose the rest of the season or a season ahead to rank them.

# Player Pos Team Mean ↑ Floor Ceiling Boom Bust Profile
RB6 Jordan Mason RB SF 16.5 8.6 27.0 21% 3% steady
RB5 Aaron Jones RB not listed 17.4 10.1 26.8 22% 3% rock solid
RB4 Kyren Williams RB LAR 17.9 10.0 27.8 25% 2% rock solid
RB3 Breece Hall RB NYJ 18.3 10.4 29.1 28% 2% rock solid
RB2 Derrick Henry RB BAL 20.1 11.3 30.4 35% 2% rock solid
RB1 Alvin Kamara RB NO 21.2 13.0 31.5 38% 1% rock solid
  • RB6 · RB · SF
    16.5 mean
    Floor
    8.6
    Ceiling
    27.0
    Boom
    21%
    Bust
    3%
    Profile
    steady
  • RB5 · RB · not listed
    17.4 mean
    Floor
    10.1
    Ceiling
    26.8
    Boom
    22%
    Bust
    3%
    Profile
    rock solid
  • RB4 · RB · LAR
    17.9 mean
    Floor
    10.0
    Ceiling
    27.8
    Boom
    25%
    Bust
    2%
    Profile
    rock solid
  • RB3 · RB · NYJ
    18.3 mean
    Floor
    10.4
    Ceiling
    29.1
    Boom
    28%
    Bust
    2%
    Profile
    rock solid
  • RB2 · RB · BAL
    20.1 mean
    Floor
    11.3
    Ceiling
    30.4
    Boom
    35%
    Bust
    2%
    Profile
    rock solid
  • RB1 · RB · NO
    21.2 mean
    Floor
    13.0
    Ceiling
    31.5
    Boom
    38%
    Bust
    1%
    Profile
    rock solid

Rank shown is position rank (mean desc), independent of the sort you pick.

About these numbers

Team reads “not listed” on 1 of the 6 rows on this board. The badge names the club whose published depth chart listed the player in that week, never the club he is on today — a present-day badge beside an archived week is the wrong answer, so where that week's chart does not list him we name no club rather than guess one. It is not a claim that he was unsigned or that he did not play.

What these columns mean

Team
— The club whose published depth chart listed the player in THAT week, read from the slate's own chart rather than from his club today — these boards can be archived weeks. “not listed” where that week's chart does not list him.
Mean
— The league-rules-aware fantasy-points mean. It already integrates over playing-time and matchup uncertainty, so it is not a best case.
Floor
— The 10th percentile of this player's projected points: 10% of simulated weeks come in below it. It is the lower edge of the calibrated 80% range.
Ceiling
— The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated weeks come in above it. It is the upper edge of the same calibrated 80% range.
Boom
— Chance of a week beating 1.5x the typical starter at this position — the median projection among the players at or above replacement level. A bar for the position, never for the player, so two rows here mean the same thing.
Bust
— Chance of a week under two-thirds of the replacement level: under 6.1 points at this position this week. The replacement level is the points of the best player still free once all 12 teams have filled a starting lineup. Two-thirds is the Boom bar's 1.5x read the other way.
Profile
— Spread and nothing else — no claim about upside. The coefficient of variation (standard deviation divided by mean), bucketed: rock solid below 0.45; steady up to 0.60; swingy up to 0.80; high variance at 0.80 and above. “BYE” instead where the player's club had no game that week — a spread is a claim about a week that is played.
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