Players
2024 Week 5 · Archive

Players — 2024 Week 5

Scoring: Full PPR

WR fantasy football rankings for Week 5, 2024: projected points with calibrated floor and ceiling ranges and boom/bust odds, sortable by any column.

Archived example week — 2024 Week 5. These are not current projections. Many of these players are still active, so don't use these numbers to set a lineup. Subscribers get the live week. See plans →

Team reads “not listed” on 1 of the 6 rows on this board. The badge names the club whose published depth chart listed the player in that week, never the club he is on today — a present-day badge beside an archived week is the wrong answer, so where that week's chart does not list him we name no club rather than guess one. It is not a claim that he was unsigned or that he did not play.

# Player Pos Team Mean Floor Ceiling Boom Bust Profile
WR6 D.K. Metcalf WR SEA 15.1 7.2 25.3 22% 19% steady
WR5 Deebo Samuel WR not listed 15.7 8.9 24.3 23% 11% rock solid
WR4 Stefon Diggs WR HOU 16.4 8.5 26.2 28% 12% steady
WR3 Nico Collins WR HOU 17.1 8.0 28.7 31% 14% steady
WR2 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 17.4 9.1 27.9 35% 12% steady
WR1 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 17.7 8.4 29.5 36% 12% steady
  • WR6 · WR · SEA
    15.1 mean
    Floor
    7.2
    Ceiling
    25.3
    Boom
    22%
    Bust
    19%
    Profile
    steady
  • WR5 · WR · not listed
    15.7 mean
    Floor
    8.9
    Ceiling
    24.3
    Boom
    23%
    Bust
    11%
    Profile
    rock solid
  • WR4 · WR · HOU
    16.4 mean
    Floor
    8.5
    Ceiling
    26.2
    Boom
    28%
    Bust
    12%
    Profile
    steady
  • WR3 · WR · HOU
    17.1 mean
    Floor
    8.0
    Ceiling
    28.7
    Boom
    31%
    Bust
    14%
    Profile
    steady
  • WR2 · WR · CIN
    17.4 mean
    Floor
    9.1
    Ceiling
    27.9
    Boom
    35%
    Bust
    12%
    Profile
    steady
  • WR1 · WR · MIN
    17.7 mean
    Floor
    8.4
    Ceiling
    29.5
    Boom
    36%
    Bust
    12%
    Profile
    steady

What these columns mean

Team
— The club whose published depth chart listed the player in THAT week, read from the slate's own chart rather than from his club today — these boards can be archived weeks. “not listed” where that week's chart does not list him.
Mean
— The league-rules-aware fantasy-points mean. It already integrates over playing-time and matchup uncertainty, so it is not a best case.
Floor
— The 10th percentile of this player's projected points: 10% of simulated weeks come in below it. It is the lower edge of the calibrated 80% range.
Ceiling
— The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated weeks come in above it. It is the upper edge of the same calibrated 80% range.
Boom
— Chance of a week beating 1.5x the typical starter at this position — the median projection among the players at or above replacement level. A bar for the position, never for the player, so two rows here mean the same thing.
Bust
— Chance of finishing below replacement level: the points of the best player still free at this position once all 12 teams have filled a starting lineup.
Profile
— Spread and nothing else — no claim about upside. The coefficient of variation (standard deviation divided by mean), bucketed: rock solid below 0.45; steady up to 0.60; swingy up to 0.80; high variance at 0.80 and above. “BYE” instead where the player's club had no game that week — a spread is a claim about a week that is played (operator action 426).

Rank shown is position rank (mean desc), independent of the sort you pick.

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