Showing 2026 Week 4, a week already played.
Each row is the projection that was on the board when that player's game kicked off, beside what
actually happened. The live week is 2026 Week 7.
Players — 2026 Week 4
Scoring: Full PPR · 6-pt pass TD
QB fantasy football rankings for Week 4, 2026: projected points with calibrated floor and ceiling ranges and boom/bust odds, sortable by any column.
This archived week lists every player we projected that week, whatever his team or status today.
Week 4: 33 of 34 QB with a recorded result finished inside their 80% range (97%).
This season through Week 4: 114 of 146 (78%).
An 80% range is meant to miss about one time in five, so a week near 80% is on target. Every played week is listed, the bad ones too.
Results as recorded on 2026-10-15 (UTC); an NFL stat correction can still move one.
This is a played week, shown for the record. This week's projections are for subscribers.
This is a played week, shown as it stood at each game's kickoff. Rest-of-season and season-ahead rankings are shown for the live week only: this page cannot yet show them as they stood that week, and today's would be a later ranking under this week's label.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | Mean ↓ | Floor | Ceiling | Result | In range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB1 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 27.0 | 7.3 | 45.3 | 21.5 | Landed |
| QB2 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 23.9 | 7.9 | 38.7 | 27.7 | Landed |
| QB3 |
Lamar Jackson
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
QB | BAL | 23.0 | 4.2 | 41.4 | 22.9 | Landed |
| QB4 | Patrick Mahomes II | QB | KC | 22.9 | 5.5 | 38.6 | 21.0 | Landed |
| QB5 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 22.7 | 7.4 | 38.1 | 23.6 | Landed |
| QB6 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 22.2 | 5.9 | 37.6 | 22.5 | Landed |
| QB7 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 20.9 | 3.4 | 39.0 | 11.7 | Landed |
| QB8 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 20.7 | 4.2 | 35.2 | 20.1 | Landed |
| QB9 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 20.4 | 4.3 | 37.5 | 27.1 | Landed |
| QB10 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 20.2 | 3.6 | 37.4 | 17.9 | Landed |
| QB11 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 19.9 | 4.8 | 34.6 | 15.1 | Landed |
| QB12 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 19.8 | 4.9 | 35.9 | 15.9 | Landed |
| QB13 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 19.7 | 4.1 | 35.5 | 25.5 | Landed |
| QB14 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 19.3 | 3.2 | 35.1 | 31.2 | Landed |
| QB15 | Michael Penix | QB | ATL | 19.2 | 2.9 | 33.5 | 14.7 | Landed |
| QB16 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 19.1 | 3.1 | 33.7 | 15.6 | Landed |
| QB17 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 18.4 | 2.3 | 34.1 | 18.1 | Landed |
| QB18 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 18.2 | 2.3 | 35.9 | 8.9 | Landed |
| QB19 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 18.1 | 2.5 | 33.3 | 13.6 | Landed |
| QB20 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 17.7 | 5.3 | 30.8 | 28.2 | Landed |
| QB21 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 17.5 | 1.6 | 33.2 | 25.6 | Landed |
| QB22 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 17.2 | 1.6 | 31.4 | 17.4 | Landed |
| QB23 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 17.0 | 0.7 | 34.1 | 18.3 | Landed |
| QB24 |
Marcus Mariota
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
QB | WAS | 16.9 | 1.3 | 32.6 | 5.3 | Landed |
| QB25 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 16.2 | 0.7 | 32.5 | 11.5 | Landed |
| QB26 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 15.9 | 0.4 | 32.0 | 2.5 | Landed |
| QB27 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 15.1 | 0.9 | 29.3 | 10.8 | Landed |
| QB28 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 15.0 | 0.0 | 31.2 | 16.6 | Landed |
| QB29 | Jameis Winston | QB | NYG | 13.9 | 0.0 | 30.3 | 26.0 | Landed |
| QB30 | Easton Stick | QB | not listed | 10.7 | -0.5 | 23.3 | — | — |
| QB31 |
Tyson Bagent
Listed QB3 · CHI
|
QB | CHI | 9.7 | -0.8 | 23.0 | 9.8 | Landed |
| QB32 |
Jalon Daniels
Listed QB2 · TB
|
QB | TB | 9.5 | -1.4 | 23.1 | 15.4 | Landed |
| QB33 |
Case Keenum
Listed QB2 · CHI — Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
QB | CHI | 8.3 | -1.1 | 20.7 | 0.0 | Landed |
| QB34 |
Jack Strand
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
QB | ATL | 7.7 | 0.0 | 17.0 | — | — |
| QB35 | Athan Kaliakmanis | QB | WAS | 7.0 | -1.3 | 18.6 | — | — |
| QB36 |
Fernando Mendoza
Listed QB2 · LV — About 40% chance he plays — listed behind the starter on the depth chart. When he plays we project his full workload; the rest of the time, nothing.
|
QB | LV | 6.9 | 0.0 | 23.5 | — | — |
| QB37 |
Aidan O'Connell
Listed QB3 · LV — Questionable — we expect him to play, so this is not zeroed for missing time, but it is trimmed for his practice status.
|
QB | LV | 6.4 | -1.6 | 17.9 | — | — |
| QB38 |
Joe Fagnano
Listed QB3 · BAL
|
QB | BAL | 6.4 | 0.0 | 14.3 | — | — |
| QB39 | Joey Aguilar | QB | not listed | 6.0 | 0.0 | 14.5 | — | — |
| QB40 | Will Levis | QB | not listed | 6.0 | -2.5 | 18.1 | — | — |
| QB41 |
Haynes King
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
QB | CAR | 5.5 | 0.0 | 13.0 | — | — |
| QB42 | Miller Moss | QB | not listed | 5.2 | 0.0 | 12.5 | — | — |
| QB43 |
Tua Tagovailoa
Listed QB2 · ATL — About 40% chance he plays — listed behind the starter on the depth chart. When he plays we project his full workload; the rest of the time, nothing.
|
QB | ATL | 5.2 | 0.0 | 19.4 | — | — |
| QB44 | Joe Milton | QB | not listed | 5.2 | -2.9 | 15.7 | — | — |
| QB45 | Jake Browning | QB | not listed | 5.2 | -2.9 | 16.4 | — | — |
| QB46 |
Carson Beck
Listed QB3 · ARI — About 40% chance he plays — listed behind the starter on the depth chart. When he plays we project his full workload; the rest of the time, nothing.
|
QB | ARI | 5.1 | 0.0 | 17.9 | — | — |
| QB47 | Luke Altmyer | QB | not listed | 5.1 | 0.0 | 12.1 | — | — |
| QB48 |
Tyler Huntley
Listed QB2 · BAL
|
QB | BAL | 4.6 | -2.8 | 13.9 | 4.1 | Landed |
| QB49 |
Drew Allar
Listed QB4 · PIT — About 40% chance he plays — listed behind the starter on the depth chart. When he plays we project his full workload; the rest of the time, nothing.
|
QB | PIT | 4.6 | 0.0 | 16.5 | — | — |
| QB50 | Josh Johnson | QB | not listed | 4.5 | -1.8 | 14.9 | — | — |
-
QB1 · QB · BUF27.0 mean
- Floor
- 7.3
- Ceiling
- 45.3
- Result
- 21.5
- In range
- Landed
-
QB2 · QB · CIN23.9 mean
- Floor
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 38.7
- Result
- 27.7
- In range
- Landed
-
QB3 · QB · BAL23.0 mean
- Floor
- 4.2
- Ceiling
- 41.4
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 22.9
- In range
- Landed
-
QB4 · QB · KC22.9 mean
- Floor
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 38.6
- Result
- 21.0
- In range
- Landed
-
QB5 · QB · SF22.7 mean
- Floor
- 7.4
- Ceiling
- 38.1
- Result
- 23.6
- In range
- Landed
-
QB6 · QB · DET22.2 mean
- Floor
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 37.6
- Result
- 22.5
- In range
- Landed
-
QB7 · QB · LAR20.9 mean
- Floor
- 3.4
- Ceiling
- 39.0
- Result
- 11.7
- In range
- Landed
-
QB8 · QB · DAL20.7 mean
- Floor
- 4.2
- Ceiling
- 35.2
- Result
- 20.1
- In range
- Landed
-
QB9 · QB · HOU20.4 mean
- Floor
- 4.3
- Ceiling
- 37.5
- Result
- 27.1
- In range
- Landed
-
QB10 · QB · NO20.2 mean
- Floor
- 3.6
- Ceiling
- 37.4
- Result
- 17.9
- In range
- Landed
-
QB11 · QB · JAX19.9 mean
- Floor
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 34.6
- Result
- 15.1
- In range
- Landed
-
QB12 · QB · CLE19.8 mean
- Floor
- 4.9
- Ceiling
- 35.9
- Result
- 15.9
- In range
- Landed
-
QB13 · QB · CAR19.7 mean
- Floor
- 4.1
- Ceiling
- 35.5
- Result
- 25.5
- In range
- Landed
-
QB14 · QB · NE19.3 mean
- Floor
- 3.2
- Ceiling
- 35.1
- Result
- 31.2
- In range
- Landed
-
QB15 · QB · ATL19.2 mean
- Floor
- 2.9
- Ceiling
- 33.5
- Result
- 14.7
- In range
- Landed
-
QB16 · QB · DEN19.1 mean
- Floor
- 3.1
- Ceiling
- 33.7
- Result
- 15.6
- In range
- Landed
-
QB17 · QB · GB18.4 mean
- Floor
- 2.3
- Ceiling
- 34.1
- Result
- 18.1
- In range
- Landed
-
QB18 · QB · IND18.2 mean
- Floor
- 2.3
- Ceiling
- 35.9
- Result
- 8.9
- In range
- Landed
-
QB19 · QB · LAC18.1 mean
- Floor
- 2.5
- Ceiling
- 33.3
- Result
- 13.6
- In range
- Landed
-
QB20 · QB · PIT17.7 mean
- Floor
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 30.8
- Result
- 28.2
- In range
- Landed
-
QB21 · QB · LV17.5 mean
- Floor
- 1.6
- Ceiling
- 33.2
- Result
- 25.6
- In range
- Landed
-
QB22 · QB · ARI17.2 mean
- Floor
- 1.6
- Ceiling
- 31.4
- Result
- 17.4
- In range
- Landed
-
QB23 · QB · SEA17.0 mean
- Floor
- 0.7
- Ceiling
- 34.1
- Result
- 18.3
- In range
- Landed
-
QB24 · QB · WAS16.9 mean
- Floor
- 1.3
- Ceiling
- 32.6
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 5.3
- In range
- Landed
-
QB25 · QB · MIN16.2 mean
- Floor
- 0.7
- Ceiling
- 32.5
- Result
- 11.5
- In range
- Landed
-
QB26 · QB · MIA15.9 mean
- Floor
- 0.4
- Ceiling
- 32.0
- Result
- 2.5
- In range
- Landed
-
QB27 · QB · NYJ15.1 mean
- Floor
- 0.9
- Ceiling
- 29.3
- Result
- 10.8
- In range
- Landed
-
QB28 · QB · TEN15.0 mean
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 31.2
- Result
- 16.6
- In range
- Landed
-
QB29 · QB · NYG13.9 mean
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 30.3
- Result
- 26.0
- In range
- Landed
-
QB30 · QB · not listed10.7 mean
- Floor
- -0.5
- Ceiling
- 23.3
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB31 · QB · CHI9.7 mean
- Floor
- -0.8
- Ceiling
- 23.0
- Availability
- Listed QB3 · CHI
- Result
- 9.8
- In range
- Landed
-
QB32 · QB · TB9.5 mean
- Floor
- -1.4
- Ceiling
- 23.1
- Availability
- Listed QB2 · TB
- Result
- 15.4
- In range
- Landed
-
QB33 · QB · CHI8.3 mean
- Floor
- -1.1
- Ceiling
- 20.7
- Availability
- Listed QB2 · CHI — Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 0.0
- In range
- Landed
-
QB34 · QB · ATL7.7 mean
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 17.0
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB35 · QB · WAS7.0 mean
- Floor
- -1.3
- Ceiling
- 18.6
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB36 · QB · LV6.9 mean
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 23.5
- Availability
- Listed QB2 · LV — About 40% chance he plays — listed behind the starter on the depth chart. When he plays we project his full workload; the rest of the time, nothing.
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB37 · QB · LV6.4 mean
- Floor
- -1.6
- Ceiling
- 17.9
- Availability
- Listed QB3 · LV — Questionable — we expect him to play, so this is not zeroed for missing time, but it is trimmed for his practice status.
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB38 · QB · BAL6.4 mean
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Availability
- Listed QB3 · BAL
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB39 · QB · not listed6.0 mean
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 14.5
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB40 · QB · not listed6.0 mean
- Floor
- -2.5
- Ceiling
- 18.1
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB41 · QB · CAR5.5 mean
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 13.0
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB42 · QB · not listed5.2 mean
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 12.5
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB43 · QB · ATL5.2 mean
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 19.4
- Availability
- Listed QB2 · ATL — About 40% chance he plays — listed behind the starter on the depth chart. When he plays we project his full workload; the rest of the time, nothing.
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB44 · QB · not listed5.2 mean
- Floor
- -2.9
- Ceiling
- 15.7
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB45 · QB · not listed5.2 mean
- Floor
- -2.9
- Ceiling
- 16.4
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB46 · QB · ARI5.1 mean
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 17.9
- Availability
- Listed QB3 · ARI — About 40% chance he plays — listed behind the starter on the depth chart. When he plays we project his full workload; the rest of the time, nothing.
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB47 · QB · not listed5.1 mean
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 12.1
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB48 · QB · BAL4.6 mean
- Floor
- -2.8
- Ceiling
- 13.9
- Availability
- Listed QB2 · BAL
- Result
- 4.1
- In range
- Landed
-
QB49 · QB · PIT4.6 mean
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 16.5
- Availability
- Listed QB4 · PIT — About 40% chance he plays — listed behind the starter on the depth chart. When he plays we project his full workload; the rest of the time, nothing.
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
QB50 · QB · not listed4.5 mean
- Floor
- -1.8
- Ceiling
- 14.9
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
Rank shown is position rank (mean desc), independent of the sort you pick.
About these numbers
Team reads “not listed” on 8 of the 50 rows on this board. The badge names the club whose published depth chart listed the player in that week, never the club he is on today — a present-day badge beside an archived week is the wrong answer, so where that week's chart does not list him we name no club rather than guess one. It is not a claim that he was unsigned or that he did not play.
What these columns mean
- Team
- — The club whose published depth chart listed the player in THAT week, read from the slate's own chart rather than from his club today — these boards can be archived weeks. “not listed” where that week's chart does not list him.
- Mean
- — The league-rules-aware fantasy-points mean. It already integrates over playing-time and matchup uncertainty, so it is not a best case.
- Floor
- — The 10th percentile of this player's projected points: 10% of simulated weeks come in below it. It is the lower edge of the calibrated 80% range.
- Ceiling
- — The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated weeks come in above it. It is the upper edge of the same calibrated 80% range.
- Result
- — the fantasy points he actually scored that week, under the same scoring format as the projection, from his recorded stat line. A dash means no result is recorded for him: he did not play, or his stat line is missing a stat this format scores.
- In range
- — Landed when the result fell inside the printed Floor-to-Ceiling range (the 80% range), Missed when it fell outside. Each row is the projection on the board when his game kicked off, not a later update.