Players
2026 Week 4
Showing 2026 Week 4, a week already played. Each row is the projection that was on the board when that player's game kicked off, beside what actually happened. The live week is 2026 Week 7.

Players — 2026 Week 4

Scoring: Full PPR · 6-pt pass TD

RB fantasy football rankings for Week 4, 2026: projected points with calibrated floor and ceiling ranges and boom/bust odds, sortable by any column.

This archived week lists every player we projected that week, whatever his team or status today.

Week 4: 81 of 92 RB with a recorded result finished inside their 80% range (88%).

This season through Week 4: 298 of 368 (81%).

An 80% range is meant to miss about one time in five, so a week near 80% is on target. Every played week is listed, the bad ones too.

Results as recorded on 2026-10-15 (UTC); an NFL stat correction can still move one.

This is a played week, shown for the record. This week's projections are for subscribers.

This is a played week, shown as it stood at each game's kickoff. Rest-of-season and season-ahead rankings are shown for the live week only: this page cannot yet show them as they stood that week, and today's would be a later ranking under this week's label.

# Player Pos Team Mean ↓ Floor Ceiling Result In range
RB1 Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET 27.6 6.5 55.0 16.8 Landed
RB2 Jonathan Taylor RB IND 24.5 7.3 48.1 22.7 Landed
RB3 Derrick Henry RB BAL 23.1 5.6 47.2 15.9 Landed
RB4 Kenneth Walker III RB KC 22.1 7.1 42.4 30.9 Landed
RB5 Christian McCaffrey
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
RB SF 21.4 4.9 43.1 16.0 Landed
RB6 James Cook RB BUF 21.1 4.4 42.7 16.3 Landed
RB7 Bijan Robinson RB ATL 20.3 2.5 44.6 27.7 Landed
RB8 Chase Brown RB CIN 18.0 5.6 35.9 19.1 Landed
RB9 D'Andre Swift RB CHI 17.4 3.2 37.2 7.4 Landed
RB10 Jaylen Warren RB PIT 17.3 4.2 34.4 15.6 Landed
RB11 Cam Skattebo
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
RB NYG 17.1 3.5 36.7 7.6 Landed
RB12 Ashton Jeanty RB LV 16.8 1.6 38.1 18.6 Landed
RB13 Aaron Jones
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
RB MIN 16.5 3.3 35.9 16.8 Landed
RB14 Kyren Williams RB LAR 16.5 2.7 36.6 36.7 Missed
RB15 Bucky Irving RB TB 16.4 2.9 35.1 6.1 Landed
RB16 Jeremiyah Love
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
RB ARI 16.3 1.2 36.5 6.5 Landed
RB17 Chuba Hubbard RB CAR 15.8 3.4 33.3 25.9 Landed
RB18 Saquon Barkley
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
RB PHI 15.7 0.8 37.2 2.0 Landed
RB19 Javonte Williams RB DAL 15.5 3.2 34.5 31.3 Landed
RB20 Quinshon Judkins RB CLE 14.9 3.1 32.3 21.6 Landed
RB21 Omarion Hampton RB LAC 14.4 1.3 34.3 13.3 Landed
RB22 Bhayshul Tuten RB JAX 12.8 1.4 29.7 11.1 Landed
RB23 Tony Pollard RB TEN 12.1 1.1 27.9 13.0 Landed
RB24 Audric Estime
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
RB not listed 12.0 0.7 30.2 — —
RB25 David Montgomery
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
RB HOU 12.0 1.5 28.6 2.4 Landed
RB26 Alvin Kamara RB NO 11.9 1.2 27.5 22.8 Landed
RB27 Josh Jacobs RB GB 11.9 -1.0 31.9 — —
RB28 J.K. Dobbins RB DEN 11.7 0.0 29.3 7.2 Landed
RB29 Braelon Allen RB NYJ 10.9 1.4 25.5 8.7 Landed
RB30 TreVeyon Henderson RB NE 10.5 -0.5 28.2 4.2 Landed
RB31 Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE 10.2 1.0 24.2 16.4 Landed
RB32 Kyle Monangai
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
RB CHI 10.0 -0.3 24.3 28.0 Missed
RB33 Woody Marks
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
RB HOU 9.9 0.6 24.6 8.2 Landed
RB34 Austin Ekeler RB WAS 9.8 1.5 21.0 5.0 Landed
RB35 Devin Neal RB not listed 9.7 -0.1 23.0 — —
RB36 RJ Harvey RB DEN 9.5 0.9 22.2 19.3 Landed
RB37 Emanuel Wilson RB SEA 9.4 0.0 21.8 27.0 Missed
RB38 Blake Corum RB LAR 9.4 -0.4 23.9 3.1 Landed
RB39 Jonah Coleman RB DEN 9.0 -0.6 23.5 — —
RB40 J'Mari Taylor RB not listed 8.9 0.9 21.0 — —
RB41 Michael Carter RB TEN 8.7 0.3 21.7 — —
RB42 Jordan Mason RB MIN 8.5 -1.2 23.1 — —
RB43 George Holani RB SEA 8.4 -0.6 22.4 3.0 Landed
RB44 Sincere McCormick RB not listed 8.0 -1.2 20.5 — —
RB45 Jackson Acker RB not listed 8.0 0.7 18.9 — —
RB46 Jawhar Jordan
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
RB not listed 7.9 -1.1 20.6 — —
RB47 Greg Desrosiers RB not listed 7.9 0.6 20.1 — —
RB48 DJ Herman RB MIA 7.6 0.6 18.2 — —
RB49 Chip Trayanum RB not listed 7.5 0.7 18.1 — —
RB50 Isaac Guerendo
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
RB SF 7.3 -1.0 20.2 — —
  • RB1 · RB · DET
    27.6 mean
    Floor
    6.5
    Ceiling
    55.0
    Result
    16.8
    In range
    Landed
  • RB2 · RB · IND
    24.5 mean
    Floor
    7.3
    Ceiling
    48.1
    Result
    22.7
    In range
    Landed
  • RB3 · RB · BAL
    23.1 mean
    Floor
    5.6
    Ceiling
    47.2
    Result
    15.9
    In range
    Landed
  • RB4 · RB · KC
    22.1 mean
    Floor
    7.1
    Ceiling
    42.4
    Result
    30.9
    In range
    Landed
  • RB5 · RB · SF
    21.4 mean
    Floor
    4.9
    Ceiling
    43.1
    Availability
    Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    16.0
    In range
    Landed
  • RB6 · RB · BUF
    21.1 mean
    Floor
    4.4
    Ceiling
    42.7
    Result
    16.3
    In range
    Landed
  • RB7 · RB · ATL
    20.3 mean
    Floor
    2.5
    Ceiling
    44.6
    Result
    27.7
    In range
    Landed
  • RB8 · RB · CIN
    18.0 mean
    Floor
    5.6
    Ceiling
    35.9
    Result
    19.1
    In range
    Landed
  • RB9 · RB · CHI
    17.4 mean
    Floor
    3.2
    Ceiling
    37.2
    Result
    7.4
    In range
    Landed
  • RB10 · RB · PIT
    17.3 mean
    Floor
    4.2
    Ceiling
    34.4
    Result
    15.6
    In range
    Landed
  • RB11 · RB · NYG
    17.1 mean
    Floor
    3.5
    Ceiling
    36.7
    Availability
    Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    7.6
    In range
    Landed
  • RB12 · RB · LV
    16.8 mean
    Floor
    1.6
    Ceiling
    38.1
    Result
    18.6
    In range
    Landed
  • RB13 · RB · MIN
    16.5 mean
    Floor
    3.3
    Ceiling
    35.9
    Availability
    Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    16.8
    In range
    Landed
  • RB14 · RB · LAR
    16.5 mean
    Floor
    2.7
    Ceiling
    36.6
    Result
    36.7
    In range
    Missed
  • RB15 · RB · TB
    16.4 mean
    Floor
    2.9
    Ceiling
    35.1
    Result
    6.1
    In range
    Landed
  • RB16 · RB · ARI
    16.3 mean
    Floor
    1.2
    Ceiling
    36.5
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    6.5
    In range
    Landed
  • RB17 · RB · CAR
    15.8 mean
    Floor
    3.4
    Ceiling
    33.3
    Result
    25.9
    In range
    Landed
  • RB18 · RB · PHI
    15.7 mean
    Floor
    0.8
    Ceiling
    37.2
    Availability
    Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    2.0
    In range
    Landed
  • RB19 · RB · DAL
    15.5 mean
    Floor
    3.2
    Ceiling
    34.5
    Result
    31.3
    In range
    Landed
  • RB20 · RB · CLE
    14.9 mean
    Floor
    3.1
    Ceiling
    32.3
    Result
    21.6
    In range
    Landed
  • RB21 · RB · LAC
    14.4 mean
    Floor
    1.3
    Ceiling
    34.3
    Result
    13.3
    In range
    Landed
  • RB22 · RB · JAX
    12.8 mean
    Floor
    1.4
    Ceiling
    29.7
    Result
    11.1
    In range
    Landed
  • RB23 · RB · TEN
    12.1 mean
    Floor
    1.1
    Ceiling
    27.9
    Result
    13.0
    In range
    Landed
  • RB24 · RB · not listed
    12.0 mean
    Floor
    0.7
    Ceiling
    30.2
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • RB25 · RB · HOU
    12.0 mean
    Floor
    1.5
    Ceiling
    28.6
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    2.4
    In range
    Landed
  • RB26 · RB · NO
    11.9 mean
    Floor
    1.2
    Ceiling
    27.5
    Result
    22.8
    In range
    Landed
  • RB27 · RB · GB
    11.9 mean
    Floor
    -1.0
    Ceiling
    31.9
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • RB28 · RB · DEN
    11.7 mean
    Floor
    0.0
    Ceiling
    29.3
    Result
    7.2
    In range
    Landed
  • RB29 · RB · NYJ
    10.9 mean
    Floor
    1.4
    Ceiling
    25.5
    Result
    8.7
    In range
    Landed
  • RB30 · RB · NE
    10.5 mean
    Floor
    -0.5
    Ceiling
    28.2
    Result
    4.2
    In range
    Landed
  • RB31 · RB · NE
    10.2 mean
    Floor
    1.0
    Ceiling
    24.2
    Result
    16.4
    In range
    Landed
  • RB32 · RB · CHI
    10.0 mean
    Floor
    -0.3
    Ceiling
    24.3
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    28.0
    In range
    Missed
  • RB33 · RB · HOU
    9.9 mean
    Floor
    0.6
    Ceiling
    24.6
    Availability
    Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    8.2
    In range
    Landed
  • RB34 · RB · WAS
    9.8 mean
    Floor
    1.5
    Ceiling
    21.0
    Result
    5.0
    In range
    Landed
  • RB35 · RB · not listed
    9.7 mean
    Floor
    -0.1
    Ceiling
    23.0
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • RB36 · RB · DEN
    9.5 mean
    Floor
    0.9
    Ceiling
    22.2
    Result
    19.3
    In range
    Landed
  • RB37 · RB · SEA
    9.4 mean
    Floor
    0.0
    Ceiling
    21.8
    Result
    27.0
    In range
    Missed
  • RB38 · RB · LAR
    9.4 mean
    Floor
    -0.4
    Ceiling
    23.9
    Result
    3.1
    In range
    Landed
  • RB39 · RB · DEN
    9.0 mean
    Floor
    -0.6
    Ceiling
    23.5
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • RB40 · RB · not listed
    8.9 mean
    Floor
    0.9
    Ceiling
    21.0
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • RB41 · RB · TEN
    8.7 mean
    Floor
    0.3
    Ceiling
    21.7
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • RB42 · RB · MIN
    8.5 mean
    Floor
    -1.2
    Ceiling
    23.1
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • RB43 · RB · SEA
    8.4 mean
    Floor
    -0.6
    Ceiling
    22.4
    Result
    3.0
    In range
    Landed
  • RB44 · RB · not listed
    8.0 mean
    Floor
    -1.2
    Ceiling
    20.5
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • RB45 · RB · not listed
    8.0 mean
    Floor
    0.7
    Ceiling
    18.9
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • RB46 · RB · not listed
    7.9 mean
    Floor
    -1.1
    Ceiling
    20.6
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • RB47 · RB · not listed
    7.9 mean
    Floor
    0.6
    Ceiling
    20.1
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • RB48 · RB · MIA
    7.6 mean
    Floor
    0.6
    Ceiling
    18.2
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • RB49 · RB · not listed
    7.5 mean
    Floor
    0.7
    Ceiling
    18.1
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • RB50 · RB · SF
    7.3 mean
    Floor
    -1.0
    Ceiling
    20.2
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    —
    In range
    —

Rank shown is position rank (mean desc), independent of the sort you pick.

About these numbers

Team reads “not listed” on 8 of the 50 rows on this board. The badge names the club whose published depth chart listed the player in that week, never the club he is on today — a present-day badge beside an archived week is the wrong answer, so where that week's chart does not list him we name no club rather than guess one. It is not a claim that he was unsigned or that he did not play.

What these columns mean

Team
— The club whose published depth chart listed the player in THAT week, read from the slate's own chart rather than from his club today — these boards can be archived weeks. “not listed” where that week's chart does not list him.
Mean
— The league-rules-aware fantasy-points mean. It already integrates over playing-time and matchup uncertainty, so it is not a best case.
Floor
— The 10th percentile of this player's projected points: 10% of simulated weeks come in below it. It is the lower edge of the calibrated 80% range.
Ceiling
— The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated weeks come in above it. It is the upper edge of the same calibrated 80% range.
Result
— the fantasy points he actually scored that week, under the same scoring format as the projection, from his recorded stat line. A dash means no result is recorded for him: he did not play, or his stat line is missing a stat this format scores.
In range
— Landed when the result fell inside the printed Floor-to-Ceiling range (the 80% range), Missed when it fell outside. Each row is the projection on the board when his game kicked off, not a later update.
  • © 2026 Downfield Forecast LLC
  • About
  • League audit
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Cookies
  • Disclaimer
  • Acceptable Use
  • Consent Preferences
  • Contact