Players — 2024 Week 5

What these columns mean

Team

— The club whose published depth chart listed the player in THAT week, read from the slate's own chart rather than from his club today — these boards can be archived weeks. “not listed” where that week's chart does not list him.

Mean

— The league-rules-aware fantasy-points mean. It already integrates over playing-time and matchup uncertainty, so it is not a best case.

Floor

— The 10th percentile of this player's projected points: 10% of simulated weeks come in below it. It is the lower edge of the calibrated 80% range.

Ceiling

— The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated weeks come in above it. It is the upper edge of the same calibrated 80% range.

Boom

— Chance of a week beating 1.5x the typical starter at this position — the median projection among the players at or above replacement level. A bar for the position, never for the player, so two rows here mean the same thing.

Bust

— Chance of a week under two-thirds of the replacement level: under 12.4 points at this position this week. The replacement level is the points of the best player still free once all 12 teams have filled a starting lineup. Two-thirds is the Boom bar's 1.5x read the other way.

Profile

— Spread and nothing else — no claim about upside. The coefficient of variation (standard deviation divided by mean), bucketed: rock solid below 0.45; steady up to 0.60; swingy up to 0.80; high variance at 0.80 and above. “BYE” instead where the player's club had no game that week — a spread is a claim about a week that is played.