Players — 2024 Week 5

What these columns mean

Team

— The club whose published depth chart listed the player in THAT week, read from the slate's own chart rather than from his club today — these boards can be archived weeks. “not listed” where that week's chart does not list him.

Mean

— The league-rules-aware fantasy-points mean. It already integrates over playing-time and matchup uncertainty, so it is not a best case.

Floor

— The 10th percentile of this player's projected points: 10% of simulated weeks come in below it. It is the lower edge of the calibrated 80% range.

Ceiling

— The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated weeks come in above it. It is the upper edge of the same calibrated 80% range.

Boom

— Chance of a week beating 1.5x the typical starter across QB, RB, WR and TE, 23.2 points this week — the typical starter is the median projection among the QB, RB, WR and TE players at or above the SUPERFLEX replacement level. One bar for the whole board, so every row here is measured against the same number, which is not the bar on his own position's tab.

Bust

— Chance of a week under two-thirds of the SUPERFLEX replacement level: under 8.2 points this week. The SUPERFLEX replacement level is the points of the best QB, RB, WR or TE still free once all 12 teams have filled a starting lineup with one flex slot (RB, WR or TE) and one superflex slot (QB, RB, WR or TE). Two-thirds is the Boom bar's 1.5x read the other way. The bar is the pool's, not his own position's.

Profile

— Spread and nothing else — no claim about upside. The coefficient of variation (standard deviation divided by mean), bucketed: rock solid below 0.45; steady up to 0.60; swingy up to 0.80; high variance at 0.80 and above. “BYE” instead where the player's club had no game that week — a spread is a claim about a week that is played.