Showing 2026 Week 3, a week already played.
Each row is the projection that was on the board when that player's game kicked off, beside what
actually happened. The live week is 2026 Week 7.
Players — 2026 Week 3
Scoring: Full PPR · 6-pt pass TD
QB fantasy football rankings for Week 3, 2026: projected points with calibrated floor and ceiling ranges and boom/bust odds, sortable by any column.
This archived week lists every player we projected that week, whatever his team or status today.
Week 3: 31 of 37 QB with a recorded result finished inside their 80% range (84%).
This season through Week 3: 81 of 112 (72%).
An 80% range is meant to miss about one time in five, so a week near 80% is on target. Every played week is listed, the bad ones too.
Results as recorded on 2026-10-15 (UTC); an NFL stat correction can still move one.
This is a played week, shown for the record. This week's projections are for subscribers.
This is a played week, shown as it stood at each game's kickoff. Rest-of-season and season-ahead rankings are shown for the live week only: this page cannot yet show them as they stood that week, and today's would be a later ranking under this week's label.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | Mean ↓ | Floor | Ceiling | Result | In range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB1 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 28.0 | 12.2 | 44.6 | 19.5 | Landed |
| QB2 |
Lamar Jackson
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
QB | BAL | 26.8 | 10.6 | 44.3 | 24.4 | Landed |
| QB3 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 25.9 | 9.1 | 42.9 | 39.3 | Landed |
| QB4 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 24.5 | 8.9 | 41.3 | 23.4 | Landed |
| QB5 | Patrick Mahomes II | QB | KC | 24.3 | 8.4 | 40.1 | 20.9 | Landed |
| QB6 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 23.5 | 8.7 | 37.8 | 18.9 | Landed |
| QB7 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 23.2 | 9.9 | 36.9 | 28.6 | Landed |
| QB8 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 23.2 | 8.7 | 38.2 | 23.5 | Landed |
| QB9 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 21.4 | 6.2 | 37.4 | 26.9 | Landed |
| QB10 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 21.3 | 6.4 | 36.3 | 32.8 | Landed |
| QB11 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 21.2 | 7.7 | 36.7 | 13.7 | Landed |
| QB12 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 21.0 | 7.5 | 36.1 | 5.8 | Missed |
| QB13 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 20.9 | 7.4 | 35.5 | 15.7 | Landed |
| QB14 | Michael Penix | QB | ATL | 20.8 | 7.6 | 33.9 | 15.0 | Landed |
| QB15 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 20.7 | 7.3 | 35.2 | 14.3 | Landed |
| QB16 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 20.6 | 7.5 | 35.0 | 26.8 | Landed |
| QB17 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 20.4 | 5.8 | 35.9 | 25.1 | Landed |
| QB18 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 19.6 | 5.4 | 35.3 | 10.9 | Landed |
| QB19 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 19.5 | 5.8 | 32.6 | 16.6 | Landed |
| QB20 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 19.5 | 6.8 | 32.3 | 29.7 | Landed |
| QB21 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 19.0 | 6.3 | 32.9 | 22.3 | Landed |
| QB22 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 18.4 | 4.4 | 33.2 | 11.0 | Landed |
| QB23 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 17.9 | 4.4 | 32.2 | 28.2 | Landed |
| QB24 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 17.7 | 4.2 | 32.0 | 30.0 | Landed |
| QB25 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 17.4 | 3.4 | 32.9 | 13.4 | Landed |
| QB26 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 17.2 | 4.7 | 31.9 | 29.6 | Landed |
| QB27 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 17.1 | 3.9 | 31.0 | 12.4 | Landed |
| QB28 |
Marcus Mariota
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
QB | WAS | 16.4 | 2.5 | 31.0 | 26.4 | Landed |
| QB29 | Jameis Winston | QB | NYG | 16.2 | 2.7 | 31.8 | 6.1 | Landed |
| QB30 | Easton Stick | QB | not listed | 14.6 | 2.4 | 28.5 | — | — |
| QB31 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 14.4 | 0.9 | 30.3 | 37.7 | Missed |
| QB32 |
Tyson Bagent
Questionable — we expect him to play, so this is not zeroed for missing time, but it is trimmed for his practice status.
|
QB | CHI | 13.7 | 0.4 | 30.2 | — | — |
| QB33 |
Drew Lock
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
QB | SEA | 13.0 | 0.2 | 28.7 | — | — |
| QB34 | Jake Browning | QB | not listed | 11.7 | 0.0 | 25.6 | — | — |
| QB35 | Carson Wentz | QB | MIN | 11.6 | 0.3 | 24.9 | — | — |
| QB36 | Will Levis | QB | not listed | 10.7 | 0.0 | 23.8 | — | — |
| QB37 |
Tyler Huntley
Listed QB2 · BAL
|
QB | BAL | 10.3 | -0.4 | 26.8 | — | — |
| QB38 | Joe Milton | QB | not listed | 10.2 | -0.6 | 25.4 | — | — |
| QB39 |
Case Keenum
Listed QB3 · CHI — Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
QB | CHI | 9.6 | -0.5 | 24.4 | 28.5 | Missed |
| QB40 |
Aidan O'Connell
Listed QB3 · LV — Questionable — we expect him to play, so this is not zeroed for missing time, but it is trimmed for his practice status.
|
QB | LV | 9.4 | -0.1 | 21.5 | — | — |
| QB41 |
Fernando Mendoza
Listed QB2 · LV — About 40% chance he plays — listed behind the starter on the depth chart. When he plays we project his full workload; the rest of the time, nothing.
|
QB | LV | 9.0 | 0.0 | 31.1 | — | — |
| QB42 | Josh Johnson | QB | not listed | 9.0 | -0.9 | 24.3 | — | — |
| QB43 |
Max Brosmer
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
QB | not listed | 8.6 | -1.5 | 23.9 | — | — |
| QB44 | Hendon Hooker | QB | not listed | 8.4 | -1.6 | 23.5 | — | — |
| QB45 | Nick Mullens | QB | not listed | 8.4 | -1.3 | 25.9 | — | — |
| QB46 | Shane Buechele | QB | not listed | 8.3 | -1.7 | 25.5 | — | — |
| QB47 | Brett Rypien | QB | not listed | 7.9 | -1.8 | 24.5 | — | — |
| QB48 | Sean Clifford | QB | not listed | 7.6 | -2.1 | 25.1 | — | — |
| QB49 |
Jake Haener
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
QB | not listed | 7.2 | -1.7 | 23.5 | — | — |
| QB50 | Kyle Trask | QB | not listed | 7.1 | -1.7 | 21.3 | — | — |
-
QB1 · QB · BUF28.0 mean
- Floor
- 12.2
- Ceiling
- 44.6
- Result
- 19.5
- In range
- Landed
-
QB2 · QB · BAL26.8 mean
- Floor
- 10.6
- Ceiling
- 44.3
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 24.4
- In range
- Landed
-
QB3 · QB · SF25.9 mean
- Floor
- 9.1
- Ceiling
- 42.9
- Result
- 39.3
- In range
- Landed
-
QB4 · QB · DET24.5 mean
- Floor
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 41.3
- Result
- 23.4
- In range
- Landed
-
QB5 · QB · KC24.3 mean
- Floor
- 8.4
- Ceiling
- 40.1
- Result
- 20.9
- In range
- Landed
-
QB6 · QB · DAL23.5 mean
- Floor
- 8.7
- Ceiling
- 37.8
- Result
- 18.9
- In range
- Landed
-
QB7 · QB · CIN23.2 mean
- Floor
- 9.9
- Ceiling
- 36.9
- Result
- 28.6
- In range
- Landed
-
QB8 · QB · GB23.2 mean
- Floor
- 8.7
- Ceiling
- 38.2
- Result
- 23.5
- In range
- Landed
-
QB9 · QB · LAR21.4 mean
- Floor
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 37.4
- Result
- 26.9
- In range
- Landed
-
QB10 · QB · NO21.3 mean
- Floor
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 36.3
- Result
- 32.8
- In range
- Landed
-
QB11 · QB · HOU21.2 mean
- Floor
- 7.7
- Ceiling
- 36.7
- Result
- 13.7
- In range
- Landed
-
QB12 · QB · NE21.0 mean
- Floor
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 36.1
- Result
- 5.8
- In range
- Missed
-
QB13 · QB · LAC20.9 mean
- Floor
- 7.4
- Ceiling
- 35.5
- Result
- 15.7
- In range
- Landed
-
QB14 · QB · ATL20.8 mean
- Floor
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 33.9
- Result
- 15.0
- In range
- Landed
-
QB15 · QB · TB20.7 mean
- Floor
- 7.3
- Ceiling
- 35.2
- Result
- 14.3
- In range
- Landed
-
QB16 · QB · JAX20.6 mean
- Floor
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 35.0
- Result
- 26.8
- In range
- Landed
-
QB17 · QB · DEN20.4 mean
- Floor
- 5.8
- Ceiling
- 35.9
- Result
- 25.1
- In range
- Landed
-
QB18 · QB · IND19.6 mean
- Floor
- 5.4
- Ceiling
- 35.3
- Result
- 10.9
- In range
- Landed
-
QB19 · QB · CAR19.5 mean
- Floor
- 5.8
- Ceiling
- 32.6
- Result
- 16.6
- In range
- Landed
-
QB20 · QB · PIT19.5 mean
- Floor
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 32.3
- Result
- 29.7
- In range
- Landed
-
QB21 · QB · CLE19.0 mean
- Floor
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 32.9
- Result
- 22.3
- In range
- Landed
-
QB22 · QB · MIA18.4 mean
- Floor
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 33.2
- Result
- 11.0
- In range
- Landed
-
QB23 · QB · LV17.9 mean
- Floor
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 32.2
- Result
- 28.2
- In range
- Landed
-
QB24 · QB · NYJ17.7 mean
- Floor
- 4.2
- Ceiling
- 32.0
- Result
- 30.0
- In range
- Landed
-
QB25 · QB · MIN17.4 mean
- Floor
- 3.4
- Ceiling
- 32.9
- Result
- 13.4
- In range
- Landed
-
QB26 · QB · ARI17.2 mean
- Floor
- 4.7
- Ceiling
- 31.9
- Result
- 29.6
- In range
- Landed
-
QB27 · QB · TEN17.1 mean
- Floor
- 3.9
- Ceiling
- 31.0
- Result
- 12.4
- In range
- Landed
-
QB28 · QB · WAS16.4 mean
- Floor
- 2.5
- Ceiling
- 31.0
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 26.4
- In range
- Landed
-
QB29 · QB · NYG16.2 mean
- Floor
- 2.7
- Ceiling
- 31.8
- Result
- 6.1
- In range
- Landed
-
QB30 · QB · not listed14.6 mean
- Floor
- 2.4
- Ceiling
- 28.5
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB31 · QB · SEA14.4 mean
- Floor
- 0.9
- Ceiling
- 30.3
- Result
- 37.7
- In range
- Missed
-
QB32 · QB · CHI13.7 mean
- Floor
- 0.4
- Ceiling
- 30.2
- Availability
- Questionable — we expect him to play, so this is not zeroed for missing time, but it is trimmed for his practice status.
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB33 · QB · SEA13.0 mean
- Floor
- 0.2
- Ceiling
- 28.7
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB34 · QB · not listed11.7 mean
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 25.6
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB35 · QB · MIN11.6 mean
- Floor
- 0.3
- Ceiling
- 24.9
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB36 · QB · not listed10.7 mean
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 23.8
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB37 · QB · BAL10.3 mean
- Floor
- -0.4
- Ceiling
- 26.8
- Availability
- Listed QB2 · BAL
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB38 · QB · not listed10.2 mean
- Floor
- -0.6
- Ceiling
- 25.4
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB39 · QB · CHI9.6 mean
- Floor
- -0.5
- Ceiling
- 24.4
- Availability
- Listed QB3 · CHI — Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 28.5
- In range
- Missed
-
QB40 · QB · LV9.4 mean
- Floor
- -0.1
- Ceiling
- 21.5
- Availability
- Listed QB3 · LV — Questionable — we expect him to play, so this is not zeroed for missing time, but it is trimmed for his practice status.
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB41 · QB · LV9.0 mean
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 31.1
- Availability
- Listed QB2 · LV — About 40% chance he plays — listed behind the starter on the depth chart. When he plays we project his full workload; the rest of the time, nothing.
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB42 · QB · not listed9.0 mean
- Floor
- -0.9
- Ceiling
- 24.3
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB43 · QB · not listed8.6 mean
- Floor
- -1.5
- Ceiling
- 23.9
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB44 · QB · not listed8.4 mean
- Floor
- -1.6
- Ceiling
- 23.5
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB45 · QB · not listed8.4 mean
- Floor
- -1.3
- Ceiling
- 25.9
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB46 · QB · not listed8.3 mean
- Floor
- -1.7
- Ceiling
- 25.5
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB47 · QB · not listed7.9 mean
- Floor
- -1.8
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB48 · QB · not listed7.6 mean
- Floor
- -2.1
- Ceiling
- 25.1
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB49 · QB · not listed7.2 mean
- Floor
- -1.7
- Ceiling
- 23.5
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB50 · QB · not listed7.1 mean
- Floor
- -1.7
- Ceiling
- 21.3
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
Rank shown is position rank (mean desc), independent of the sort you pick.
About these numbers
Team reads “not listed” on 13 of the 50 rows on this board. The badge names the club whose published depth chart listed the player in that week, never the club he is on today — a present-day badge beside an archived week is the wrong answer, so where that week's chart does not list him we name no club rather than guess one. It is not a claim that he was unsigned or that he did not play.
What these columns mean
- Team
- — The club whose published depth chart listed the player in THAT week, read from the slate's own chart rather than from his club today — these boards can be archived weeks. “not listed” where that week's chart does not list him.
- Mean
- — The league-rules-aware fantasy-points mean. It already integrates over playing-time and matchup uncertainty, so it is not a best case.
- Floor
- — The 10th percentile of this player's projected points: 10% of simulated weeks come in below it. It is the lower edge of the calibrated 80% range.
- Ceiling
- — The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated weeks come in above it. It is the upper edge of the same calibrated 80% range.
- Result
- — the fantasy points he actually scored that week, under the same scoring format as the projection, from his recorded stat line. A dash means no result is recorded for him: he did not play, or his stat line is missing a stat this format scores.
- In range
- — Landed when the result fell inside the printed Floor-to-Ceiling range (the 80% range), Missed when it fell outside. Each row is the projection on the board when his game kicked off, not a later update.