Showing 2026 Week 1, a week already played.
Each row is the projection that was on the board when that player's game kicked off, beside what
actually happened. The live week is 2026 Week 7.
Players — 2026 Week 1
Scoring: Full PPR · 6-pt pass TD
RB fantasy football rankings for Week 1, 2026: projected points with calibrated floor and ceiling ranges and boom/bust odds, sortable by any column.
This archived week lists every player we projected that week, whatever his team or status today.
Week 1: 68 of 90 RB with a recorded result finished inside their 80% range (76%).
This season through Week 1: 68 of 90 (76%).
An 80% range is meant to miss about one time in five, so a week near 80% is on target. Every played week is listed, the bad ones too.
Results as recorded on 2026-10-15 (UTC); an NFL stat correction can still move one.
This is a played week, shown for the record. This week's projections are for subscribers.
This is a played week, shown as it stood at each game's kickoff. Rest-of-season and season-ahead rankings are shown for the live week only: this page cannot yet show them as they stood that week, and today's would be a later ranking under this week's label.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | Mean ↓ | Floor | Ceiling | Result | In range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB1 |
Christian McCaffrey
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
|
RB | SF | 24.0 | 8.8 | 44.9 | 13.8 | Landed |
| RB2 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 23.0 | 7.2 | 45.6 | 33.6 | Landed |
| RB3 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 21.7 | 5.2 | 43.7 | 31.3 | Landed |
| RB4 | Chase Brown | RB | CIN | 20.4 | 6.0 | 40.1 | 18.8 | Landed |
| RB5 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 20.1 | 5.6 | 40.5 | 32.7 | Landed |
| RB6 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | 19.1 | 5.4 | 37.4 | 8.3 | Landed |
| RB7 |
Saquon Barkley
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
|
RB | PHI | 18.8 | 3.7 | 39.2 | 9.0 | Landed |
| RB8 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 18.6 | 3.0 | 41.4 | 35.3 | Landed |
| RB9 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 18.6 | 4.7 | 37.5 | 25.1 | Landed |
| RB10 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 18.0 | 4.9 | 35.5 | 15.5 | Landed |
| RB11 |
Breece Hall
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
RB | NYJ | 17.8 | 4.7 | 34.7 | 19.8 | Landed |
| RB12 |
Cam Skattebo
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
|
RB | NYG | 17.5 | 4.0 | 35.8 | 14.1 | Landed |
| RB13 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 17.2 | 4.3 | 34.6 | 32.4 | Landed |
| RB14 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 16.9 | 5.4 | 31.6 | 14.5 | Landed |
| RB15 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 16.6 | 4.4 | 32.9 | 20.3 | Landed |
| RB16 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 16.2 | 3.0 | 35.1 | 34.1 | Landed |
| RB17 | James Cook | RB | BUF | 16.2 | 3.1 | 35.2 | 9.9 | Landed |
| RB18 | Josh Jacobs | RB | GB | 15.9 | 4.0 | 32.8 | — | — |
| RB19 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 15.9 | 2.9 | 34.0 | 24.2 | Landed |
| RB20 |
Tyrone Tracy
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
|
RB | NYG | 15.4 | 3.8 | 31.5 | -0.6 | Missed |
| RB21 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 15.3 | 2.9 | 32.2 | 4.4 | Landed |
| RB22 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | 15.3 | 2.3 | 30.9 | 3.6 | Landed |
| RB23 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 14.9 | 2.5 | 34.3 | 7.0 | Landed |
| RB24 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 14.7 | 2.9 | 31.8 | 10.3 | Landed |
| RB25 |
Zach Charbonnet
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
RB | SEA | 14.6 | 2.7 | 30.5 | — | — |
| RB26 | Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | 14.4 | 3.7 | 28.3 | 4.1 | Landed |
| RB27 |
Aaron Jones
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
|
RB | MIN | 13.8 | 2.8 | 29.5 | 10.0 | Landed |
| RB28 |
David Montgomery
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
RB | HOU | 13.8 | 3.2 | 28.2 | 28.9 | Missed |
| RB29 |
Alvin Kamara
Questionable — we expect him to play, so this is not zeroed for missing time, but it is trimmed for his practice status.
|
RB | NO | 13.6 | 2.7 | 28.6 | — | — |
| RB30 | Kenneth Gainwell | RB | TB | 13.5 | 3.2 | 27.3 | 2.8 | Missed |
| RB31 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 13.5 | 2.8 | 28.1 | 23.7 | Landed |
| RB32 | RJ Harvey | RB | DEN | 13.3 | 3.0 | 28.1 | 8.1 | Landed |
| RB33 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | 13.1 | 1.4 | 29.1 | 5.4 | Landed |
| RB34 | Austin Ekeler | RB | not listed | 12.7 | 3.1 | 26.7 | — | — |
| RB35 | Chris Rodriguez | RB | JAX | 12.2 | 1.3 | 28.1 | 2.3 | Landed |
| RB36 | Devin Neal | RB | NO | 11.9 | 1.9 | 24.9 | — | — |
| RB37 |
Tyjae Spears
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
RB | TEN | 11.6 | 3.1 | 23.6 | 4.4 | Landed |
| RB38 |
Woody Marks
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
|
RB | HOU | 11.6 | 1.5 | 26.2 | 5.0 | Landed |
| RB39 |
Kyle Monangai
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
RB | CHI | 11.5 | 1.5 | 24.8 | 20.4 | Landed |
| RB40 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | 11.4 | 1.8 | 23.9 | 9.8 | Landed |
| RB41 | Michael Carter | RB | TEN | 11.4 | 2.6 | 22.4 | — | — |
| RB42 |
Jeremiyah Love
Questionable — we expect him to play, so this is not zeroed for missing time, but it is trimmed for his practice status.
|
RB | ARI | 11.3 | 3.0 | 22.6 | 13.0 | Landed |
| RB43 | Ray Davis | RB | BUF | 11.1 | 1.2 | 25.0 | 0.3 | Missed |
| RB44 | MarShawn Lloyd | RB | GB | 11.1 | 1.5 | 24.5 | 3.7 | Landed |
| RB45 | Jordan Mason | RB | MIN | 11.0 | 0.2 | 26.7 | 11.9 | Landed |
| RB46 | Sincere McCormick | RB | SF | 10.7 | 0.6 | 25.0 | — | — |
| RB47 |
Jawhar Jordan
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
RB | HOU | 10.7 | 1.0 | 24.0 | — | — |
| RB48 | Dylan Sampson | RB | CLE | 10.6 | 1.6 | 23.9 | — | — |
| RB49 | Rachaad White | RB | WAS | 10.4 | 1.8 | 22.2 | 4.7 | Landed |
| RB50 | Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | 10.3 | 2.1 | 21.9 | 0.0 | Missed |
-
RB1 · RB · SF24.0 mean
- Floor
- 8.8
- Ceiling
- 44.9
- Availability
- Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 13.8
- In range
- Landed
-
RB2 · RB · DET23.0 mean
- Floor
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 45.6
- Result
- 33.6
- In range
- Landed
-
RB3 · RB · ATL21.7 mean
- Floor
- 5.2
- Ceiling
- 43.7
- Result
- 31.3
- In range
- Landed
-
RB4 · RB · CIN20.4 mean
- Floor
- 6.0
- Ceiling
- 40.1
- Result
- 18.8
- In range
- Landed
-
RB5 · RB · LV20.1 mean
- Floor
- 5.6
- Ceiling
- 40.5
- Result
- 32.7
- In range
- Landed
-
RB6 · RB · LAC19.1 mean
- Floor
- 5.4
- Ceiling
- 37.4
- Result
- 8.3
- In range
- Landed
-
RB7 · RB · PHI18.8 mean
- Floor
- 3.7
- Ceiling
- 39.2
- Availability
- Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 9.0
- In range
- Landed
-
RB8 · RB · BAL18.6 mean
- Floor
- 3.0
- Ceiling
- 41.4
- Result
- 35.3
- In range
- Landed
-
RB9 · RB · IND18.6 mean
- Floor
- 4.7
- Ceiling
- 37.5
- Result
- 25.1
- In range
- Landed
-
RB10 · RB · LAR18.0 mean
- Floor
- 4.9
- Ceiling
- 35.5
- Result
- 15.5
- In range
- Landed
-
RB11 · RB · NYJ17.8 mean
- Floor
- 4.7
- Ceiling
- 34.7
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 19.8
- In range
- Landed
-
RB12 · RB · NYG17.5 mean
- Floor
- 4.0
- Ceiling
- 35.8
- Availability
- Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 14.1
- In range
- Landed
-
RB13 · RB · CHI17.2 mean
- Floor
- 4.3
- Ceiling
- 34.6
- Result
- 32.4
- In range
- Landed
-
RB14 · RB · NE16.9 mean
- Floor
- 5.4
- Ceiling
- 31.6
- Result
- 14.5
- In range
- Landed
-
RB15 · RB · TB16.6 mean
- Floor
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 32.9
- Result
- 20.3
- In range
- Landed
-
RB16 · RB · KC16.2 mean
- Floor
- 3.0
- Ceiling
- 35.1
- Result
- 34.1
- In range
- Landed
-
RB17 · RB · BUF16.2 mean
- Floor
- 3.1
- Ceiling
- 35.2
- Result
- 9.9
- In range
- Landed
-
RB18 · RB · GB15.9 mean
- Floor
- 4.0
- Ceiling
- 32.8
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
RB19 · RB · DAL15.9 mean
- Floor
- 2.9
- Ceiling
- 34.0
- Result
- 24.2
- In range
- Landed
-
RB20 · RB · NYG15.4 mean
- Floor
- 3.8
- Ceiling
- 31.5
- Availability
- Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- -0.6
- In range
- Missed
-
RB21 · RB · TEN15.3 mean
- Floor
- 2.9
- Ceiling
- 32.2
- Result
- 4.4
- In range
- Landed
-
RB22 · RB · DEN15.3 mean
- Floor
- 2.3
- Ceiling
- 30.9
- Result
- 3.6
- In range
- Landed
-
RB23 · RB · CLE14.9 mean
- Floor
- 2.5
- Ceiling
- 34.3
- Result
- 7.0
- In range
- Landed
-
RB24 · RB · PIT14.7 mean
- Floor
- 2.9
- Ceiling
- 31.8
- Result
- 10.3
- In range
- Landed
-
RB25 · RB · SEA14.6 mean
- Floor
- 2.7
- Ceiling
- 30.5
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
RB26 · RB · PIT14.4 mean
- Floor
- 3.7
- Ceiling
- 28.3
- Result
- 4.1
- In range
- Landed
-
RB27 · RB · MIN13.8 mean
- Floor
- 2.8
- Ceiling
- 29.5
- Availability
- Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 10.0
- In range
- Landed
-
RB28 · RB · HOU13.8 mean
- Floor
- 3.2
- Ceiling
- 28.2
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 28.9
- In range
- Missed
-
RB29 · RB · NO13.6 mean
- Floor
- 2.7
- Ceiling
- 28.6
- Availability
- Questionable — we expect him to play, so this is not zeroed for missing time, but it is trimmed for his practice status.
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
RB30 · RB · TB13.5 mean
- Floor
- 3.2
- Ceiling
- 27.3
- Result
- 2.8
- In range
- Missed
-
RB31 · RB · CAR13.5 mean
- Floor
- 2.8
- Ceiling
- 28.1
- Result
- 23.7
- In range
- Landed
-
RB32 · RB · DEN13.3 mean
- Floor
- 3.0
- Ceiling
- 28.1
- Result
- 8.1
- In range
- Landed
-
RB33 · RB · LAR13.1 mean
- Floor
- 1.4
- Ceiling
- 29.1
- Result
- 5.4
- In range
- Landed
-
RB34 · RB · not listed12.7 mean
- Floor
- 3.1
- Ceiling
- 26.7
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
RB35 · RB · JAX12.2 mean
- Floor
- 1.3
- Ceiling
- 28.1
- Result
- 2.3
- In range
- Landed
-
RB36 · RB · NO11.9 mean
- Floor
- 1.9
- Ceiling
- 24.9
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
RB37 · RB · TEN11.6 mean
- Floor
- 3.1
- Ceiling
- 23.6
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 4.4
- In range
- Landed
-
RB38 · RB · HOU11.6 mean
- Floor
- 1.5
- Ceiling
- 26.2
- Availability
- Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 5.0
- In range
- Landed
-
RB39 · RB · CHI11.5 mean
- Floor
- 1.5
- Ceiling
- 24.8
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 20.4
- In range
- Landed
-
RB40 · RB · JAX11.4 mean
- Floor
- 1.8
- Ceiling
- 23.9
- Result
- 9.8
- In range
- Landed
-
RB41 · RB · TEN11.4 mean
- Floor
- 2.6
- Ceiling
- 22.4
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
RB42 · RB · ARI11.3 mean
- Floor
- 3.0
- Ceiling
- 22.6
- Availability
- Questionable — we expect him to play, so this is not zeroed for missing time, but it is trimmed for his practice status.
- Result
- 13.0
- In range
- Landed
-
RB43 · RB · BUF11.1 mean
- Floor
- 1.2
- Ceiling
- 25.0
- Result
- 0.3
- In range
- Missed
-
RB44 · RB · GB11.1 mean
- Floor
- 1.5
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Result
- 3.7
- In range
- Landed
-
RB45 · RB · MIN11.0 mean
- Floor
- 0.2
- Ceiling
- 26.7
- Result
- 11.9
- In range
- Landed
-
RB46 · RB · SF10.7 mean
- Floor
- 0.6
- Ceiling
- 25.0
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
RB47 · RB · HOU10.7 mean
- Floor
- 1.0
- Ceiling
- 24.0
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
RB48 · RB · CLE10.6 mean
- Floor
- 1.6
- Ceiling
- 23.9
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
RB49 · RB · WAS10.4 mean
- Floor
- 1.8
- Ceiling
- 22.2
- Result
- 4.7
- In range
- Landed
-
RB50 · RB · DEN10.3 mean
- Floor
- 2.1
- Ceiling
- 21.9
- Result
- 0.0
- In range
- Missed
Rank shown is position rank (mean desc), independent of the sort you pick.
About these numbers
Team reads “not listed” on 1 of the 50 rows on this board. The badge names the club whose published depth chart listed the player in that week, never the club he is on today — a present-day badge beside an archived week is the wrong answer, so where that week's chart does not list him we name no club rather than guess one. It is not a claim that he was unsigned or that he did not play.
What these columns mean
- Team
- — The club whose published depth chart listed the player in THAT week, read from the slate's own chart rather than from his club today — these boards can be archived weeks. “not listed” where that week's chart does not list him.
- Mean
- — The league-rules-aware fantasy-points mean. It already integrates over playing-time and matchup uncertainty, so it is not a best case.
- Floor
- — The 10th percentile of this player's projected points: 10% of simulated weeks come in below it. It is the lower edge of the calibrated 80% range.
- Ceiling
- — The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated weeks come in above it. It is the upper edge of the same calibrated 80% range.
- Result
- — the fantasy points he actually scored that week, under the same scoring format as the projection, from his recorded stat line. A dash means no result is recorded for him: he did not play, or his stat line is missing a stat this format scores.
- In range
- — Landed when the result fell inside the printed Floor-to-Ceiling range (the 80% range), Missed when it fell outside. Each row is the projection on the board when his game kicked off, not a later update.