Players
2026 Week 1
Showing 2026 Week 1, a week already played. Each row is the projection that was on the board when that player's game kicked off, beside what actually happened. The live week is 2026 Week 7.

Players — 2026 Week 1

Scoring: Full PPR · 6-pt pass TD

WR fantasy football rankings for Week 1, 2026: projected points with calibrated floor and ceiling ranges and boom/bust odds, sortable by any column.

This archived week lists every player we projected that week, whatever his team or status today.

Week 1: 111 of 149 WR with a recorded result finished inside their 80% range (74%).

This season through Week 1: 111 of 149 (74%).

An 80% range is meant to miss about one time in five, so a week near 80% is on target. Every played week is listed, the bad ones too.

Results as recorded on 2026-10-15 (UTC); an NFL stat correction can still move one.

This is a played week, shown for the record. This week's projections are for subscribers.

This is a played week, shown as it stood at each game's kickoff. Rest-of-season and season-ahead rankings are shown for the live week only: this page cannot yet show them as they stood that week, and today's would be a later ranking under this week's label.

# Player Pos Team Mean ↓ Floor Ceiling Result In range
WR1 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 20.9 7.3 36.2 28.7 Landed
WR2 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 20.5 7.6 36.9 3.2 Missed
WR3 Puka Nacua WR LAR 20.1 11.6 32.4 12.4 Landed
WR4 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 17.7 5.2 33.0 29.2 Landed
WR5 Rashee Rice
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
WR KC 17.6 5.3 32.4 9.9 Landed
WR6 Nico Collins WR HOU 17.1 4.5 31.1 21.2 Landed
WR7 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 17.0 8.3 27.7 26.2 Landed
WR8 Chris Olave WR NO 16.7 4.2 32.0 28.2 Landed
WR9 A.J. Brown WR NE 16.5 8.4 26.6 5.6 Missed
WR10 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 15.9 3.8 30.6 15.4 Landed
WR11 Zay Flowers WR BAL 15.9 4.2 29.2 26.0 Landed
WR12 Drake London
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
WR ATL 15.7 4.2 30.2 5.5 Landed
WR13 Malik Nabers
Questionable — we expect him to play, so this is not zeroed for missing time, but it is trimmed for his practice status.
WR NYG 15.2 2.9 30.7 12.9 Landed
WR14 Wan'Dale Robinson WR TEN 14.9 3.4 27.8 8.8 Landed
WR15 Tee Higgins WR CIN 14.6 3.3 28.8 8.9 Landed
WR16 Jameson Williams WR DET 14.0 3.7 27.1 8.5 Landed
WR17 D.K. Metcalf WR PIT 13.9 3.2 27.0 8.0 Landed
WR18 Michael Wilson WR ARI 13.9 2.9 27.4 10.6 Landed
WR19 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 13.8 3.2 28.5 13.9 Landed
WR20 Brandon Aiyuk WR SF 13.4 2.3 26.7 — —
WR21 Jakobi Meyers WR JAX 13.4 3.0 25.5 12.2 Landed
WR22 George Pickens WR DAL 13.4 2.7 27.5 5.8 Landed
WR23 Courtland Sutton WR DEN 13.1 3.0 25.2 3.1 Landed
WR24 Chris Godwin WR TB 12.9 2.8 25.2 8.3 Landed
WR25 Stefon Diggs WR WAS 12.8 2.4 25.5 15.5 Landed
WR26 Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR 12.7 2.9 24.5 10.5 Landed
WR27 Mike Evans
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
WR SF 12.4 5.5 21.0 16.9 Landed
WR28 Terry McLaurin
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
WR WAS 12.4 1.7 24.8 3.4 Landed
WR29 Keenan Allen WR IND 12.3 2.4 24.2 9.2 Landed
WR30 Ladd McConkey
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
WR LAC 12.2 2.6 23.5 19.2 Landed
WR31 Luther Burden WR CHI 12.2 2.6 23.5 9.5 Landed
WR32 D.J. Moore
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
WR BUF 12.1 2.5 23.9 21.0 Landed
WR33 Parker Washington WR JAX 12.1 2.4 24.0 19.3 Landed
WR34 Brian Thomas WR JAX 12.1 2.3 25.1 7.0 Landed
WR35 Christian Watson WR GB 12.1 2.3 23.8 32.7 Missed
WR36 DeVonta Smith
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
WR PHI 11.8 1.8 24.5 8.3 Landed
WR37 Travis Hunter WR JAX 11.7 1.4 23.6 2.1 Landed
WR38 Jauan Jennings WR MIN 11.7 2.0 24.1 0.0 Missed
WR39 Tank Dell WR HOU 11.6 1.7 23.7 — —
WR40 Jaylen Waddle
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
WR DEN 11.6 1.8 22.5 1.2 Missed
WR41 Quentin Johnston WR LAC 11.3 1.4 23.6 3.7 Landed
WR42 Josh Downs WR IND 11.2 1.7 23.1 5.7 Landed
WR43 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR ARI 10.7 1.8 22.2 4.3 Landed
WR44 Devaughn Vele WR NO 10.7 1.0 22.8 19.9 Landed
WR45 Jerry Jeudy WR CLE 10.7 1.1 22.0 4.6 Landed
WR46 Khalil Shakir WR BUF 10.4 1.4 22.8 8.0 Landed
WR47 Deebo Samuel
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
WR SF 10.3 3.5 19.0 18.0 Landed
WR48 Jordan Addison WR MIN 10.3 1.1 22.0 0.0 Missed
WR49 Jalen Coker WR CAR 10.3 0.7 22.7 33.8 Missed
WR50 KC Concepcion WR CLE 10.1 2.2 21.6 7.8 Landed
  • WR1 · WR · DET
    20.9 mean
    Floor
    7.3
    Ceiling
    36.2
    Result
    28.7
    In range
    Landed
  • WR2 · WR · CIN
    20.5 mean
    Floor
    7.6
    Ceiling
    36.9
    Result
    3.2
    In range
    Missed
  • WR3 · WR · LAR
    20.1 mean
    Floor
    11.6
    Ceiling
    32.4
    Result
    12.4
    In range
    Landed
  • WR4 · WR · MIN
    17.7 mean
    Floor
    5.2
    Ceiling
    33.0
    Result
    29.2
    In range
    Landed
  • WR5 · WR · KC
    17.6 mean
    Floor
    5.3
    Ceiling
    32.4
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    9.9
    In range
    Landed
  • WR6 · WR · HOU
    17.1 mean
    Floor
    4.5
    Ceiling
    31.1
    Result
    21.2
    In range
    Landed
  • WR7 · WR · SEA
    17.0 mean
    Floor
    8.3
    Ceiling
    27.7
    Result
    26.2
    In range
    Landed
  • WR8 · WR · NO
    16.7 mean
    Floor
    4.2
    Ceiling
    32.0
    Result
    28.2
    In range
    Landed
  • WR9 · WR · NE
    16.5 mean
    Floor
    8.4
    Ceiling
    26.6
    Result
    5.6
    In range
    Missed
  • WR10 · WR · DAL
    15.9 mean
    Floor
    3.8
    Ceiling
    30.6
    Result
    15.4
    In range
    Landed
  • WR11 · WR · BAL
    15.9 mean
    Floor
    4.2
    Ceiling
    29.2
    Result
    26.0
    In range
    Landed
  • WR12 · WR · ATL
    15.7 mean
    Floor
    4.2
    Ceiling
    30.2
    Availability
    Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    5.5
    In range
    Landed
  • WR13 · WR · NYG
    15.2 mean
    Floor
    2.9
    Ceiling
    30.7
    Availability
    Questionable — we expect him to play, so this is not zeroed for missing time, but it is trimmed for his practice status.
    Result
    12.9
    In range
    Landed
  • WR14 · WR · TEN
    14.9 mean
    Floor
    3.4
    Ceiling
    27.8
    Result
    8.8
    In range
    Landed
  • WR15 · WR · CIN
    14.6 mean
    Floor
    3.3
    Ceiling
    28.8
    Result
    8.9
    In range
    Landed
  • WR16 · WR · DET
    14.0 mean
    Floor
    3.7
    Ceiling
    27.1
    Result
    8.5
    In range
    Landed
  • WR17 · WR · PIT
    13.9 mean
    Floor
    3.2
    Ceiling
    27.0
    Result
    8.0
    In range
    Landed
  • WR18 · WR · ARI
    13.9 mean
    Floor
    2.9
    Ceiling
    27.4
    Result
    10.6
    In range
    Landed
  • WR19 · WR · NYJ
    13.8 mean
    Floor
    3.2
    Ceiling
    28.5
    Result
    13.9
    In range
    Landed
  • WR20 · WR · SF
    13.4 mean
    Floor
    2.3
    Ceiling
    26.7
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • WR21 · WR · JAX
    13.4 mean
    Floor
    3.0
    Ceiling
    25.5
    Result
    12.2
    In range
    Landed
  • WR22 · WR · DAL
    13.4 mean
    Floor
    2.7
    Ceiling
    27.5
    Result
    5.8
    In range
    Landed
  • WR23 · WR · DEN
    13.1 mean
    Floor
    3.0
    Ceiling
    25.2
    Result
    3.1
    In range
    Landed
  • WR24 · WR · TB
    12.9 mean
    Floor
    2.8
    Ceiling
    25.2
    Result
    8.3
    In range
    Landed
  • WR25 · WR · WAS
    12.8 mean
    Floor
    2.4
    Ceiling
    25.5
    Result
    15.5
    In range
    Landed
  • WR26 · WR · CAR
    12.7 mean
    Floor
    2.9
    Ceiling
    24.5
    Result
    10.5
    In range
    Landed
  • WR27 · WR · SF
    12.4 mean
    Floor
    5.5
    Ceiling
    21.0
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    16.9
    In range
    Landed
  • WR28 · WR · WAS
    12.4 mean
    Floor
    1.7
    Ceiling
    24.8
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    3.4
    In range
    Landed
  • WR29 · WR · IND
    12.3 mean
    Floor
    2.4
    Ceiling
    24.2
    Result
    9.2
    In range
    Landed
  • WR30 · WR · LAC
    12.2 mean
    Floor
    2.6
    Ceiling
    23.5
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    19.2
    In range
    Landed
  • WR31 · WR · CHI
    12.2 mean
    Floor
    2.6
    Ceiling
    23.5
    Result
    9.5
    In range
    Landed
  • WR32 · WR · BUF
    12.1 mean
    Floor
    2.5
    Ceiling
    23.9
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    21.0
    In range
    Landed
  • WR33 · WR · JAX
    12.1 mean
    Floor
    2.4
    Ceiling
    24.0
    Result
    19.3
    In range
    Landed
  • WR34 · WR · JAX
    12.1 mean
    Floor
    2.3
    Ceiling
    25.1
    Result
    7.0
    In range
    Landed
  • WR35 · WR · GB
    12.1 mean
    Floor
    2.3
    Ceiling
    23.8
    Result
    32.7
    In range
    Missed
  • WR36 · WR · PHI
    11.8 mean
    Floor
    1.8
    Ceiling
    24.5
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    8.3
    In range
    Landed
  • WR37 · WR · JAX
    11.7 mean
    Floor
    1.4
    Ceiling
    23.6
    Result
    2.1
    In range
    Landed
  • WR38 · WR · MIN
    11.7 mean
    Floor
    2.0
    Ceiling
    24.1
    Result
    0.0
    In range
    Missed
  • WR39 · WR · HOU
    11.6 mean
    Floor
    1.7
    Ceiling
    23.7
    Result
    —
    In range
    —
  • WR40 · WR · DEN
    11.6 mean
    Floor
    1.8
    Ceiling
    22.5
    Availability
    Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    1.2
    In range
    Missed
  • WR41 · WR · LAC
    11.3 mean
    Floor
    1.4
    Ceiling
    23.6
    Result
    3.7
    In range
    Landed
  • WR42 · WR · IND
    11.2 mean
    Floor
    1.7
    Ceiling
    23.1
    Result
    5.7
    In range
    Landed
  • WR43 · WR · ARI
    10.7 mean
    Floor
    1.8
    Ceiling
    22.2
    Result
    4.3
    In range
    Landed
  • WR44 · WR · NO
    10.7 mean
    Floor
    1.0
    Ceiling
    22.8
    Result
    19.9
    In range
    Landed
  • WR45 · WR · CLE
    10.7 mean
    Floor
    1.1
    Ceiling
    22.0
    Result
    4.6
    In range
    Landed
  • WR46 · WR · BUF
    10.4 mean
    Floor
    1.4
    Ceiling
    22.8
    Result
    8.0
    In range
    Landed
  • WR47 · WR · SF
    10.3 mean
    Floor
    3.5
    Ceiling
    19.0
    Availability
    Out — this number is not discounted for it.
    Result
    18.0
    In range
    Landed
  • WR48 · WR · MIN
    10.3 mean
    Floor
    1.1
    Ceiling
    22.0
    Result
    0.0
    In range
    Missed
  • WR49 · WR · CAR
    10.3 mean
    Floor
    0.7
    Ceiling
    22.7
    Result
    33.8
    In range
    Missed
  • WR50 · WR · CLE
    10.1 mean
    Floor
    2.2
    Ceiling
    21.6
    Result
    7.8
    In range
    Landed

Rank shown is position rank (mean desc), independent of the sort you pick.

About these numbers

What these columns mean

Team
— The club whose published depth chart listed the player in THAT week, read from the slate's own chart rather than from his club today — these boards can be archived weeks. “not listed” where that week's chart does not list him.
Mean
— The league-rules-aware fantasy-points mean. It already integrates over playing-time and matchup uncertainty, so it is not a best case.
Floor
— The 10th percentile of this player's projected points: 10% of simulated weeks come in below it. It is the lower edge of the calibrated 80% range.
Ceiling
— The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated weeks come in above it. It is the upper edge of the same calibrated 80% range.
Result
— the fantasy points he actually scored that week, under the same scoring format as the projection, from his recorded stat line. A dash means no result is recorded for him: he did not play, or his stat line is missing a stat this format scores.
In range
— Landed when the result fell inside the printed Floor-to-Ceiling range (the 80% range), Missed when it fell outside. Each row is the projection on the board when his game kicked off, not a later update.
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