Showing 2026 Week 1, a week already played.
Each row is the projection that was on the board when that player's game kicked off, beside what
actually happened. The live week is 2026 Week 7.
Players — 2026 Week 1
Scoring: Full PPR · 6-pt pass TD
SUPERFLEX fantasy football rankings for Week 1, 2026: projected points with calibrated floor and ceiling ranges and boom/bust odds, sortable by any column.
This archived week lists every player we projected that week, whatever his team or status today.
Week 1: 267 of 378 SUPERFLEX with a recorded result finished inside their 80% range (71%).
This season through Week 1: 267 of 378 (71%).
An 80% range is meant to miss about one time in five, so a week near 80% is on target. Every played week is listed, the bad ones too.
Results as recorded on 2026-10-15 (UTC); an NFL stat correction can still move one.
This is a played week, shown for the record. This week's projections are for subscribers.
This is a played week, shown as it stood at each game's kickoff. Rest-of-season and season-ahead rankings are shown for the live week only: this page cannot yet show them as they stood that week, and today's would be a later ranking under this week's label.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | Mean ↓ | Floor | Ceiling | Result | In range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUPERFLEX1 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 27.9 | 15.5 | 40.8 | 39.7 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX2 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 24.5 | 13.6 | 37.6 | 16.3 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX3 |
Christian McCaffrey
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
|
RB | SF | 24.0 | 8.8 | 44.9 | 13.8 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX4 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 23.1 | 10.6 | 37.0 | 34.1 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX5 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 23.0 | 7.2 | 45.6 | 33.6 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX6 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 22.8 | 11.8 | 34.6 | 20.4 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX7 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 22.3 | 10.4 | 34.7 | 17.2 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX8 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 21.7 | 8.8 | 36.0 | 28.1 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX9 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 21.7 | 5.2 | 43.7 | 31.3 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX10 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 21.6 | 9.2 | 34.6 | 0.9 | Missed |
| SUPERFLEX11 |
Lamar Jackson
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
QB | BAL | 21.5 | 10.2 | 34.4 | 27.0 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX12 | Patrick Mahomes II | QB | KC | 21.3 | 9.3 | 33.6 | 26.7 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX13 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 20.9 | 7.3 | 36.2 | 28.7 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX14 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 20.9 | 9.9 | 33.0 | 41.3 | Missed |
| SUPERFLEX15 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 20.7 | 9.5 | 34.1 | 21.7 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX16 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 20.5 | 7.6 | 36.9 | 3.2 | Missed |
| SUPERFLEX17 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 20.5 | 7.9 | 34.5 | 14.8 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX18 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 20.4 | 9.0 | 33.2 | 19.4 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX19 | Chase Brown | RB | CIN | 20.4 | 6.0 | 40.1 | 18.8 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX20 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 20.3 | 9.7 | 33.6 | 11.6 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX21 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 20.1 | 8.8 | 33.3 | 8.4 | Missed |
| SUPERFLEX22 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 20.1 | 11.6 | 32.4 | 12.4 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX23 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 20.1 | 5.6 | 40.5 | 32.7 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX24 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 19.9 | 6.9 | 35.1 | 5.1 | Missed |
| SUPERFLEX25 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 19.3 | 8.6 | 30.8 | -2.0 | Missed |
| SUPERFLEX26 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 19.2 | 7.6 | 32.3 | 14.5 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX27 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | 19.1 | 5.4 | 37.4 | 8.3 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX28 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 18.8 | 8.2 | 30.6 | 31.2 | Missed |
| SUPERFLEX29 |
Saquon Barkley
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
|
RB | PHI | 18.8 | 3.7 | 39.2 | 9.0 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX30 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 18.7 | 7.2 | 31.0 | 20.5 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX31 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 18.6 | 3.0 | 41.4 | 35.3 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX32 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 18.6 | 4.7 | 37.5 | 25.1 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX33 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 18.3 | 7.5 | 30.3 | 21.8 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX34 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 18.0 | 7.7 | 30.7 | 38.4 | Missed |
| SUPERFLEX35 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 18.0 | 4.9 | 35.5 | 15.5 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX36 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 17.9 | 7.6 | 29.1 | 12.0 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX37 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 17.9 | 5.5 | 32.5 | 0.5 | Missed |
| SUPERFLEX38 |
Breece Hall
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
RB | NYJ | 17.8 | 4.7 | 34.7 | 19.8 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX39 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 17.7 | 5.2 | 33.0 | 29.2 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX40 |
Rashee Rice
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
WR | KC | 17.6 | 5.3 | 32.4 | 9.9 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX41 |
Cam Skattebo
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
|
RB | NYG | 17.5 | 4.0 | 35.8 | 14.1 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX42 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 17.4 | 6.4 | 29.3 | 17.7 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX43 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 17.2 | 4.3 | 34.6 | 32.4 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX44 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 17.1 | 4.5 | 31.1 | 21.2 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX45 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 17.0 | 8.3 | 27.7 | 26.2 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX46 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 16.9 | 5.4 | 31.6 | 14.5 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX47 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 16.7 | 4.2 | 32.0 | 28.2 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX48 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 16.6 | 4.4 | 32.9 | 20.3 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX49 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 16.6 | 6.2 | 28.5 | 17.0 | Landed |
| SUPERFLEX50 | A.J. Brown | WR | NE | 16.5 | 8.4 | 26.6 | 5.6 | Missed |
-
SUPERFLEX1 · QB · BUF27.9 mean
- Floor
- 15.5
- Ceiling
- 40.8
- Result
- 39.7
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX2 · QB · LAC24.5 mean
- Floor
- 13.6
- Ceiling
- 37.6
- Result
- 16.3
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX3 · RB · SF24.0 mean
- Floor
- 8.8
- Ceiling
- 44.9
- Availability
- Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 13.8
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX4 · QB · JAX23.1 mean
- Floor
- 10.6
- Ceiling
- 37.0
- Result
- 34.1
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX5 · RB · DET23.0 mean
- Floor
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 45.6
- Result
- 33.6
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX6 · QB · DET22.8 mean
- Floor
- 11.8
- Ceiling
- 34.6
- Result
- 20.4
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX7 · QB · CIN22.3 mean
- Floor
- 10.4
- Ceiling
- 34.7
- Result
- 17.2
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX8 · QB · SF21.7 mean
- Floor
- 8.8
- Ceiling
- 36.0
- Result
- 28.1
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX9 · RB · ATL21.7 mean
- Floor
- 5.2
- Ceiling
- 43.7
- Result
- 31.3
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX10 · QB · MIN21.6 mean
- Floor
- 9.2
- Ceiling
- 34.6
- Result
- 0.9
- In range
- Missed
-
SUPERFLEX11 · QB · BAL21.5 mean
- Floor
- 10.2
- Ceiling
- 34.4
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 27.0
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX12 · QB · KC21.3 mean
- Floor
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 33.6
- Result
- 26.7
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX13 · WR · DET20.9 mean
- Floor
- 7.3
- Ceiling
- 36.2
- Result
- 28.7
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX14 · QB · CHI20.9 mean
- Floor
- 9.9
- Ceiling
- 33.0
- Result
- 41.3
- In range
- Missed
-
SUPERFLEX15 · QB · WAS20.7 mean
- Floor
- 9.5
- Ceiling
- 34.1
- Result
- 21.7
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX16 · WR · CIN20.5 mean
- Floor
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 36.9
- Result
- 3.2
- In range
- Missed
-
SUPERFLEX17 · QB · NE20.5 mean
- Floor
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 34.5
- Result
- 14.8
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX18 · QB · DAL20.4 mean
- Floor
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 33.2
- Result
- 19.4
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX19 · RB · CIN20.4 mean
- Floor
- 6.0
- Ceiling
- 40.1
- Result
- 18.8
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX20 · QB · TB20.3 mean
- Floor
- 9.7
- Ceiling
- 33.6
- Result
- 11.6
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX21 · QB · DEN20.1 mean
- Floor
- 8.8
- Ceiling
- 33.3
- Result
- 8.4
- In range
- Missed
-
SUPERFLEX22 · WR · LAR20.1 mean
- Floor
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 32.4
- Result
- 12.4
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX23 · RB · LV20.1 mean
- Floor
- 5.6
- Ceiling
- 40.5
- Result
- 32.7
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX24 · QB · LAR19.9 mean
- Floor
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 35.1
- Result
- 5.1
- In range
- Missed
-
SUPERFLEX25 · QB · GB19.3 mean
- Floor
- 8.6
- Ceiling
- 30.8
- Result
- -2.0
- In range
- Missed
-
SUPERFLEX26 · QB · PIT19.2 mean
- Floor
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 32.3
- Result
- 14.5
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX27 · RB · LAC19.1 mean
- Floor
- 5.4
- Ceiling
- 37.4
- Result
- 8.3
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX28 · QB · NO18.8 mean
- Floor
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 30.6
- Result
- 31.2
- In range
- Missed
-
SUPERFLEX29 · RB · PHI18.8 mean
- Floor
- 3.7
- Ceiling
- 39.2
- Availability
- Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 9.0
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX30 · QB · HOU18.7 mean
- Floor
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 31.0
- Result
- 20.5
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX31 · RB · BAL18.6 mean
- Floor
- 3.0
- Ceiling
- 41.4
- Result
- 35.3
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX32 · RB · IND18.6 mean
- Floor
- 4.7
- Ceiling
- 37.5
- Result
- 25.1
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX33 · QB · LV18.3 mean
- Floor
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 30.3
- Result
- 21.8
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX34 · QB · CAR18.0 mean
- Floor
- 7.7
- Ceiling
- 30.7
- Result
- 38.4
- In range
- Missed
-
SUPERFLEX35 · RB · LAR18.0 mean
- Floor
- 4.9
- Ceiling
- 35.5
- Result
- 15.5
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX36 · QB · IND17.9 mean
- Floor
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 29.1
- Result
- 12.0
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX37 · QB · SEA17.9 mean
- Floor
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 32.5
- Result
- 0.5
- In range
- Missed
-
SUPERFLEX38 · RB · NYJ17.8 mean
- Floor
- 4.7
- Ceiling
- 34.7
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 19.8
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX39 · WR · MIN17.7 mean
- Floor
- 5.2
- Ceiling
- 33.0
- Result
- 29.2
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX40 · WR · KC17.6 mean
- Floor
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 32.4
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 9.9
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX41 · RB · NYG17.5 mean
- Floor
- 4.0
- Ceiling
- 35.8
- Availability
- Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 14.1
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX42 · QB · MIA17.4 mean
- Floor
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 29.3
- Result
- 17.7
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX43 · RB · CHI17.2 mean
- Floor
- 4.3
- Ceiling
- 34.6
- Result
- 32.4
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX44 · WR · HOU17.1 mean
- Floor
- 4.5
- Ceiling
- 31.1
- Result
- 21.2
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX45 · WR · SEA17.0 mean
- Floor
- 8.3
- Ceiling
- 27.7
- Result
- 26.2
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX46 · RB · NE16.9 mean
- Floor
- 5.4
- Ceiling
- 31.6
- Result
- 14.5
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX47 · WR · NO16.7 mean
- Floor
- 4.2
- Ceiling
- 32.0
- Result
- 28.2
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX48 · RB · TB16.6 mean
- Floor
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 32.9
- Result
- 20.3
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX49 · QB · CLE16.6 mean
- Floor
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 28.5
- Result
- 17.0
- In range
- Landed
-
SUPERFLEX50 · WR · NE16.5 mean
- Floor
- 8.4
- Ceiling
- 26.6
- Result
- 5.6
- In range
- Missed
Rank shown is the SUPERFLEX rank, across every position on this board (mean desc), independent of the sort you pick.
About these numbers
What these columns mean
- Team
- — The club whose published depth chart listed the player in THAT week, read from the slate's own chart rather than from his club today — these boards can be archived weeks. “not listed” where that week's chart does not list him.
- Mean
- — The league-rules-aware fantasy-points mean. It already integrates over playing-time and matchup uncertainty, so it is not a best case.
- Floor
- — The 10th percentile of this player's projected points: 10% of simulated weeks come in below it. It is the lower edge of the calibrated 80% range.
- Ceiling
- — The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated weeks come in above it. It is the upper edge of the same calibrated 80% range.
- Result
- — the fantasy points he actually scored that week, under the same scoring format as the projection, from his recorded stat line. A dash means no result is recorded for him: he did not play, or his stat line is missing a stat this format scores.
- In range
- — Landed when the result fell inside the printed Floor-to-Ceiling range (the 80% range), Missed when it fell outside. Each row is the projection on the board when his game kicked off, not a later update.