Players
2024 Week 5 · Archive

Players — 2024 Week 5

Scoring: Full PPR · 6-pt pass TD

RB fantasy football rankings for Week 5, 2024: projected points with calibrated floor and ceiling ranges and boom/bust odds, sortable by any column.

Archived example week — 2024 Week 5. These are not current projections. Many of these players are still active, so don't use these numbers to set a lineup. Subscribers get the live week. See plans →

This archived week lists every player we projected that week, whatever his team or status today.

Some seasons ahead are not ranked for RB here, because what we have for them doesn't hold up; the seasons offered above are the ones we publish.

Weekly projections for DL, LB and DB are not part of this 2024 Week 5 example; choose the rest of the season or a season ahead to rank them.

# Player Pos Team Mean ↓ Floor Ceiling Boom Bust Profile
RB51 Tyler Goodson RB IND 4.2 0.5 8.6 0% 74% high variance
RB52 Ameer Abdullah RB LV 3.6 0.5 8.0 0% 82% high variance
RB53 Alec Ingold RB MIA 3.6 0.7 7.1 0% 84% swingy
RB54 Eric Gray RB NYG 3.5 0.7 7.1 0% 85% high variance
RB55 C.J. Ham RB MIN 2.7 0.1 5.6 0% 92% high variance
RB56 Michael Burton RB DEN 1.8 -0.9 5.0 0% 94% high variance
  • RB51 · RB · IND
    4.2 mean
    Floor
    0.5
    Ceiling
    8.6
    Boom
    0%
    Bust
    74%
    Profile
    high variance
  • RB52 · RB · LV
    3.6 mean
    Floor
    0.5
    Ceiling
    8.0
    Boom
    0%
    Bust
    82%
    Profile
    high variance
  • RB53 · RB · MIA
    3.6 mean
    Floor
    0.7
    Ceiling
    7.1
    Boom
    0%
    Bust
    84%
    Profile
    swingy
  • RB54 · RB · NYG
    3.5 mean
    Floor
    0.7
    Ceiling
    7.1
    Boom
    0%
    Bust
    85%
    Profile
    high variance
  • RB55 · RB · MIN
    2.7 mean
    Floor
    0.1
    Ceiling
    5.6
    Boom
    0%
    Bust
    92%
    Profile
    high variance
  • RB56 · RB · DEN
    1.8 mean
    Floor
    -0.9
    Ceiling
    5.0
    Boom
    0%
    Bust
    94%
    Profile
    high variance

Rank shown is position rank (mean desc), independent of the sort you pick.

About these numbers

What these columns mean

Team
— The club whose published depth chart listed the player in THAT week, read from the slate's own chart rather than from his club today — these boards can be archived weeks. “not listed” where that week's chart does not list him.
Mean
— The league-rules-aware fantasy-points mean. It already integrates over playing-time and matchup uncertainty, so it is not a best case.
Floor
— The 10th percentile of this player's projected points: 10% of simulated weeks come in below it. It is the lower edge of the calibrated 80% range.
Ceiling
— The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated weeks come in above it. It is the upper edge of the same calibrated 80% range.
Boom
— Chance of a week beating 1.5x the typical starter at this position — the median projection among the players at or above replacement level. A bar for the position, never for the player, so two rows here mean the same thing.
Bust
— Chance of a week under two-thirds of the replacement level: under 6.1 points at this position this week. The replacement level is the points of the best player still free once all 12 teams have filled a starting lineup. Two-thirds is the Boom bar's 1.5x read the other way.
Profile
— Spread and nothing else — no claim about upside. The coefficient of variation (standard deviation divided by mean), bucketed: rock solid below 0.45; steady up to 0.60; swingy up to 0.80; high variance at 0.80 and above. “BYE” instead where the player's club had no game that week — a spread is a claim about a week that is played.
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