Players
2024 Week 5 · Archive

Players — 2024 Week 5

Scoring: Full PPR · 6-pt pass TD

RB fantasy football rankings for the rest of the 2024 season, ordered by our projected total (not the “Median” column).

Archived example week — 2024 Week 5. These are not current projections. Many of these players are still active, so don't use these numbers to set a lineup. Subscribers get the live week. See plans →

Today's model, trained only on what was known by 2024 Week 5; some calibration settings were measured on later seasons.

Projected fantasy points for the rest of the 2024 season

# Player Team Median Floor (P10) Ceiling (P90)
1 Christian McCaffrey SF 218.2 73.3 336.4
2 Breece Hall NYJ 214.7 82.6 340.3
3 Bijan Robinson ATL 170.1 68.4 296.4
4 Travis Etienne JAX 173.8 66.1 284.0
5 Derrick Henry BAL 174.6 55.2 281.2
6 Jahmyr Gibbs DET 166.3 71.9 264.3
7 Rachaad White TB 159.6 63.4 285.0
8 Alvin Kamara NO 165.7 93.5 239.9
9 James Cook BUF 152.4 65.8 277.7
10 Jonathan Taylor IND 160.3 96.9 224.3
11 Najee Harris PIT 158.6 54.2 260.5
12 Kenneth Walker III SEA 143.8 53.8 259.3
13 De'Von Achane MIA 151.7 43.9 254.3
14 Kyren Williams LAR 149.3 51.3 247.5
15 Brian Robinson Jr. WAS 151.9 82.1 210.7
16 Saquon Barkley PHI 150.9 35.0 247.2
17 Josh Jacobs GB 142.2 38.5 254.3
18 Jerome Ford CLE 148.4 59.7 224.5
19 Javonte Williams DEN 140.1 78.5 206.6
20 Chuba Hubbard CAR 131.8 46.8 244.8
21 D'Andre Swift CHI 132.1 31.9 241.2
22 Devin Singletary NYG 131.5 38.8 238.7
23 David Montgomery DET 125.9 34.2 238.9
24 Zach Charbonnet SEA 130.6 73.1 196.3
25 Aaron Jones MIN 120.0 53.0 190.0
26 Rhamondre Stevenson NE 111.5 54.0 181.4
27 Tony Pollard TEN 102.9 20.8 219.4
28 Zamir White LV 113.6 61.2 171.1
29 Bucky Irving TB 110.0 61.8 166.2
30 Tyjae Spears TEN 110.3 65.6 159.6
31 J.K. Dobbins LAC 102.2 49.7 179.0
32 Chase Brown CIN 95.9 46.2 156.1
33 AJ Dillon GB 95.6 41.9 155.0
34 Rico Dowdle DAL 96.3 42.9 150.7
35 Tyler Allgeier ATL 95.9 47.3 142.1
36 Keaton Mitchell BAL 89.3 37.6 151.9
37 Tank Bigsby JAX 83.8 44.7 137.2
38 Roschon Johnson CHI 82.9 46.0 128.2
39 Braelon Allen NYJ 81.6 46.9 122.7
40 Jaleel McLaughlin DEN 71.6 41.1 107.0
41 Jaylen Warren PIT 70.8 29.6 116.9
42 Justice Hill BAL 70.2 39.9 106.9
43 Emanuel Wilson GB 65.4 32.4 106.8
44 Tyler Badie DEN 65.6 33.0 99.2
45 Blake Corum LAR 63.7 33.8 102.7
46 Kendre Miller NO 63.5 28.5 102.1
47 MarShawn Lloyd GB 59.5 29.4 100.2
48 Michael Carter ARI 59.6 24.5 103.8
49 Chris Rodriguez WAS 61.9 18.4 108.4
50 Samaje Perine KC 59.0 25.0 101.3
51 Carson Steele KC 55.3 24.1 101.8
52 Jaylen Wright MIA 57.0 24.4 90.7
53 Kyle Juszczyk SF 50.8 20.1 97.3
54 Dameon Pierce HOU 51.2 20.0 91.6
55 Khalil Herbert CHI 52.7 17.1 94.7
56 Ronald Jones KC 53.0 19.9 88.0
57 Pierre Strong CLE 50.7 22.0 83.4
58 Emari Demercado ARI 49.5 19.5 85.9
59 Ray Davis BUF 48.9 20.5 82.9
60 Kenneth Gainwell PHI 47.5 18.5 86.1
61 Isaac Guerendo SF 48.5 17.8 84.2
62 Craig Reynolds DET 45.6 12.9 89.8
63 Ty Johnson BUF 46.8 14.9 86.3
64 Tyrone Tracy NYG 45.2 18.1 80.9
65 Nyheim Hines BUF 44.5 15.2 84.5
66 Eric Gray NYG 43.3 20.0 78.7
67 Salvon Ahmed MIA 43.9 17.2 74.7
68 Ameer Abdullah LV 39.5 16.7 82.0
69 Jalen Richard LV 40.4 8.9 81.7
70 Zonovan Knight DET 40.6 12.1 78.4
71 Travis Homer CHI 38.7 12.9 78.7
72 Ronnie Rivers LAR 40.1 14.4 74.5
73 Will Shipley PHI 36.6 11.0 74.1
74 Dare Ogunbowale HOU 35.1 5.4 81.0
75 Ito Smith DAL 35.4 12.5 72.2
76 DeeJay Dallas ARI 36.6 10.3 70.0
77 Tyler Goodson IND 35.1 9.8 72.2
78 Hunter Luepke DAL 35.0 11.1 69.4
79 Evan Hull IND 34.9 8.9 71.0
80 Velus Jones Jr. CHI 33.8 8.6 69.8
81 Chris Brooks GB 34.7 6.1 69.2
82 Wendell Smallwood WAS 31.0 7.8 67.3
83 Jonathan Ward TEN 32.1 8.0 65.2
84 Reggie Gilliam BUF 30.6 4.3 65.7
85 Julius Chestnut TEN 30.1 4.2 65.2
86 Sione Vaki DET 29.1 4.8 68.1
87 Kene Nwangwu MIN 29.3 8.3 61.6
88 Isaiah Davis NYJ 29.9 5.4 63.6
89 Alec Ingold MIA 29.5 2.6 66.0
90 Andrew Beck HOU 25.7 3.1 68.3
91 Sean Tucker TB 25.3 6.1 58.4
92 Ben VanSumeren PHI 23.7 0.7 62.5
93 Brady Russell SEA 22.3 -0.4 63.0
94 British Brooks HOU 24.4 1.5 56.1
95 Adam Prentice NO 19.9 1.7 56.2
96 Patrick Ricard BAL 15.8 -0.4 55.1
97 Scott Matlock LAC 16.0 0.2 53.0
98 Michael Burton DEN 14.1 -1.5 54.2
  • 218.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    73.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    336.4
  • NYJ
    214.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    82.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    340.3
  • 170.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    68.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    296.4
  • 173.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    66.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    284.0
  • BAL
    174.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    55.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    281.2
  • DET
    166.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    71.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    264.3
  • 159.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    63.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    285.0
  • NO
    165.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    93.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    239.9
  • BUF
    152.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    65.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    277.7
  • IND
    160.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    96.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    224.3
  • PIT
    158.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    54.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    260.5
  • 143.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    53.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    259.3
  • MIA
    151.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    43.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    254.3
  • LAR
    149.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    51.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    247.5
  • 151.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    82.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    210.7
  • PHI
    150.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    35.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    247.2
  • GB
    142.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    38.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    254.3
  • CLE
    148.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    59.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    224.5
  • 140.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    78.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    206.6
  • CAR
    131.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    46.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    244.8
  • CHI
    132.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    31.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    241.2
  • 131.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    38.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    238.7
  • 125.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    34.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    238.9
  • SEA
    130.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    73.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    196.3
  • MIN
    120.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    53.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    190.0
  • 111.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    54.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    181.4
  • TEN
    102.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    20.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    219.4
  • LV
    113.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    61.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    171.1
  • TB
    110.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    61.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    166.2
  • TEN
    110.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    65.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    159.6
  • LAC
    102.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    49.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    179.0
  • CIN
    95.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    46.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    156.1
  • GB
    95.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    41.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    155.0
  • DAL
    96.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    42.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    150.7
  • ATL
    95.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    47.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    142.1
  • BAL
    89.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    37.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    151.9
  • JAX
    83.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    44.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    137.2
  • CHI
    82.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    46.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    128.2
  • NYJ
    81.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    46.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    122.7
  • 71.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    41.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    107.0
  • PIT
    70.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    29.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    116.9
  • BAL
    70.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    39.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    106.9
  • 65.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    32.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    106.8
  • DEN
    65.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    33.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    99.2
  • LAR
    63.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    33.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    102.7
  • NO
    63.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    28.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    102.1
  • 59.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    29.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    100.2
  • ARI
    59.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    24.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    103.8
  • WAS
    61.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    18.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    108.4
  • KC
    59.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    25.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    101.3
  • KC
    55.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    24.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    101.8
  • MIA
    57.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    24.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    90.7
  • SF
    50.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    20.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    97.3
  • HOU
    51.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    20.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    91.6
  • CHI
    52.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    17.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    94.7
  • KC
    53.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    19.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    88.0
  • CLE
    50.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    22.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    83.4
  • ARI
    49.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    19.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    85.9
  • BUF
    48.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    20.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    82.9
  • 47.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    18.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    86.1
  • 48.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    17.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    84.2
  • DET
    45.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    12.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    89.8
  • BUF
    46.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    14.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    86.3
  • NYG
    45.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    18.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    80.9
  • BUF
    44.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    15.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    84.5
  • NYG
    43.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    20.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    78.7
  • MIA
    43.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    17.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    74.7
  • 39.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    16.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    82.0
  • LV
    40.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    8.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    81.7
  • DET
    40.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    12.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    78.4
  • CHI
    38.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    12.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    78.7
  • LAR
    40.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    14.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    74.5
  • PHI
    36.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    11.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    74.1
  • HOU
    35.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    5.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    81.0
  • DAL
    35.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    12.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    72.2
  • ARI
    36.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    10.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    70.0
  • IND
    35.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    9.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    72.2
  • DAL
    35.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    11.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    69.4
  • IND
    34.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    8.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    71.0
  • CHI
    33.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    8.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    69.8
  • GB
    34.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    6.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    69.2
  • 31.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    7.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    67.3
  • TEN
    32.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    8.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    65.2
  • BUF
    30.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    65.7
  • TEN
    30.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    65.2
  • DET
    29.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    68.1
  • MIN
    29.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    8.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    61.6
  • NYJ
    29.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    5.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    63.6
  • MIA
    29.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    66.0
  • HOU
    25.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    3.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    68.3
  • TB
    25.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    6.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    58.4
  • PHI
    23.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    62.5
  • SEA
    22.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    -0.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    63.0
  • HOU
    24.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    56.1
  • NO
    19.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    56.2
  • BAL
    15.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    -0.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    55.1
  • LAC
    16.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    53.0
  • DEN
    14.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    -1.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    54.2

Ordered by our projected total for the rest of the 2024 season, which is not the “Median” column: a row can rank above one with a larger “Median”.

About these numbers

Some seasons ahead are not ranked for RB here, because what we have for them doesn't hold up; the seasons offered above are the ones we publish.

What these columns mean

Team
— His club today, from the current roster — not a week's depth chart, because these figures are for the rest of the 2024 season rather than for one game.
Median
— The middle of our projected fantasy points for the rest of the 2024 season: half of the simulated outcomes come in above it.
Floor (P10)
— The 10th percentile of the same projection: 10% of simulated outcomes come in below it.
Ceiling (P90)
— The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated outcomes come in above it.
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