Players
2026 Week 4
Showing 2026 Week 4, a week already played. Each row is the projection that was on the board when that player's game kicked off, beside what actually happened. The live week is 2026 Week 7.

Players — 2026 Week 4

Scoring: Full PPR · 6-pt pass TD

SUPERFLEX fantasy football rankings for Week 4, 2026: projected points with calibrated floor and ceiling ranges and boom/bust odds, sortable by any column.

This archived week lists every player we projected that week, whatever his team or status today.

Week 4: 332 of 371 SUPERFLEX with a recorded result finished inside their 80% range (89%).

This season through Week 4: 1169 of 1514 (77%).

An 80% range is meant to miss about one time in five, so a week near 80% is on target. Every played week is listed, the bad ones too.

Results as recorded on 2026-10-15 (UTC); an NFL stat correction can still move one.

This is a played week, shown for the record. This week's projections are for subscribers.

This is a played week, shown as it stood at each game's kickoff. Rest-of-season and season-ahead rankings are shown for the live week only: this page cannot yet show them as they stood that week, and today's would be a later ranking under this week's label.

# Player Pos Team Mean ↓ Floor Ceiling Result In range
SUPERFLEX1 Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET 27.6 6.5 55.0 16.8 Landed
SUPERFLEX2 Josh Allen QB BUF 27.0 7.3 45.3 21.5 Landed
SUPERFLEX3 Jonathan Taylor RB IND 24.5 7.3 48.1 22.7 Landed
SUPERFLEX4 Joe Burrow QB CIN 23.9 7.9 38.7 27.7 Landed
SUPERFLEX5 Derrick Henry RB BAL 23.1 5.6 47.2 15.9 Landed
SUPERFLEX6 Lamar Jackson
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
QB BAL 23.0 4.2 41.4 22.9 Landed
SUPERFLEX7 Patrick Mahomes II QB KC 22.9 5.5 38.6 21.0 Landed
SUPERFLEX8 Brock Purdy QB SF 22.7 7.4 38.1 23.6 Landed
SUPERFLEX9 Jared Goff QB DET 22.2 5.9 37.6 22.5 Landed
SUPERFLEX10 Kenneth Walker III RB KC 22.1 7.1 42.4 30.9 Landed
SUPERFLEX11 Christian McCaffrey
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
RB SF 21.4 4.9 43.1 16.0 Landed
SUPERFLEX12 James Cook RB BUF 21.1 4.4 42.7 16.3 Landed
SUPERFLEX13 Matthew Stafford QB LAR 20.9 3.4 39.0 11.7 Landed
SUPERFLEX14 Dak Prescott QB DAL 20.7 4.2 35.2 20.1 Landed
SUPERFLEX15 C.J. Stroud QB HOU 20.4 4.3 37.5 27.1 Landed
SUPERFLEX16 Bijan Robinson RB ATL 20.3 2.5 44.6 27.7 Landed
SUPERFLEX17 Tyler Shough QB NO 20.2 3.6 37.4 17.9 Landed
SUPERFLEX18 Trevor Lawrence QB JAX 19.9 4.8 34.6 15.1 Landed
SUPERFLEX19 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 19.9 3.7 38.7 5.7 Landed
SUPERFLEX20 Deshaun Watson QB CLE 19.8 4.9 35.9 15.9 Landed
SUPERFLEX21 Bryce Young QB CAR 19.7 4.1 35.5 25.5 Landed
SUPERFLEX22 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 19.4 3.8 37.5 12.6 Landed
SUPERFLEX23 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 19.3 3.3 37.8 16.4 Landed
SUPERFLEX24 Drake Maye QB NE 19.3 3.2 35.1 31.2 Landed
SUPERFLEX25 Michael Penix QB ATL 19.2 2.9 33.5 14.7 Landed
SUPERFLEX26 Bo Nix QB DEN 19.1 3.1 33.7 15.6 Landed
SUPERFLEX27 Puka Nacua WR LAR 18.7 2.8 37.9 27.7 Landed
SUPERFLEX28 Jordan Love QB GB 18.4 2.3 34.1 18.1 Landed
SUPERFLEX29 Daniel Jones QB IND 18.2 2.3 35.9 8.9 Landed
SUPERFLEX30 Justin Herbert QB LAC 18.1 2.5 33.3 13.6 Landed
SUPERFLEX31 Chase Brown RB CIN 18.0 5.6 35.9 19.1 Landed
SUPERFLEX32 Chris Olave WR NO 17.9 2.6 35.3 19.6 Landed
SUPERFLEX33 Aaron Rodgers QB PIT 17.7 5.3 30.8 28.2 Landed
SUPERFLEX34 Kirk Cousins QB LV 17.5 1.6 33.2 25.6 Landed
SUPERFLEX35 D'Andre Swift RB CHI 17.4 3.2 37.2 7.4 Landed
SUPERFLEX36 Jaylen Warren RB PIT 17.3 4.2 34.4 15.6 Landed
SUPERFLEX37 Rashee Rice
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
WR KC 17.3 2.1 35.4 0.0 Missed
SUPERFLEX38 Jacoby Brissett QB ARI 17.2 1.6 31.4 17.4 Landed
SUPERFLEX39 Cam Skattebo
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
RB NYG 17.1 3.5 36.7 7.6 Landed
SUPERFLEX40 Sam Darnold QB SEA 17.0 0.7 34.1 18.3 Landed
SUPERFLEX41 Marcus Mariota
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
QB WAS 16.9 1.3 32.6 5.3 Landed
SUPERFLEX42 Brock Bowers TE LV 16.9 3.8 34.2 20.6 Landed
SUPERFLEX43 Ashton Jeanty RB LV 16.8 1.6 38.1 18.6 Landed
SUPERFLEX44 Aaron Jones
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
RB MIN 16.5 3.3 35.9 16.8 Landed
SUPERFLEX45 Kyren Williams RB LAR 16.5 2.7 36.6 36.7 Missed
SUPERFLEX46 Bucky Irving RB TB 16.4 2.9 35.1 6.1 Landed
SUPERFLEX47 Jeremiyah Love
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
RB ARI 16.3 1.2 36.5 6.5 Landed
SUPERFLEX48 Trey McBride TE ARI 16.3 3.8 34.1 10.1 Landed
SUPERFLEX49 Kyler Murray QB MIN 16.2 0.7 32.5 11.5 Landed
SUPERFLEX50 Drake London
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
WR ATL 16.1 1.1 34.5 14.6 Landed
  • SUPERFLEX1 · RB · DET
    27.6 mean
    Floor
    6.5
    Ceiling
    55.0
    Result
    16.8
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX2 · QB · BUF
    27.0 mean
    Floor
    7.3
    Ceiling
    45.3
    Result
    21.5
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX3 · RB · IND
    24.5 mean
    Floor
    7.3
    Ceiling
    48.1
    Result
    22.7
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX4 · QB · CIN
    23.9 mean
    Floor
    7.9
    Ceiling
    38.7
    Result
    27.7
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX5 · RB · BAL
    23.1 mean
    Floor
    5.6
    Ceiling
    47.2
    Result
    15.9
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX6 · QB · BAL
    23.0 mean
    Floor
    4.2
    Ceiling
    41.4
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    22.9
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX7 · QB · KC
    22.9 mean
    Floor
    5.5
    Ceiling
    38.6
    Result
    21.0
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX8 · QB · SF
    22.7 mean
    Floor
    7.4
    Ceiling
    38.1
    Result
    23.6
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX9 · QB · DET
    22.2 mean
    Floor
    5.9
    Ceiling
    37.6
    Result
    22.5
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX10 · RB · KC
    22.1 mean
    Floor
    7.1
    Ceiling
    42.4
    Result
    30.9
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX11 · RB · SF
    21.4 mean
    Floor
    4.9
    Ceiling
    43.1
    Availability
    Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    16.0
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX12 · RB · BUF
    21.1 mean
    Floor
    4.4
    Ceiling
    42.7
    Result
    16.3
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX13 · QB · LAR
    20.9 mean
    Floor
    3.4
    Ceiling
    39.0
    Result
    11.7
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX14 · QB · DAL
    20.7 mean
    Floor
    4.2
    Ceiling
    35.2
    Result
    20.1
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX15 · QB · HOU
    20.4 mean
    Floor
    4.3
    Ceiling
    37.5
    Result
    27.1
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX16 · RB · ATL
    20.3 mean
    Floor
    2.5
    Ceiling
    44.6
    Result
    27.7
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX17 · QB · NO
    20.2 mean
    Floor
    3.6
    Ceiling
    37.4
    Result
    17.9
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX18 · QB · JAX
    19.9 mean
    Floor
    4.8
    Ceiling
    34.6
    Result
    15.1
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX19 · WR · CIN
    19.9 mean
    Floor
    3.7
    Ceiling
    38.7
    Result
    5.7
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX20 · QB · CLE
    19.8 mean
    Floor
    4.9
    Ceiling
    35.9
    Result
    15.9
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX21 · QB · CAR
    19.7 mean
    Floor
    4.1
    Ceiling
    35.5
    Result
    25.5
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX22 · WR · SEA
    19.4 mean
    Floor
    3.8
    Ceiling
    37.5
    Result
    12.6
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX23 · WR · DET
    19.3 mean
    Floor
    3.3
    Ceiling
    37.8
    Result
    16.4
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX24 · QB · NE
    19.3 mean
    Floor
    3.2
    Ceiling
    35.1
    Result
    31.2
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX25 · QB · ATL
    19.2 mean
    Floor
    2.9
    Ceiling
    33.5
    Result
    14.7
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX26 · QB · DEN
    19.1 mean
    Floor
    3.1
    Ceiling
    33.7
    Result
    15.6
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX27 · WR · LAR
    18.7 mean
    Floor
    2.8
    Ceiling
    37.9
    Result
    27.7
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX28 · QB · GB
    18.4 mean
    Floor
    2.3
    Ceiling
    34.1
    Result
    18.1
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX29 · QB · IND
    18.2 mean
    Floor
    2.3
    Ceiling
    35.9
    Result
    8.9
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX30 · QB · LAC
    18.1 mean
    Floor
    2.5
    Ceiling
    33.3
    Result
    13.6
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX31 · RB · CIN
    18.0 mean
    Floor
    5.6
    Ceiling
    35.9
    Result
    19.1
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX32 · WR · NO
    17.9 mean
    Floor
    2.6
    Ceiling
    35.3
    Result
    19.6
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX33 · QB · PIT
    17.7 mean
    Floor
    5.3
    Ceiling
    30.8
    Result
    28.2
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX34 · QB · LV
    17.5 mean
    Floor
    1.6
    Ceiling
    33.2
    Result
    25.6
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX35 · RB · CHI
    17.4 mean
    Floor
    3.2
    Ceiling
    37.2
    Result
    7.4
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX36 · RB · PIT
    17.3 mean
    Floor
    4.2
    Ceiling
    34.4
    Result
    15.6
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX37 · WR · KC
    17.3 mean
    Floor
    2.1
    Ceiling
    35.4
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    0.0
    In range
    Missed
  • SUPERFLEX38 · QB · ARI
    17.2 mean
    Floor
    1.6
    Ceiling
    31.4
    Result
    17.4
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX39 · RB · NYG
    17.1 mean
    Floor
    3.5
    Ceiling
    36.7
    Availability
    Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    7.6
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX40 · QB · SEA
    17.0 mean
    Floor
    0.7
    Ceiling
    34.1
    Result
    18.3
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX41 · QB · WAS
    16.9 mean
    Floor
    1.3
    Ceiling
    32.6
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    5.3
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX42 · TE · LV
    16.9 mean
    Floor
    3.8
    Ceiling
    34.2
    Result
    20.6
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX43 · RB · LV
    16.8 mean
    Floor
    1.6
    Ceiling
    38.1
    Result
    18.6
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX44 · RB · MIN
    16.5 mean
    Floor
    3.3
    Ceiling
    35.9
    Availability
    Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    16.8
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX45 · RB · LAR
    16.5 mean
    Floor
    2.7
    Ceiling
    36.6
    Result
    36.7
    In range
    Missed
  • SUPERFLEX46 · RB · TB
    16.4 mean
    Floor
    2.9
    Ceiling
    35.1
    Result
    6.1
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX47 · RB · ARI
    16.3 mean
    Floor
    1.2
    Ceiling
    36.5
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    6.5
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX48 · TE · ARI
    16.3 mean
    Floor
    3.8
    Ceiling
    34.1
    Result
    10.1
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX49 · QB · MIN
    16.2 mean
    Floor
    0.7
    Ceiling
    32.5
    Result
    11.5
    In range
    Landed
  • SUPERFLEX50 · WR · ATL
    16.1 mean
    Floor
    1.1
    Ceiling
    34.5
    Availability
    Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    14.6
    In range
    Landed

Rank shown is the SUPERFLEX rank, across every position on this board (mean desc), independent of the sort you pick.

About these numbers

What these columns mean

Team
— The club whose published depth chart listed the player in THAT week, read from the slate's own chart rather than from his club today — these boards can be archived weeks. “not listed” where that week's chart does not list him.
Mean
— The league-rules-aware fantasy-points mean. It already integrates over playing-time and matchup uncertainty, so it is not a best case.
Floor
— The 10th percentile of this player's projected points: 10% of simulated weeks come in below it. It is the lower edge of the calibrated 80% range.
Ceiling
— The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated weeks come in above it. It is the upper edge of the same calibrated 80% range.
Result
— the fantasy points he actually scored that week, under the same scoring format as the projection, from his recorded stat line. A dash means no result is recorded for him: he did not play, or his stat line is missing a stat this format scores.
In range
— Landed when the result fell inside the printed Floor-to-Ceiling range (the 80% range), Missed when it fell outside. Each row is the projection on the board when his game kicked off, not a later update.
  • © 2026 Downfield Forecast LLC
  • About
  • League audit
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Cookies
  • Disclaimer
  • Acceptable Use
  • Consent Preferences
  • Contact