Players — 2026 Week 1
Scoring: Full PPR · 6-pt pass TD
WR fantasy football rankings for Week 1, 2026: projected points with calibrated floor and ceiling ranges and boom/bust odds, sortable by any column.
This archived week lists every player we projected that week, whatever his team or status today.
Week 1: 111 of 149 WR with a recorded result finished inside their 80% range (74%).
This season through Week 1: 111 of 149 (74%).
An 80% range is meant to miss about one time in five, so a week near 80% is on target. Every played week is listed, the bad ones too.
Results as recorded on 2026-10-15 (UTC); an NFL stat correction can still move one.
This is a played week, shown for the record. This week's projections are for subscribers.
This is a played week, shown as it stood at each game's kickoff. Rest-of-season and season-ahead rankings are shown for the live week only: this page cannot yet show them as they stood that week, and today's would be a later ranking under this week's label.
| # | Player | Pos | Team | Mean ↓ | Floor | Ceiling | Result | In range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR1 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 20.9 | 7.3 | 36.2 | 28.7 | Landed |
| WR2 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 20.5 | 7.6 | 36.9 | 3.2 | Missed |
| WR3 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 20.1 | 11.6 | 32.4 | 12.4 | Landed |
| WR4 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 17.7 | 5.2 | 33.0 | 29.2 | Landed |
| WR5 |
Rashee Rice
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
WR | KC | 17.6 | 5.3 | 32.4 | 9.9 | Landed |
| WR6 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 17.1 | 4.5 | 31.1 | 21.2 | Landed |
| WR7 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 17.0 | 8.3 | 27.7 | 26.2 | Landed |
| WR8 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 16.7 | 4.2 | 32.0 | 28.2 | Landed |
| WR9 | A.J. Brown | WR | NE | 16.5 | 8.4 | 26.6 | 5.6 | Missed |
| WR10 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 15.9 | 3.8 | 30.6 | 15.4 | Landed |
| WR11 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 15.9 | 4.2 | 29.2 | 26.0 | Landed |
| WR12 |
Drake London
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
|
WR | ATL | 15.7 | 4.2 | 30.2 | 5.5 | Landed |
| WR13 |
Malik Nabers
Questionable — we expect him to play, so this is not zeroed for missing time, but it is trimmed for his practice status.
|
WR | NYG | 15.2 | 2.9 | 30.7 | 12.9 | Landed |
| WR14 | Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | TEN | 14.9 | 3.4 | 27.8 | 8.8 | Landed |
| WR15 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 14.6 | 3.3 | 28.8 | 8.9 | Landed |
| WR16 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 14.0 | 3.7 | 27.1 | 8.5 | Landed |
| WR17 | D.K. Metcalf | WR | PIT | 13.9 | 3.2 | 27.0 | 8.0 | Landed |
| WR18 | Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | 13.9 | 2.9 | 27.4 | 10.6 | Landed |
| WR19 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 13.8 | 3.2 | 28.5 | 13.9 | Landed |
| WR20 | Brandon Aiyuk | WR | SF | 13.4 | 2.3 | 26.7 | — | — |
| WR21 | Jakobi Meyers | WR | JAX | 13.4 | 3.0 | 25.5 | 12.2 | Landed |
| WR22 | George Pickens | WR | DAL | 13.4 | 2.7 | 27.5 | 5.8 | Landed |
| WR23 | Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | 13.1 | 3.0 | 25.2 | 3.1 | Landed |
| WR24 | Chris Godwin | WR | TB | 12.9 | 2.8 | 25.2 | 8.3 | Landed |
| WR25 | Stefon Diggs | WR | WAS | 12.8 | 2.4 | 25.5 | 15.5 | Landed |
| WR26 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 12.7 | 2.9 | 24.5 | 10.5 | Landed |
| WR27 |
Mike Evans
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
WR | SF | 12.4 | 5.5 | 21.0 | 16.9 | Landed |
| WR28 |
Terry McLaurin
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
WR | WAS | 12.4 | 1.7 | 24.8 | 3.4 | Landed |
| WR29 | Keenan Allen | WR | IND | 12.3 | 2.4 | 24.2 | 9.2 | Landed |
| WR30 |
Ladd McConkey
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
WR | LAC | 12.2 | 2.6 | 23.5 | 19.2 | Landed |
| WR31 | Luther Burden | WR | CHI | 12.2 | 2.6 | 23.5 | 9.5 | Landed |
| WR32 |
D.J. Moore
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
WR | BUF | 12.1 | 2.5 | 23.9 | 21.0 | Landed |
| WR33 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | 12.1 | 2.4 | 24.0 | 19.3 | Landed |
| WR34 | Brian Thomas | WR | JAX | 12.1 | 2.3 | 25.1 | 7.0 | Landed |
| WR35 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 12.1 | 2.3 | 23.8 | 32.7 | Missed |
| WR36 |
DeVonta Smith
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
WR | PHI | 11.8 | 1.8 | 24.5 | 8.3 | Landed |
| WR37 | Travis Hunter | WR | JAX | 11.7 | 1.4 | 23.6 | 2.1 | Landed |
| WR38 | Jauan Jennings | WR | MIN | 11.7 | 2.0 | 24.1 | 0.0 | Missed |
| WR39 | Tank Dell | WR | HOU | 11.6 | 1.7 | 23.7 | — | — |
| WR40 |
Jaylen Waddle
Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
|
WR | DEN | 11.6 | 1.8 | 22.5 | 1.2 | Missed |
| WR41 | Quentin Johnston | WR | LAC | 11.3 | 1.4 | 23.6 | 3.7 | Landed |
| WR42 | Josh Downs | WR | IND | 11.2 | 1.7 | 23.1 | 5.7 | Landed |
| WR43 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | ARI | 10.7 | 1.8 | 22.2 | 4.3 | Landed |
| WR44 | Devaughn Vele | WR | NO | 10.7 | 1.0 | 22.8 | 19.9 | Landed |
| WR45 | Jerry Jeudy | WR | CLE | 10.7 | 1.1 | 22.0 | 4.6 | Landed |
| WR46 | Khalil Shakir | WR | BUF | 10.4 | 1.4 | 22.8 | 8.0 | Landed |
| WR47 |
Deebo Samuel
Out — this number is not discounted for it.
|
WR | SF | 10.3 | 3.5 | 19.0 | 18.0 | Landed |
| WR48 | Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | 10.3 | 1.1 | 22.0 | 0.0 | Missed |
| WR49 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | 10.3 | 0.7 | 22.7 | 33.8 | Missed |
| WR50 | KC Concepcion | WR | CLE | 10.1 | 2.2 | 21.6 | 7.8 | Landed |
-
WR1 · WR · DET20.9 mean
- Floor
- 7.3
- Ceiling
- 36.2
- Result
- 28.7
- In range
- Landed
-
WR2 · WR · CIN20.5 mean
- Floor
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 36.9
- Result
- 3.2
- In range
- Missed
-
WR3 · WR · LAR20.1 mean
- Floor
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 32.4
- Result
- 12.4
- In range
- Landed
-
WR4 · WR · MIN17.7 mean
- Floor
- 5.2
- Ceiling
- 33.0
- Result
- 29.2
- In range
- Landed
-
WR5 · WR · KC17.6 mean
- Floor
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 32.4
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 9.9
- In range
- Landed
-
WR6 · WR · HOU17.1 mean
- Floor
- 4.5
- Ceiling
- 31.1
- Result
- 21.2
- In range
- Landed
-
WR7 · WR · SEA17.0 mean
- Floor
- 8.3
- Ceiling
- 27.7
- Result
- 26.2
- In range
- Landed
-
WR8 · WR · NO16.7 mean
- Floor
- 4.2
- Ceiling
- 32.0
- Result
- 28.2
- In range
- Landed
-
WR9 · WR · NE16.5 mean
- Floor
- 8.4
- Ceiling
- 26.6
- Result
- 5.6
- In range
- Missed
-
WR10 · WR · DAL15.9 mean
- Floor
- 3.8
- Ceiling
- 30.6
- Result
- 15.4
- In range
- Landed
-
WR11 · WR · BAL15.9 mean
- Floor
- 4.2
- Ceiling
- 29.2
- Result
- 26.0
- In range
- Landed
-
WR12 · WR · ATL15.7 mean
- Floor
- 4.2
- Ceiling
- 30.2
- Availability
- Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 5.5
- In range
- Landed
-
WR13 · WR · NYG15.2 mean
- Floor
- 2.9
- Ceiling
- 30.7
- Availability
- Questionable — we expect him to play, so this is not zeroed for missing time, but it is trimmed for his practice status.
- Result
- 12.9
- In range
- Landed
-
WR14 · WR · TEN14.9 mean
- Floor
- 3.4
- Ceiling
- 27.8
- Result
- 8.8
- In range
- Landed
-
WR15 · WR · CIN14.6 mean
- Floor
- 3.3
- Ceiling
- 28.8
- Result
- 8.9
- In range
- Landed
-
WR16 · WR · DET14.0 mean
- Floor
- 3.7
- Ceiling
- 27.1
- Result
- 8.5
- In range
- Landed
-
WR17 · WR · PIT13.9 mean
- Floor
- 3.2
- Ceiling
- 27.0
- Result
- 8.0
- In range
- Landed
-
WR18 · WR · ARI13.9 mean
- Floor
- 2.9
- Ceiling
- 27.4
- Result
- 10.6
- In range
- Landed
-
WR19 · WR · NYJ13.8 mean
- Floor
- 3.2
- Ceiling
- 28.5
- Result
- 13.9
- In range
- Landed
-
WR20 · WR · SF13.4 mean
- Floor
- 2.3
- Ceiling
- 26.7
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
WR21 · WR · JAX13.4 mean
- Floor
- 3.0
- Ceiling
- 25.5
- Result
- 12.2
- In range
- Landed
-
WR22 · WR · DAL13.4 mean
- Floor
- 2.7
- Ceiling
- 27.5
- Result
- 5.8
- In range
- Landed
-
WR23 · WR · DEN13.1 mean
- Floor
- 3.0
- Ceiling
- 25.2
- Result
- 3.1
- In range
- Landed
-
WR24 · WR · TB12.9 mean
- Floor
- 2.8
- Ceiling
- 25.2
- Result
- 8.3
- In range
- Landed
-
WR25 · WR · WAS12.8 mean
- Floor
- 2.4
- Ceiling
- 25.5
- Result
- 15.5
- In range
- Landed
-
WR26 · WR · CAR12.7 mean
- Floor
- 2.9
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Result
- 10.5
- In range
- Landed
-
WR27 · WR · SF12.4 mean
- Floor
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 16.9
- In range
- Landed
-
WR28 · WR · WAS12.4 mean
- Floor
- 1.7
- Ceiling
- 24.8
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 3.4
- In range
- Landed
-
WR29 · WR · IND12.3 mean
- Floor
- 2.4
- Ceiling
- 24.2
- Result
- 9.2
- In range
- Landed
-
WR30 · WR · LAC12.2 mean
- Floor
- 2.6
- Ceiling
- 23.5
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 19.2
- In range
- Landed
-
WR31 · WR · CHI12.2 mean
- Floor
- 2.6
- Ceiling
- 23.5
- Result
- 9.5
- In range
- Landed
-
WR32 · WR · BUF12.1 mean
- Floor
- 2.5
- Ceiling
- 23.9
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 21.0
- In range
- Landed
-
WR33 · WR · JAX12.1 mean
- Floor
- 2.4
- Ceiling
- 24.0
- Result
- 19.3
- In range
- Landed
-
WR34 · WR · JAX12.1 mean
- Floor
- 2.3
- Ceiling
- 25.1
- Result
- 7.0
- In range
- Landed
-
WR35 · WR · GB12.1 mean
- Floor
- 2.3
- Ceiling
- 23.8
- Result
- 32.7
- In range
- Missed
-
WR36 · WR · PHI11.8 mean
- Floor
- 1.8
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 8.3
- In range
- Landed
-
WR37 · WR · JAX11.7 mean
- Floor
- 1.4
- Ceiling
- 23.6
- Result
- 2.1
- In range
- Landed
-
WR38 · WR · MIN11.7 mean
- Floor
- 2.0
- Ceiling
- 24.1
- Result
- 0.0
- In range
- Missed
-
WR39 · WR · HOU11.6 mean
- Floor
- 1.7
- Ceiling
- 23.7
- Result
- —
- In range
- —
-
WR40 · WR · DEN11.6 mean
- Floor
- 1.8
- Ceiling
- 22.5
- Availability
- Questionable — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 1.2
- In range
- Missed
-
WR41 · WR · LAC11.3 mean
- Floor
- 1.4
- Ceiling
- 23.6
- Result
- 3.7
- In range
- Landed
-
WR42 · WR · IND11.2 mean
- Floor
- 1.7
- Ceiling
- 23.1
- Result
- 5.7
- In range
- Landed
-
WR43 · WR · ARI10.7 mean
- Floor
- 1.8
- Ceiling
- 22.2
- Result
- 4.3
- In range
- Landed
-
WR44 · WR · NO10.7 mean
- Floor
- 1.0
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Result
- 19.9
- In range
- Landed
-
WR45 · WR · CLE10.7 mean
- Floor
- 1.1
- Ceiling
- 22.0
- Result
- 4.6
- In range
- Landed
-
WR46 · WR · BUF10.4 mean
- Floor
- 1.4
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Result
- 8.0
- In range
- Landed
-
WR47 · WR · SF10.3 mean
- Floor
- 3.5
- Ceiling
- 19.0
- Availability
- Out — this number is not discounted for it.
- Result
- 18.0
- In range
- Landed
-
WR48 · WR · MIN10.3 mean
- Floor
- 1.1
- Ceiling
- 22.0
- Result
- 0.0
- In range
- Missed
-
WR49 · WR · CAR10.3 mean
- Floor
- 0.7
- Ceiling
- 22.7
- Result
- 33.8
- In range
- Missed
-
WR50 · WR · CLE10.1 mean
- Floor
- 2.2
- Ceiling
- 21.6
- Result
- 7.8
- In range
- Landed
Rank shown is position rank (mean desc), independent of the sort you pick.
About these numbers
What these columns mean
- Team
- — The club whose published depth chart listed the player in THAT week, read from the slate's own chart rather than from his club today — these boards can be archived weeks. “not listed” where that week's chart does not list him.
- Mean
- — The league-rules-aware fantasy-points mean. It already integrates over playing-time and matchup uncertainty, so it is not a best case.
- Floor
- — The 10th percentile of this player's projected points: 10% of simulated weeks come in below it. It is the lower edge of the calibrated 80% range.
- Ceiling
- — The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated weeks come in above it. It is the upper edge of the same calibrated 80% range.
- Result
- — the fantasy points he actually scored that week, under the same scoring format as the projection, from his recorded stat line. A dash means no result is recorded for him: he did not play, or his stat line is missing a stat this format scores.
- In range
- — Landed when the result fell inside the printed Floor-to-Ceiling range (the 80% range), Missed when it fell outside. Each row is the projection on the board when his game kicked off, not a later update.