Players
2026 Week 1
Showing 2026 Week 1, a week already played. Each row is the projection that was on the board when that player's game kicked off, beside what actually happened. The live week is 2026 Week 7.

Players — 2026 Week 1

Scoring: Full PPR · 6-pt pass TD · IDP

DB fantasy football rankings for Week 1, 2026: projected points with calibrated floor and ceiling ranges and boom/bust odds, sortable by any column.

This archived week lists every player we projected that week, whatever his team or status today.

Week 1: 101 of 186 DB with a recorded result finished inside their 80% range (54%).

This season through Week 1: 101 of 186 (54%).

An 80% range is meant to miss about one time in five, so a week near 80% is on target. Every played week is listed, the bad ones too.

Results as recorded on 2026-10-15 (UTC); an NFL stat correction can still move one.

This is a played week, shown for the record. This week's projections are for subscribers.

This is a played week, shown as it stood at each game's kickoff. Rest-of-season and season-ahead rankings are shown for the live week only: this page cannot yet show them as they stood that week, and today's would be a later ranking under this week's label.

# Player Pos Team Mean ↓ Floor Ceiling Result In range
DB1 Brian Branch DB DET 15.1 9.0 21.2 — —
DB2 Budda Baker DB ARI 14.9 8.7 21.5 13.0 Landed
DB3 Xavier McKinney DB GB 14.6 7.8 22.2 6.0 Missed
DB4 Jeremy Chinn DB LV 14.2 8.6 19.9 12.0 Landed
DB5 Antoine Winfield Jr.
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
DB TB 14.0 8.4 19.7 16.0 Landed
DB6 Derwin James
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
DB LAC 14.0 8.2 20.1 20.0 Landed
DB7 Nick Cross DB WAS 13.9 8.9 19.1 17.0 Landed
DB8 Devon Witherspoon DB SEA 13.9 8.7 19.1 6.0 Missed
DB9 Jaquan Brisker DB PIT 13.8 8.3 19.7 19.0 Landed
DB10 Jessie Bates III DB ATL 13.8 8.2 19.3 9.0 Landed
DB11 Kevin Byard DB NE 13.6 8.0 19.0 7.0 Missed
DB12 Minkah Fitzpatrick DB NYJ 13.5 8.7 18.8 — —
DB13 Harrison Smith DB MIN 13.4 8.1 18.9 5.0 Missed
DB14 Alontae Taylor DB TEN 13.4 6.8 19.8 9.0 Landed
DB15 Kyle Hamilton DB BAL 13.3 7.8 18.7 10.0 Landed
DB16 Grant Delpit DB CLE 13.3 7.1 18.5 7.0 Missed
DB17 Malachi Moore DB NYJ 13.2 7.9 18.8 — —
DB18 Kamren Curl DB LAR 13.2 8.3 18.1 4.0 Missed
DB19 Riley Moss DB DEN 13.1 7.7 18.5 12.0 Landed
DB20 Jalen Pitre
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
DB HOU 13.0 8.6 17.8 13.0 Landed
DB21 DeShon Elliott DB PIT 13.0 8.3 17.6 — —
DB22 Tre'von Moehrig DB CAR 12.9 7.4 19.4 3.0 Missed
DB23 Xavier Watts DB ATL 12.9 7.7 18.3 6.0 Missed
DB24 Julian Love DB SEA 12.9 7.8 17.6 23.0 Missed
DB25 Camryn Bynum DB IND 12.8 8.0 17.6 14.0 Landed
DB26 Josh Metellus DB MIN 12.8 8.0 17.3 7.0 Missed
DB27 Kamari Lassiter DB HOU 12.7 6.8 19.4 9.0 Landed
DB28 Quentin Lake DB LAR 12.7 6.8 19.2 32.0 Missed
DB29 DaRon Bland DB DAL 12.7 8.1 17.4 11.0 Landed
DB30 Damar Hamlin DB BUF 12.6 7.5 17.7 2.0 Missed
DB31 Paulson Adebo DB NYG 12.6 7.4 18.8 4.0 Missed
DB32 Kyle Dugger
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
DB CIN 12.6 7.6 17.9 — —
DB33 Brandon Jones DB DEN 12.5 7.5 17.8 15.0 Landed
DB34 Dane Belton DB NYJ 12.5 6.2 18.3 3.0 Missed
DB35 Kerby Joseph
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
DB DET 12.5 7.1 17.4 — —
DB36 Marlon Humphrey DB BAL 12.4 7.3 18.0 16.0 Landed
DB37 Reed Blankenship
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
DB HOU 12.4 7.8 16.9 10.0 Landed
DB38 Nick Scott DB CAR 12.3 6.5 18.6 12.0 Landed
DB39 L'Jarius Sneed DB KC 12.3 6.7 17.7 15.0 Landed
DB40 Michael Jackson DB CAR 12.3 6.2 18.6 4.0 Missed
DB41 Taylor Rapp DB DEN 12.3 7.2 17.8 — —
DB42 Daxton Hill DB CIN 12.3 7.7 16.9 14.0 Landed
DB43 Jordan Battle DB CIN 12.1 8.0 16.1 11.0 Landed
DB44 Mike Sainristil DB WAS 12.1 6.6 17.5 11.0 Landed
DB45 Tykee Smith DB TB 12.1 6.3 18.2 10.0 Landed
DB46 Charvarius Ward DB IND 12.1 6.8 17.3 4.0 Missed
DB47 Malik Mustapha DB SF 12.0 7.0 17.3 3.0 Missed
DB48 Tyler Nubin DB NYG 12.0 7.2 17.0 6.0 Missed
DB49 Zyon McCollum DB TB 11.9 6.7 16.5 25.0 Missed
DB50 Micah Robinson DB TEN 11.9 6.6 17.2 — —
  • DB1 · DB · DET
    15.1 mean
    Floor
    9.0
    Ceiling
    21.2
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • DB2 · DB · ARI
    14.9 mean
    Floor
    8.7
    Ceiling
    21.5
    Result
    13.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB3 · DB · GB
    14.6 mean
    Floor
    7.8
    Ceiling
    22.2
    Result
    6.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB4 · DB · LV
    14.2 mean
    Floor
    8.6
    Ceiling
    19.9
    Result
    12.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB5 · DB · TB
    14.0 mean
    Floor
    8.4
    Ceiling
    19.7
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    16.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB6 · DB · LAC
    14.0 mean
    Floor
    8.2
    Ceiling
    20.1
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    20.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB7 · DB · WAS
    13.9 mean
    Floor
    8.9
    Ceiling
    19.1
    Result
    17.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB8 · DB · SEA
    13.9 mean
    Floor
    8.7
    Ceiling
    19.1
    Result
    6.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB9 · DB · PIT
    13.8 mean
    Floor
    8.3
    Ceiling
    19.7
    Result
    19.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB10 · DB · ATL
    13.8 mean
    Floor
    8.2
    Ceiling
    19.3
    Result
    9.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB11 · DB · NE
    13.6 mean
    Floor
    8.0
    Ceiling
    19.0
    Result
    7.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB12 · DB · NYJ
    13.5 mean
    Floor
    8.7
    Ceiling
    18.8
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • DB13 · DB · MIN
    13.4 mean
    Floor
    8.1
    Ceiling
    18.9
    Result
    5.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB14 · DB · TEN
    13.4 mean
    Floor
    6.8
    Ceiling
    19.8
    Result
    9.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB15 · DB · BAL
    13.3 mean
    Floor
    7.8
    Ceiling
    18.7
    Result
    10.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB16 · DB · CLE
    13.3 mean
    Floor
    7.1
    Ceiling
    18.5
    Result
    7.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB17 · DB · NYJ
    13.2 mean
    Floor
    7.9
    Ceiling
    18.8
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • DB18 · DB · LAR
    13.2 mean
    Floor
    8.3
    Ceiling
    18.1
    Result
    4.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB19 · DB · DEN
    13.1 mean
    Floor
    7.7
    Ceiling
    18.5
    Result
    12.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB20 · DB · HOU
    13.0 mean
    Floor
    8.6
    Ceiling
    17.8
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    13.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB21 · DB · PIT
    13.0 mean
    Floor
    8.3
    Ceiling
    17.6
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • DB22 · DB · CAR
    12.9 mean
    Floor
    7.4
    Ceiling
    19.4
    Result
    3.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB23 · DB · ATL
    12.9 mean
    Floor
    7.7
    Ceiling
    18.3
    Result
    6.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB24 · DB · SEA
    12.9 mean
    Floor
    7.8
    Ceiling
    17.6
    Result
    23.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB25 · DB · IND
    12.8 mean
    Floor
    8.0
    Ceiling
    17.6
    Result
    14.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB26 · DB · MIN
    12.8 mean
    Floor
    8.0
    Ceiling
    17.3
    Result
    7.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB27 · DB · HOU
    12.7 mean
    Floor
    6.8
    Ceiling
    19.4
    Result
    9.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB28 · DB · LAR
    12.7 mean
    Floor
    6.8
    Ceiling
    19.2
    Result
    32.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB29 · DB · DAL
    12.7 mean
    Floor
    8.1
    Ceiling
    17.4
    Result
    11.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB30 · DB · BUF
    12.6 mean
    Floor
    7.5
    Ceiling
    17.7
    Result
    2.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB31 · DB · NYG
    12.6 mean
    Floor
    7.4
    Ceiling
    18.8
    Result
    4.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB32 · DB · CIN
    12.6 mean
    Floor
    7.6
    Ceiling
    17.9
    Availability
    Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • DB33 · DB · DEN
    12.5 mean
    Floor
    7.5
    Ceiling
    17.8
    Result
    15.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB34 · DB · NYJ
    12.5 mean
    Floor
    6.2
    Ceiling
    18.3
    Result
    3.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB35 · DB · DET
    12.5 mean
    Floor
    7.1
    Ceiling
    17.4
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • DB36 · DB · BAL
    12.4 mean
    Floor
    7.3
    Ceiling
    18.0
    Result
    16.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB37 · DB · HOU
    12.4 mean
    Floor
    7.8
    Ceiling
    16.9
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    10.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB38 · DB · CAR
    12.3 mean
    Floor
    6.5
    Ceiling
    18.6
    Result
    12.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB39 · DB · KC
    12.3 mean
    Floor
    6.7
    Ceiling
    17.7
    Result
    15.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB40 · DB · CAR
    12.3 mean
    Floor
    6.2
    Ceiling
    18.6
    Result
    4.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB41 · DB · DEN
    12.3 mean
    Floor
    7.2
    Ceiling
    17.8
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • DB42 · DB · CIN
    12.3 mean
    Floor
    7.7
    Ceiling
    16.9
    Result
    14.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB43 · DB · CIN
    12.1 mean
    Floor
    8.0
    Ceiling
    16.1
    Result
    11.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB44 · DB · WAS
    12.1 mean
    Floor
    6.6
    Ceiling
    17.5
    Result
    11.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB45 · DB · TB
    12.1 mean
    Floor
    6.3
    Ceiling
    18.2
    Result
    10.0
    In range
    Landed
  • DB46 · DB · IND
    12.1 mean
    Floor
    6.8
    Ceiling
    17.3
    Result
    4.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB47 · DB · SF
    12.0 mean
    Floor
    7.0
    Ceiling
    17.3
    Result
    3.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB48 · DB · NYG
    12.0 mean
    Floor
    7.2
    Ceiling
    17.0
    Result
    6.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB49 · DB · TB
    11.9 mean
    Floor
    6.7
    Ceiling
    16.5
    Result
    25.0
    In range
    Missed
  • DB50 · DB · TEN
    11.9 mean
    Floor
    6.6
    Ceiling
    17.2
    Result
    —
    In range
    —

Rank shown is position rank (mean desc), independent of the sort you pick.

About these numbers

What these columns mean

Team
— The club whose published depth chart listed the player in THAT week, read from the slate's own chart rather than from his club today — these boards can be archived weeks. “not listed” where that week's chart does not list him.
Mean
— The league-rules-aware fantasy-points mean. It already integrates over playing-time and matchup uncertainty, so it is not a best case.
Floor
— The 10th percentile of this player's projected points: 10% of simulated weeks come in below it. It is the lower edge of the calibrated 80% range.
Ceiling
— The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated weeks come in above it. It is the upper edge of the same calibrated 80% range.
Result
— the fantasy points he actually scored that week, under the same scoring format as the projection, from his recorded stat line. A dash means no result is recorded for him: he did not play, or his stat line is missing a stat this format scores.
In range
— Landed when the result fell inside the printed Floor-to-Ceiling range (the 80% range), Missed when it fell outside. Each row is the projection on the board when his game kicked off, not a later update.

What this scoring format pays for

Points on this board are scored at: defensive touchdown 6, interception 6, sack 6, forced fumble 3, fumble recovery 3, pass defensed 3, solo tackle 2, tackle for loss 2, quarterback hit 1, assisted tackle 1.

This format also scores a blocked kick (3) and a safety (3), which we do not project at all — that leg is missing from these totals rather than counted as zero.

  • © 2026 Downfield Forecast LLC
  • About
  • League audit
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Cookies
  • Disclaimer
  • Acceptable Use
  • Consent Preferences
  • Contact