Players — 2024 Week 5
Scoring: Full PPR
DEF fantasy football rankings for Week 5, 2024: projected points with calibrated floor and ceiling ranges and boom/bust odds, sortable by any column.
Archived example week — 2024 Week 5.
These are not current projections. Many of these players are still active, so
don't use these numbers to set a lineup. Subscribers get the live week.
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DET, LAC, PHI and TEN were on bye in 2024 Week 5. A team defense scores only in a game, so those 4 clubs have no row on this board.
Boom is blank on every row of this board. A boom is a week beating 1.5x the typical starter at the position, and we state that bar only where a second, independent source has checked it — QB, RB, WR and TE. Rather than print an upside number we cannot stand behind, we print none. Every other column here is unaffected.
| # | Player | Pos | Mean ↑ | Floor | Ceiling | Boom | Bust | Profile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEF28 | Los Angeles Rams | DEF | 5.4 | -1.0 | 11.3 | — | 67% | high variance |
| DEF27 | Atlanta Falcons | DEF | 5.6 | -0.3 | 11.8 | — | 68% | high variance |
| DEF26 | Arizona Cardinals | DEF | 5.7 | -0.4 | 11.9 | — | 66% | high variance |
| DEF25 | Cincinnati Bengals | DEF | 5.7 | -1.1 | 12.7 | — | 67% | high variance |
| DEF24 | Cleveland Browns | DEF | 5.9 | -1.5 | 13.4 | — | 63% | high variance |
| DEF23 | Houston Texans | DEF | 6.1 | -0.2 | 12.4 | — | 64% | high variance |
| DEF22 | Las Vegas Raiders | DEF | 6.1 | -0.3 | 12.5 | — | 63% | high variance |
| DEF21 | New York Jets | DEF | 6.2 | -0.3 | 13.1 | — | 63% | high variance |
| DEF20 | Dallas Cowboys | DEF | 6.4 | -1.3 | 13.8 | — | 60% | high variance |
| DEF19 | Baltimore Ravens | DEF | 6.9 | 0.7 | 13.0 | — | 57% | swingy |
| DEF18 | Miami Dolphins | DEF | 6.9 | -0.2 | 13.8 | — | 57% | high variance |
| DEF17 | Carolina Panthers | DEF | 7.1 | 0.8 | 13.1 | — | 57% | swingy |
| DEF16 | New York Giants | DEF | 7.3 | 1.3 | 13.3 | — | 54% | swingy |
| DEF15 | San Francisco 49ers | DEF | 7.6 | 2.0 | 13.5 | — | 52% | steady |
| DEF14 | Jacksonville Jaguars | DEF | 7.6 | 0.9 | 14.4 | — | 51% | swingy |
| DEF13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | DEF | 7.7 | 2.3 | 13.0 | — | 51% | steady |
| DEF12 | Buffalo Bills | DEF | 7.9 | 2.4 | 13.4 | — | 50% | steady |
| DEF11 | New Orleans Saints | DEF | 8.0 | 1.5 | 14.6 | — | 50% | swingy |
| DEF10 | Pittsburgh Steelers | DEF | 8.1 | 1.7 | 14.2 | — | 46% | swingy |
| DEF9 | Indianapolis Colts | DEF | 8.2 | 1.8 | 15.1 | — | 47% | swingy |
| DEF8 | Green Bay Packers | DEF | 8.3 | 2.6 | 14.5 | — | 45% | steady |
| DEF7 | Seattle Seahawks | DEF | 8.7 | 2.8 | 14.9 | — | 42% | steady |
| DEF6 | Minnesota Vikings | DEF | 8.8 | 2.8 | 15.7 | — | 44% | steady |
| DEF5 | Washington Commanders | DEF | 8.9 | 2.4 | 15.6 | — | 41% | steady |
| DEF4 | Chicago Bears | DEF | 9.1 | 2.5 | 15.8 | — | 41% | steady |
| DEF3 | Denver Broncos | DEF | 9.1 | 2.7 | 15.4 | — | 38% | steady |
| DEF2 | Kansas City Chiefs | DEF | 9.3 | 3.3 | 15.6 | — | 37% | steady |
| DEF1 | New England Patriots | DEF | 9.5 | 3.3 | 15.8 | — | 35% | steady |
-
DEF28 · DEF5.4 mean
- Floor
- -1.0
- Ceiling
- 11.3
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 67%
- Profile
- high variance
-
DEF27 · DEF5.6 mean
- Floor
- -0.3
- Ceiling
- 11.8
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 68%
- Profile
- high variance
-
DEF26 · DEF5.7 mean
- Floor
- -0.4
- Ceiling
- 11.9
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 66%
- Profile
- high variance
-
DEF25 · DEF5.7 mean
- Floor
- -1.1
- Ceiling
- 12.7
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 67%
- Profile
- high variance
-
DEF24 · DEF5.9 mean
- Floor
- -1.5
- Ceiling
- 13.4
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 63%
- Profile
- high variance
-
DEF23 · DEF6.1 mean
- Floor
- -0.2
- Ceiling
- 12.4
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 64%
- Profile
- high variance
-
DEF22 · DEF6.1 mean
- Floor
- -0.3
- Ceiling
- 12.5
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 63%
- Profile
- high variance
-
DEF21 · DEF6.2 mean
- Floor
- -0.3
- Ceiling
- 13.1
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 63%
- Profile
- high variance
-
DEF20 · DEF6.4 mean
- Floor
- -1.3
- Ceiling
- 13.8
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 60%
- Profile
- high variance
-
DEF19 · DEF6.9 mean
- Floor
- 0.7
- Ceiling
- 13.0
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 57%
- Profile
- swingy
-
DEF18 · DEF6.9 mean
- Floor
- -0.2
- Ceiling
- 13.8
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 57%
- Profile
- high variance
-
DEF17 · DEF7.1 mean
- Floor
- 0.8
- Ceiling
- 13.1
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 57%
- Profile
- swingy
-
DEF16 · DEF7.3 mean
- Floor
- 1.3
- Ceiling
- 13.3
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 54%
- Profile
- swingy
-
DEF15 · DEF7.6 mean
- Floor
- 2.0
- Ceiling
- 13.5
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 52%
- Profile
- steady
-
DEF14 · DEF7.6 mean
- Floor
- 0.9
- Ceiling
- 14.4
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 51%
- Profile
- swingy
-
DEF13 · DEF7.7 mean
- Floor
- 2.3
- Ceiling
- 13.0
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 51%
- Profile
- steady
-
DEF12 · DEF7.9 mean
- Floor
- 2.4
- Ceiling
- 13.4
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 50%
- Profile
- steady
-
DEF11 · DEF8.0 mean
- Floor
- 1.5
- Ceiling
- 14.6
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 50%
- Profile
- swingy
-
DEF10 · DEF8.1 mean
- Floor
- 1.7
- Ceiling
- 14.2
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 46%
- Profile
- swingy
-
DEF9 · DEF8.2 mean
- Floor
- 1.8
- Ceiling
- 15.1
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 47%
- Profile
- swingy
-
DEF8 · DEF8.3 mean
- Floor
- 2.6
- Ceiling
- 14.5
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 45%
- Profile
- steady
-
DEF7 · DEF8.7 mean
- Floor
- 2.8
- Ceiling
- 14.9
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 42%
- Profile
- steady
-
DEF6 · DEF8.8 mean
- Floor
- 2.8
- Ceiling
- 15.7
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 44%
- Profile
- steady
-
DEF5 · DEF8.9 mean
- Floor
- 2.4
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 41%
- Profile
- steady
-
DEF4 · DEF9.1 mean
- Floor
- 2.5
- Ceiling
- 15.8
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 41%
- Profile
- steady
-
DEF3 · DEF9.1 mean
- Floor
- 2.7
- Ceiling
- 15.4
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 38%
- Profile
- steady
-
DEF2 · DEF9.3 mean
- Floor
- 3.3
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 37%
- Profile
- steady
-
DEF1 · DEF9.5 mean
- Floor
- 3.3
- Ceiling
- 15.8
- Boom
- —
- Bust
- 35%
- Profile
- steady
What these columns mean
- Mean
- — The league-rules-aware fantasy-points mean. It already integrates over playing-time and matchup uncertainty, so it is not a best case.
- Floor
- — The 10th percentile of this player's projected points: 10% of simulated weeks come in below it. It is the lower edge of the calibrated 80% range.
- Ceiling
- — The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated weeks come in above it. It is the upper edge of the same calibrated 80% range.
- Boom
- — Chance of a week beating 1.5x the typical starter at this position — the median projection among the players at or above replacement level. A bar for the position, never for the player, so two rows here mean the same thing.
- Bust
- — Chance of finishing below replacement level: the points of the best player still free at this position once all 12 teams have filled a starting lineup.
- Profile
- — Spread and nothing else — no claim about upside. The coefficient of variation (standard deviation divided by mean), bucketed: rock solid below 0.45; steady up to 0.60; swingy up to 0.80; high variance at 0.80 and above. “BYE” instead where the player's club had no game that week — a spread is a claim about a week that is played (operator action 426).
Rank shown is position rank (mean desc), independent of the sort you pick.