Players — 2024 Week 5
Scoring: Full PPR · 6-pt pass TD
DEF fantasy football rankings for the rest of the 2024 season, ordered by our projected total (not the “Median” column).
Today's model, trained only on what was known by 2024 Week 5; some calibration settings were measured on later seasons.
Projected fantasy points for the rest of the 2024 season
| # | Player | Team | Median | Floor (P10) | Ceiling (P90) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tennessee Titans | TEN | 99.6 | 79.2 | 117.1 |
| 2 | New York Jets | NYJ | 88.0 | 69.5 | 115.3 |
| 3 | Kansas City Chiefs | KC | 86.4 | 67.1 | 114.9 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Steelers | PIT | 90.1 | 71.3 | 107.7 |
| 5 | Miami Dolphins | MIA | 90.1 | 69.2 | 108.4 |
| 6 | Indianapolis Colts | IND | 86.0 | 69.5 | 109.0 |
| 7 | Baltimore Ravens | BAL | 88.2 | 70.0 | 104.8 |
| 8 | New York Giants | NYG | 88.9 | 64.1 | 106.8 |
| 9 | Washington Commanders | WAS | 88.6 | 64.0 | 107.9 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Chargers | LAC | 84.0 | 68.2 | 109.9 |
| 11 | Jacksonville Jaguars | JAX | 90.3 | 54.3 | 108.1 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Rams | LAR | 85.7 | 65.9 | 104.0 |
| 13 | San Francisco 49ers | SF | 84.9 | 66.0 | 102.8 |
| 14 | Las Vegas Raiders | LV | 85.6 | 63.4 | 108.4 |
| 15 | Cincinnati Bengals | CIN | 85.1 | 65.8 | 105.1 |
| 16 | New England Patriots | NE | 84.5 | 61.6 | 106.2 |
| 17 | Houston Texans | HOU | 81.6 | 69.3 | 100.3 |
| 18 | New Orleans Saints | NO | 84.0 | 66.1 | 96.3 |
| 19 | Chicago Bears | CHI | 82.6 | 63.8 | 99.8 |
| 20 | Philadelphia Eagles | PHI | 79.5 | 69.2 | 99.5 |
| 21 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | TB | 80.6 | 66.3 | 97.3 |
| 22 | Denver Broncos | DEN | 79.8 | 59.6 | 100.4 |
| 23 | Carolina Panthers | CAR | 80.0 | 61.8 | 100.1 |
| 24 | Minnesota Vikings | MIN | 78.5 | 58.7 | 104.8 |
| 25 | Cleveland Browns | CLE | 80.7 | 57.0 | 103.3 |
| 26 | Detroit Lions | DET | 78.2 | 64.2 | 94.2 |
| 27 | Buffalo Bills | BUF | 77.9 | 60.3 | 102.0 |
| 28 | Atlanta Falcons | ATL | 79.7 | 59.6 | 94.0 |
| 29 | Dallas Cowboys | DAL | 78.7 | 50.7 | 97.9 |
| 30 | Seattle Seahawks | SEA | 76.1 | 52.3 | 102.9 |
| 31 | Green Bay Packers | GB | 77.8 | 52.9 | 94.0 |
| 32 | Arizona Cardinals | ARI | 69.5 | 41.7 | 88.4 |
-
TEN99.6 median
- Floor (P10)
- 79.2
- Ceiling (P90)
- 117.1
-
NYJ88.0 median
- Floor (P10)
- 69.5
- Ceiling (P90)
- 115.3
-
KC86.4 median
- Floor (P10)
- 67.1
- Ceiling (P90)
- 114.9
-
PIT90.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 71.3
- Ceiling (P90)
- 107.7
-
MIA90.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 69.2
- Ceiling (P90)
- 108.4
-
IND86.0 median
- Floor (P10)
- 69.5
- Ceiling (P90)
- 109.0
-
BAL88.2 median
- Floor (P10)
- 70.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 104.8
-
NYG88.9 median
- Floor (P10)
- 64.1
- Ceiling (P90)
- 106.8
-
WAS88.6 median
- Floor (P10)
- 64.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 107.9
-
LAC84.0 median
- Floor (P10)
- 68.2
- Ceiling (P90)
- 109.9
-
JAX90.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 54.3
- Ceiling (P90)
- 108.1
-
12. Los Angeles RamsLAR85.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 65.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 104.0
-
SF84.9 median
- Floor (P10)
- 66.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 102.8
-
LV85.6 median
- Floor (P10)
- 63.4
- Ceiling (P90)
- 108.4
-
CIN85.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 65.8
- Ceiling (P90)
- 105.1
-
NE84.5 median
- Floor (P10)
- 61.6
- Ceiling (P90)
- 106.2
-
17. Houston TexansHOU81.6 median
- Floor (P10)
- 69.3
- Ceiling (P90)
- 100.3
-
NO84.0 median
- Floor (P10)
- 66.1
- Ceiling (P90)
- 96.3
-
19. Chicago BearsCHI82.6 median
- Floor (P10)
- 63.8
- Ceiling (P90)
- 99.8
-
PHI79.5 median
- Floor (P10)
- 69.2
- Ceiling (P90)
- 99.5
-
TB80.6 median
- Floor (P10)
- 66.3
- Ceiling (P90)
- 97.3
-
22. Denver BroncosDEN79.8 median
- Floor (P10)
- 59.6
- Ceiling (P90)
- 100.4
-
CAR80.0 median
- Floor (P10)
- 61.8
- Ceiling (P90)
- 100.1
-
MIN78.5 median
- Floor (P10)
- 58.7
- Ceiling (P90)
- 104.8
-
25. Cleveland BrownsCLE80.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 57.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 103.3
-
26. Detroit LionsDET78.2 median
- Floor (P10)
- 64.2
- Ceiling (P90)
- 94.2
-
27. Buffalo BillsBUF77.9 median
- Floor (P10)
- 60.3
- Ceiling (P90)
- 102.0
-
28. Atlanta FalconsATL79.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 59.6
- Ceiling (P90)
- 94.0
-
29. Dallas CowboysDAL78.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 50.7
- Ceiling (P90)
- 97.9
-
30. Seattle SeahawksSEA76.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 52.3
- Ceiling (P90)
- 102.9
-
GB77.8 median
- Floor (P10)
- 52.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 94.0
-
ARI69.5 median
- Floor (P10)
- 41.7
- Ceiling (P90)
- 88.4
Ordered by our projected total for the rest of the 2024 season, which is not the “Median” column: a row can rank above one with a larger “Median”.
About these numbers
Season-ahead keeper value isn't reliable for defenses — they're best managed week to week.
Season-long figures leave out the Full PPR · 6-pt pass TD baseline's per-game rules — points-allowed brackets. They pay per game, and a season total cannot say which games would clear them.
What these columns mean
- Team
- — His club today, from the current roster — not a week's depth chart, because these figures are for the rest of the 2024 season rather than for one game.
- Median
- — The middle of our projected fantasy points for the rest of the 2024 season: half of the simulated outcomes come in above it.
- Floor (P10)
- — The 10th percentile of the same projection: 10% of simulated outcomes come in below it.
- Ceiling (P90)
- — The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated outcomes come in above it.