Players
2024 Week 5 · Archive

Players — 2024 Week 5

Scoring: Full PPR · 6-pt pass TD

SUPERFLEX fantasy football rankings for the 2025 season, ordered by the expected total (the projection counted against the “Chance he plays” figure).

Archived example week — 2024 Week 5. These are not current projections. Many of these players are still active, so don't use these numbers to set a lineup. Subscribers get the live week. See plans →

Today's model, trained only on what was known by 2024 Week 5; some calibration settings were measured on later seasons.

Projected fantasy points for the 2025 season · Directional — lower confidence this far out

# Player Pos Team Median Floor (P10) Ceiling (P90) Chance he plays
1 Patrick Mahomes QB KC 399.2 206.4 569.2 97%
2 Josh Allen QB BUF 328.2 160.8 512.9 97%
3 Lamar Jackson QB BAL 329.6 157.6 498.0 97%
4 Jared Goff QB DET 331.8 176.4 487.4 95%
5 Jalen Hurts QB PHI 275.2 120.2 444.3 97%
6 C.J. Stroud QB HOU 268.6 127.1 446.2 97%
7 Brock Purdy QB SF 264.6 104.7 435.1 97%
8 Tua Tagovailoa QB MIA 248.9 101.1 416.2 97%
9 Breece Hall RB NYJ 236.3 75.1 426.3 98%
10 Baker Mayfield QB TB 242.9 100.0 401.4 96%
11 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 245.7 146.6 341.5 98%
12 Trevor Lawrence QB JAX 236.1 87.1 420.5 97%
13 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 240.5 130.3 344.7 98%
14 Jordan Love QB GB 234.1 82.5 411.1 97%
15 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 229.5 128.7 335.7 98%
16 Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET 218.2 70.7 390.9 99%
17 Justin Herbert QB LAC 214.2 66.0 394.6 97%
18 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 223.0 123.5 326.2 98%
19 DeVonta Smith WR PHI 217.4 120.5 327.4 98%
20 Cooper Kupp WR LAR 221.5 121.4 319.7 96%
21 Dak Prescott QB DAL 214.9 85.4 371.7 94%
22 De'Von Achane RB MIA 203.2 58.1 369.0 98%
23 Rashee Rice WR KC 206.5 120.4 294.2 98%
24 Chris Olave WR NO 207.0 114.4 301.6 98%
25 Joe Burrow QB CIN 212.1 94.7 536.6 73%
26 Davante Adams WR LV 209.5 114.0 297.5 96%
27 D.K. Metcalf WR SEA 202.6 100.8 307.1 98%
28 D.J. Moore WR CHI 203.0 100.1 294.9 97%
29 Chris Godwin WR TB 204.0 104.9 292.3 97%
30 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 197.2 98.7 295.4 98%
31 Bijan Robinson RB ATL 179.7 48.3 359.0 99%
32 Matthew Stafford QB LAR 221.7 84.5 373.8 84%
33 A.J. Brown WR PHI 193.8 98.4 296.9 98%
34 Christian McCaffrey † RB SF 210.0 60.1 337.2 92%
35 Jaylen Waddle WR MIA 191.4 96.2 280.5 98%
36 Travis Etienne RB JAX 183.6 58.6 341.6 97%
37 Justin Fields QB PIT 171.8 52.9 352.8 97%
38 Zay Flowers WR BAL 183.0 76.1 288.8 98%
39 Sam LaPorta TE DET 183.6 126.8 244.3 96%
40 George Kittle TE SF 195.2 139.5 253.2 90%
41 Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 177.5 123.0 239.6 97%
42 Puka Nacua WR LAR 179.4 80.1 272.7 99%
43 Tank Dell WR HOU 180.0 66.4 275.6 98%
44 Trey McBride TE ARI 174.6 121.4 239.6 97%
45 Josh Jacobs RB GB 173.1 47.1 322.0 96%
46 Kyler Murray QB ARI 174.3 53.8 498.7 73%
47 Nico Collins WR HOU 170.4 80.9 269.6 98%
48 Brandon Aiyuk WR SF 172.1 72.6 274.8 98%
49 Drake London WR ATL 167.2 79.4 256.7 99%
50 David Njoku TE CLE 169.1 111.1 229.9 97%
51 Geno Smith QB SEA 180.5 42.1 331.0 90%
52 Michael Pittman Jr. WR IND 166.1 74.2 268.5 98%
53 Dallas Goedert TE PHI 173.6 119.3 232.7 95%
54 Saquon Barkley RB PHI 162.1 49.6 315.7 95%
55 Kyren Williams RB LAR 153.7 38.9 306.9 98%
56 Rachaad White RB TB 155.7 45.2 294.9 97%
57 Kenneth Walker III RB SEA 153.6 37.6 312.6 98%
58 Cole Kmet TE CHI 165.7 106.1 227.5 98%
59 Chuba Hubbard RB CAR 152.7 39.6 305.3 97%
60 Stefon Diggs WR HOU 166.1 64.0 266.8 96%
61 Derrick Henry RB BAL 176.7 54.9 311.6 88%
62 James Cook RB BUF 147.1 43.6 300.4 97%
63 Terry McLaurin WR WAS 158.7 51.6 256.3 97%
64 Isiah Pacheco RB KC 146.9 33.6 290.6 97%
65 Jayden Reed WR GB 152.8 73.4 246.1 98%
66 Najee Harris RB PIT 147.1 36.3 292.4 96%
67 T.J. Hockenson † TE MIN 157.4 81.5 235.6 96%
68 D'Andre Swift RB CHI 144.4 43.7 274.4 97%
69 Devin Singletary RB NYG 146.4 40.6 283.3 95%
70 Deebo Samuel WR SF 151.1 48.5 250.6 97%
71 Calvin Ridley WR TEN 145.3 59.6 237.9 97%
72 Christian Kirk WR JAX 145.3 54.3 237.4 97%
73 Kyle Pitts TE ATL 144.6 88.1 207.2 97%
74 Evan Engram TE JAX 151.9 90.9 203.8 93%
75 Mike Evans WR TB 140.4 49.1 239.4 96%
76 Joshua Dobbs † QB SF 148.2 55.1 457.2 66%
77 Jerry Jeudy WR CLE 137.3 51.7 227.2 98%
78 Mark Andrews TE BAL 140.7 80.5 201.9 97%
79 George Pickens WR PIT 136.4 33.6 241.7 99%
80 Rashid Shaheed WR NO 139.0 60.1 217.4 98%
81 David Montgomery RB DET 129.8 33.3 269.3 95%
82 Jordan Addison WR MIN 134.4 41.4 225.8 99%
83 Jerome Ford RB CLE 117.8 26.7 252.4 97%
84 Tony Pollard RB TEN 121.7 29.8 255.8 95%
85 Brian Robinson Jr. RB WAS 155.6 51.4 303.2 74%
86 Alvin Kamara RB NO 154.2 50.5 300.0 74%
87 Jakobi Meyers WR LV 126.7 41.1 209.6 97%
88 Jaylen Warren RB PIT 151.3 47.1 298.9 74%
89 Daniel Jones QB NYG 98.0 40.2 418.7 73%
90 Gabriel Davis WR JAX 120.9 30.5 218.8 98%
91 James Conner RB ARI 120.8 26.3 257.9 91%
92 Gardner Minshew II QB LV 108.1 15.9 261.2 97%
93 Mac Jones QB JAX 97.6 6.7 421.0 74%
94 Bryce Young QB CAR 100.0 14.0 268.0 97%
95 Jake Ferguson TE DAL 118.1 61.4 181.5 98%
96 Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE 141.9 32.7 295.6 74%
97 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 147.6 65.8 272.3 74%
98 Aidan O'Connell QB LV 95.6 4.7 398.6 74%
99 Romeo Doubs WR GB 158.6 77.0 283.8 67%
100 Chig Okonkwo TE TEN 112.0 58.7 179.3 97%
101 Javonte Williams RB DEN 140.2 36.3 286.7 74%
102 Zach Wilson † QB DEN 92.0 11.9 397.8 69%
103 Courtland Sutton WR DEN 108.3 21.6 209.4 97%
104 Travis Kelce TE KC 173.3 114.9 235.0 62%
105 Dalton Schultz TE HOU 109.6 50.1 172.1 97%
106 Tyjae Spears RB TEN 125.4 21.7 271.2 74%
107 Tee Higgins WR CIN 151.3 65.6 282.7 63%
108 Josh Downs WR IND 99.6 25.1 182.2 99%
109 Carson Wentz † QB KC 90.3 6.0 415.6 62%
110 Aaron Jones RB MIN 114.8 5.1 269.2 74%
111 Darren Waller † TE NYG 110.6 41.3 181.8 86%
112 Keenan Allen WR CHI 96.2 12.4 186.0 95%
113 Jonathan Taylor RB IND 106.0 0.0 260.1 74%
114 Wan'Dale Robinson WR NYG 121.0 48.1 241.5 70%
115 Tyler Conklin TE NYJ 94.2 37.6 151.9 97%
116 Davis Mills QB HOU 49.1 1.4 370.0 74%
117 Kenny Pickett † QB PHI 59.0 3.5 365.3 69%
118 Tyler Allgeier RB ATL 100.4 0.0 246.2 74%
119 Dontayvion Wicks WR GB 112.5 30.1 236.6 72%
120 Deshaun Watson QB CLE 57.8 15.1 324.2 72%
121 Elijah Moore WR CLE 118.4 41.7 241.1 67%
122 Cade Otton TE TB 97.6 34.8 212.1 78%
123 Aaron Rodgers QB NYJ 70.9 0.0 390.1 60%
124 Isaiah Likely TE BAL 92.2 29.2 206.7 79%
125 Kirk Cousins QB ATL 104.4 54.2 262.2 64%
126 Joe Flacco QB IND 77.1 1.1 377.5 60%
127 Nick Mullens QB MIN 61.9 17.0 326.1 72%
128 Tommy DeVito † QB NYG 47.7 6.4 353.4 69%
129 Joshua Palmer WR LAC 115.7 34.4 245.2 65%
130 Tyson Bagent † QB CHI 41.9 4.8 346.7 69%
131 Jahan Dotson WR PHI 109.0 27.4 234.1 67%
132 Jacoby Brissett QB NE 43.9 0.9 365.3 69%
133 Jonnu Smith TE MIA 82.8 25.2 136.4 97%
134 Anthony Richardson QB IND 38.1 16.1 320.4 74%
135 DeMario Douglas WR NE 100.6 29.5 218.8 70%
136 Sam Darnold QB MIN 26.5 4.7 337.3 73%
137 Andy Dalton QB CAR 49.4 0.0 368.4 63%
138 Bailey Zappe † QB NE 39.8 0.0 345.3 69%
139 Pat Freiermuth TE PIT 84.0 24.9 202.5 77%
140 Dameon Pierce RB HOU 78.4 25.4 218.0 74%
141 Zach Charbonnet RB SEA 75.3 0.0 221.0 74%
142 Jaleel McLaughlin RB DEN 73.6 0.0 219.3 74%
143 Tyrod Taylor QB NYJ 42.5 5.0 345.0 65%
144 Khalil Shakir WR BUF 96.1 21.4 220.2 67%
145 Tucker Kraft TE GB 71.8 15.1 185.7 80%
146 Quentin Johnston WR LAC 85.0 11.3 209.3 72%
147 Michael Wilson WR ARI 96.4 18.7 221.3 67%
148 Jalin Hyatt WR NYG 78.2 25.3 205.9 73%
149 Roschon Johnson RB CHI 72.1 0.0 217.3 74%
150 Zamir White RB LV 71.7 18.4 211.0 74%
151 Trey Palmer WR TB 86.3 12.4 209.6 71%
152 Mitchell Trubisky QB BUF 35.5 7.9 302.1 71%
153 Luke Musgrave TE GB 70.4 14.9 181.8 80%
154 Tutu Atwell WR LAR 89.3 13.3 213.8 65%
155 Emari Demercado RB ARI 67.4 14.4 207.0 74%
156 Hunter Henry TE NE 82.3 19.5 196.8 68%
157 Xavier Gipson WR NYJ 69.7 17.6 197.3 70%
158 Easton Stick † QB LAC 38.3 6.7 301.9 67%
159 Jonathan Mingo WR CAR 80.9 12.8 199.9 71%
160 Tank Bigsby RB JAX 64.9 11.6 204.2 74%
161 Khalil Herbert RB CHI 62.1 0.0 208.3 74%
162 Michael Mayer TE LV 63.3 7.0 177.1 81%
163 Justice Hill RB BAL 56.7 0.0 202.5 74%
164 K.J. Osborn WR NE 89.3 13.4 213.6 59%
165 Alec Pierce WR IND 79.2 7.8 203.5 68%
166 Christian Watson WR GB 79.6 13.0 204.7 64%
167 Sam Howell † QB SEA 48.1 3.0 169.6 87%
168 Parker Washington WR JAX 61.3 10.1 190.3 75%
169 Jameson Williams WR DET 68.2 8.9 191.3 71%
170 Ty Chandler RB MIN 52.9 0.0 198.7 74%
171 Kenneth Gainwell RB PHI 54.2 0.0 199.8 74%
172 Chase Brown RB CIN 56.0 2.8 195.3 74%
173 Juwan Johnson TE NO 67.8 9.3 182.3 72%
174 Tyler Huntley QB MIA 17.6 0.1 282.1 74%
175 Skyy Moore WR KC 64.9 10.9 193.8 69%
176 Marvin Mims WR DEN 63.9 0.9 185.9 75%
177 Darnell Mooney WR ATL 74.4 20.6 202.4 60%
178 Samaje Perine RB KC 48.9 0.0 196.1 74%
179 Kendre Miller † RB NO 72.6 19.7 212.2 59%
180 Tommy Tremble TE CAR 51.6 4.7 166.1 79%
181 Dawson Knox TE BUF 58.4 5.5 178.6 73%
182 Noah Gray TE KC 53.6 1.8 167.3 78%
183 Tre Tucker WR LV 60.3 7.5 184.3 70%
184 Andrei Iosivas WR CIN 56.7 17.1 185.6 66%
185 Jalen Tolbert WR DAL 64.3 9.9 193.3 63%
186 AJ Dillon † RB GB 69.8 0.0 215.6 59%
187 Mason Rudolph QB TEN 11.9 0.0 273.0 72%
188 Daniel Bellinger TE NYG 50.1 0.0 156.5 80%
189 Kylen Granson TE IND 51.8 0.2 161.1 76%
190 Rico Dowdle RB DAL 44.8 0.0 189.6 74%
191 Greg Dortch WR ARI 64.0 9.6 192.9 61%
192 Marquise Brown † WR KC 100.6 21.9 225.5 46%
193 Cedric Tillman WR CLE 53.9 4.7 181.6 68%
194 Brevin Jordan TE HOU 43.1 0.0 157.0 80%
195 Calvin Austin III WR PIT 57.1 12.4 185.8 64%
196 Noah Fant TE SEA 54.6 2.5 158.5 75%
197 Drew Lock † QB NYG 11.4 -0.1 273.0 69%
198 Jordan Mason RB SF 43.3 0.0 182.9 74%
199 Kalif Raymond WR DET 73.6 21.5 201.3 53%
200 Keaton Mitchell † RB BAL 57.2 0.0 202.9 59%
201 Malik Willis QB GB 3.8 -2.0 262.2 74%
202 Jameis Winston QB CLE 6.2 -1.9 265.9 71%
203 Jake Bobo WR SEA 57.4 11.0 186.3 62%
204 Jeremy Ruckert TE NYJ 46.5 14.5 134.3 80%
205 Rashod Bateman WR BAL 59.8 1.9 181.2 66%
206 Michael Carter † RB ARI 58.6 5.4 197.9 59%
207 Derius Davis WR LAC 42.2 8.7 169.9 69%
208 Will Mallory † TE IND 47.6 15.8 135.2 75%
209 Treylon Burks WR TEN 50.5 2.7 178.2 67%
210 Brandon Johnson † WR DEN 71.7 17.8 200.6 51%
211 Davis Allen TE LAR 41.3 8.4 131.6 80%
212 Colby Parkinson TE LAR 41.1 0.0 154.3 77%
213 John Metchie WR HOU 45.4 1.3 173.0 68%
214 Marcus Mariota † QB PHI 7.4 -0.2 265.1 64%
215 Durham Smythe TE MIA 50.8 0.0 153.6 70%
216 Tyquan Thornton WR NE 41.3 5.1 168.9 69%
217 Jarrett Stidham † QB DEN 4.4 0.0 260.7 68%
218 Dyami Brown WR WAS 40.5 0.3 169.3 66%
219 Malik Heath WR GB 42.1 1.7 171.0 67%
220 Tanner Hudson TE CIN 49.8 0.1 156.2 68%
221 Pierre Strong RB CLE 37.2 0.0 176.4 74%
222 Demarcus Robinson WR LAR 64.6 12.6 193.6 53%
223 Connor Heyward TE PIT 43.8 12.1 130.7 77%
224 Lil'Jordan Humphrey WR DEN 46.1 7.5 175.0 61%
225 Ronnie Bell WR SF 38.0 8.5 166.8 66%
226 Josh Oliver TE MIN 42.2 8.2 131.7 74%
227 Elijah Higgins TE ARI 31.8 0.0 143.3 80%
228 Kayshon Boutte WR NE 30.7 0.7 158.8 75%
229 Drew Sample TE CIN 39.7 8.6 130.4 72%
230 Kyle Juszczyk RB SF 31.9 0.0 171.1 74%
231 Cole Turner † TE WAS 36.4 4.5 124.2 78%
232 Nick Westbrook-Ikhine † WR TEN 71.4 14.9 200.4 44%
233 Jauan Jennings WR SF 45.5 0.2 173.5 59%
234 Sean Tucker RB TB 27.8 0.0 167.2 74%
235 Tyler Higbee † TE LAR 69.4 13.9 181.6 46%
236 Cooper Rush QB DAL 25.0 0.4 160.6 70%
237 Josh Whyle TE TEN 32.8 3.6 123.1 78%
238 Mike Gesicki TE CIN 35.2 0.0 147.6 71%
239 Xavier Hutchinson WR HOU 32.6 4.0 160.3 68%
240 Foster Moreau TE NO 37.1 5.5 126.3 74%
241 KaVontae Turpin WR DAL 37.8 16.0 163.4 57%
242 Drew Ogletree TE IND 32.5 6.1 123.3 76%
243 Adam Trautman TE DEN 29.6 0.0 143.5 73%
244 Trey Sermon RB IND 30.6 7.5 120.6 74%
245 Jalen Brooks WR DAL 35.0 8.5 138.4 68%
246 Ameer Abdullah RB LV 31.7 8.5 121.6 74%
247 Darnell Washington TE PIT 29.4 0.4 116.9 81%
248 Tyler Goodson RB IND 25.1 0.0 164.4 74%
249 Chris Rodriguez † RB WAS 35.6 0.0 174.9 59%
250 Sean Clifford † QB GB 17.6 0.0 152.8 69%
251 Ronnie Rivers RB LAR 30.4 7.3 120.4 74%
252 Deven Thompkins † WR TB 40.5 5.1 169.3 58%
253 Olamide Zaccheaus WR WAS 30.7 0.0 159.6 59%
254 Brenton Strange TE JAX 28.6 1.9 118.8 80%
255 Ty Johnson RB BUF 18.7 0.0 158.0 74%
256 Austin Hooper TE NE 37.8 7.8 123.5 68%
257 Salvon Ahmed † RB MIA 37.0 0.0 176.3 59%
258 Alec Ingold RB MIA 18.3 0.0 157.5 74%
259 Stone Smartt † TE LAC 30.6 2.5 120.3 72%
260 Emanuel Wilson RB GB 29.4 6.3 119.4 74%
261 Greg Dulcich TE DEN 27.5 4.5 101.6 79%
262 John Bates TE WAS 30.1 2.1 116.2 75%
263 Brock Wright TE DET 28.4 2.3 118.1 77%
264 Luke Schoonmaker TE DAL 25.4 3.5 114.4 77%
265 Payne Durham TE TB 26.1 0.0 113.9 80%
266 Scotty Miller WR PIT 31.2 0.0 160.1 59%
267 Kendrick Bourne † WR NE 75.4 5.0 205.1 38%
268 Eric Gray RB NYG 26.5 3.4 116.5 74%
269 Teagan Quitoriano † TE HOU 27.3 4.3 101.4 78%
270 Mack Hollins WR BUF 42.9 19.5 145.7 51%
271 Chris Brooks RB GB 26.3 3.2 116.3 74%
272 Julian Hill TE MIA 23.9 -2.0 111.4 80%
273 Case Keenum † QB HOU 4.9 -1.2 265.0 48%
274 Charlie Jones WR CIN 31.8 6.4 134.8 63%
275 Patrick Ricard RB BAL 24.3 1.1 114.2 74%
276 Braxton Berrios WR MIA 30.8 0.4 157.8 55%
277 Jalen Reagor † WR NE 41.3 15.5 144.4 53%
278 Charlie Kolar TE BAL 23.4 0.1 112.9 77%
279 Nate Adkins TE DEN 24.1 2.1 98.2 78%
280 Luke Farrell TE JAX 24.3 0.0 110.4 75%
281 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR BUF 35.5 -1.3 163.3 53%
282 J.K. Dobbins RB LAC 20.2 0.0 110.2 74%
283 Johnny Mundt TE MIN 26.7 0.0 114.5 68%
284 Kyle Allen † QB PIT 3.4 -0.4 134.8 68%
285 Van Jefferson WR PIT 34.1 10.8 137.0 57%
286 Lucas Krull † TE DEN 22.4 0.0 111.8 70%
287 James Mitchell † TE DET 24.0 2.0 98.1 75%
288 Mo Alie-Cox TE IND 25.7 3.6 115.2 66%
289 Tyler Johnson WR LAR 24.7 3.6 128.3 62%
290 Hunter Luepke RB DAL 20.7 0.0 110.7 74%
291 Jalen Nailor WR MIN 23.8 0.8 126.8 63%
292 Grant Calcaterra TE PHI 18.4 0.0 92.4 77%
293 Zonovan Knight † RB DET 26.9 3.8 116.8 59%
294 Quintin Morris † TE BUF 21.7 3.9 96.1 73%
295 Tim Jones † WR JAX 33.9 9.5 136.9 50%
296 Andrew Beck † RB HOU 22.9 0.0 112.8 59%
297 Chris Moore † WR ARI 55.9 9.8 181.0 30%
298 Pharaoh Brown TE SEA 21.2 -1.7 108.4 67%
299 Michael Burton RB DEN 12.8 0.0 102.7 74%
300 Josiah Deguara TE JAX 15.8 0.0 89.4 73%
301 Craig Reynolds † RB DET 20.0 0.0 109.9 59%
302 Simi Fehoko WR LAC 19.0 2.0 122.3 60%
303 Austin Trammell † WR LAR 21.7 0.6 124.7 50%
304 D'Wayne Eskridge WR MIA 14.2 0.1 116.7 58%
305 Adam Prentice RB NO 10.5 -1.7 100.4 74%
306 Jack Stoll TE PHI 13.0 0.0 86.9 75%
307 Ko Kieft † TE TB 12.2 2.4 86.1 69%
308 Travis Homer RB CHI 8.9 0.0 98.8 74%
309 DeeJay Dallas † RB ARI 16.3 -0.1 106.2 59%
310 Devin Duvernay WR JAX 14.0 0.8 116.3 60%
311 Velus Jones Jr. RB CHI 8.5 0.0 98.4 74%
312 Tylan Wallace † WR BAL 20.3 0.3 123.3 55%
313 Ben Skowronek † WR PIT 28.6 4.0 131.8 46%
314 Odell Beckham Jr. † WR BAL 59.5 0.1 182.3 28%
315 Charlie Woerner TE ATL 8.4 0.0 82.0 75%
316 Britain Covey WR PHI 12.3 0.0 114.5 58%
317 Trent Sherfield WR MIN 12.2 0.0 114.4 56%
318 Dare Ogunbowale RB HOU 2.3 0.0 92.2 74%
319 Ian Thomas † TE CAR 12.1 0.0 84.7 61%
320 Robert Tonyan † TE MIN 16.9 0.0 89.5 52%
321 David Moore WR CAR 11.8 -0.1 114.0 54%
322 Kene Nwangwu † RB MIN 5.2 0.0 95.1 59%
323 Reggie Gilliam † RB BUF 2.9 -0.1 92.8 59%
324 KhaDarel Hodge † WR ATL 28.7 5.9 131.5 32%
325 Sterling Shepard WR TB 9.3 -1.3 110.5 50%
326 D.J. Montgomery † WR IND 14.2 0.0 116.8 43%
327 Mike Strachan † WR CAR 12.6 0.0 114.8 46%
328 Jonathan Ward † RB TEN 3.6 0.0 93.5 59%
329 Chris Manhertz † TE NYG 13.3 0.0 87.2 43%
330 Nick Vannett TE TEN 2.3 0.0 72.4 64%
331 Eric Saubert TE SF 2.7 0.0 73.2 67%
332 Irvin Charles † WR NYJ 5.3 0.0 106.1 45%
333 Gunner Olszewski † WR NYG 2.6 -1.8 102.6 43%
334 Laquon Treadwell † WR BAL 3.9 0.0 104.3 37%
  • QB · KC
    399.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    206.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    569.2
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • QB · BUF
    328.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    160.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    512.9
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • QB · BAL
    329.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    157.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    498.0
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • QB · DET
    331.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    176.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    487.4
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • QB · PHI
    275.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    120.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    444.3
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • QB · HOU
    268.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    127.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    446.2
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • QB · SF
    264.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    104.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    435.1
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • QB · MIA
    248.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    101.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    416.2
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • RB · NYJ
    236.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    75.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    426.3
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • QB · TB
    242.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    100.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    401.4
    Chance he plays
    96%
  • WR · DAL
    245.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    146.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    341.5
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • QB · JAX
    236.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    87.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    420.5
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · DET
    240.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    130.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    344.7
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • QB · GB
    234.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    82.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    411.1
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · MIN
    229.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    128.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    335.7
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • RB · DET
    218.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    70.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    390.9
    Chance he plays
    99%
  • QB · LAC
    214.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    66.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    394.6
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · CIN
    223.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    123.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    326.2
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • WR · PHI
    217.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    120.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    327.4
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • WR · LAR
    221.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    121.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    319.7
    Chance he plays
    96%
  • QB · DAL
    214.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    85.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    371.7
    Chance he plays
    94%
  • RB · MIA
    203.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    58.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    369.0
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • WR · KC
    206.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    120.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    294.2
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • WR · NO
    207.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    114.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    301.6
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • QB · CIN
    212.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    94.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    536.6
    Chance he plays
    73%
  • WR · LV
    209.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    114.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    297.5
    Chance he plays
    96%
  • WR · SEA
    202.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    100.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    307.1
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • WR · CHI
    203.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    100.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    294.9
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · TB
    204.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    104.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    292.3
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · NYJ
    197.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    98.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    295.4
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • RB · ATL
    179.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    48.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    359.0
    Chance he plays
    99%
  • QB · LAR
    221.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    84.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    373.8
    Chance he plays
    84%
  • WR · PHI
    193.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    98.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    296.9
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • RB · SF
    210.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    60.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    337.2
    Chance he plays
    92%
  • WR · MIA
    191.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    96.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    280.5
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • RB · JAX
    183.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    58.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    341.6
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • QB · PIT
    171.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    52.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    352.8
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · BAL
    183.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    76.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    288.8
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • TE · DET
    183.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    126.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    244.3
    Chance he plays
    96%
  • TE · SF
    195.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    139.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    253.2
    Chance he plays
    90%
  • TE · BUF
    177.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    123.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    239.6
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · LAR
    179.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    80.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    272.7
    Chance he plays
    99%
  • WR · HOU
    180.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    66.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    275.6
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • TE · ARI
    174.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    121.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    239.6
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • RB · GB
    173.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    47.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    322.0
    Chance he plays
    96%
  • QB · ARI
    174.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    53.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    498.7
    Chance he plays
    73%
  • WR · HOU
    170.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    80.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    269.6
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • WR · SF
    172.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    72.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    274.8
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • WR · ATL
    167.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    79.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    256.7
    Chance he plays
    99%
  • TE · CLE
    169.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    111.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    229.9
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • QB · SEA
    180.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    42.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    331.0
    Chance he plays
    90%
  • WR · IND
    166.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    74.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    268.5
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • TE · PHI
    173.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    119.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    232.7
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • RB · PHI
    162.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    49.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    315.7
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • RB · LAR
    153.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    38.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    306.9
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • RB · TB
    155.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    45.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    294.9
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • RB · SEA
    153.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    37.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    312.6
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • TE · CHI
    165.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    106.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    227.5
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • RB · CAR
    152.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    39.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    305.3
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · HOU
    166.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    64.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    266.8
    Chance he plays
    96%
  • RB · BAL
    176.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    54.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    311.6
    Chance he plays
    88%
  • RB · BUF
    147.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    43.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    300.4
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · WAS
    158.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    51.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    256.3
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • RB · KC
    146.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    33.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    290.6
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · GB
    152.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    73.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    246.1
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • RB · PIT
    147.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    36.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    292.4
    Chance he plays
    96%
  • TE · MIN
    157.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    81.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    235.6
    Chance he plays
    96%
  • RB · CHI
    144.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    43.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    274.4
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • RB · NYG
    146.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    40.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    283.3
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • WR · SF
    151.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    48.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    250.6
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · TEN
    145.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    59.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    237.9
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · JAX
    145.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    54.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    237.4
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • TE · ATL
    144.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    88.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    207.2
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • TE · JAX
    151.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    90.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    203.8
    Chance he plays
    93%
  • WR · TB
    140.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    49.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    239.4
    Chance he plays
    96%
  • 76. Joshua Dobbs †
    QB · SF
    148.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    55.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    457.2
    Chance he plays
    66%
  • WR · CLE
    137.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    51.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    227.2
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • TE · BAL
    140.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    80.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    201.9
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · PIT
    136.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    33.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    241.7
    Chance he plays
    99%
  • WR · NO
    139.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    60.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    217.4
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • RB · DET
    129.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    33.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    269.3
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • WR · MIN
    134.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    41.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    225.8
    Chance he plays
    99%
  • RB · CLE
    117.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    26.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    252.4
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • RB · TEN
    121.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    29.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    255.8
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • RB · WAS
    155.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    51.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    303.2
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • RB · NO
    154.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    50.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    300.0
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · LV
    126.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    41.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    209.6
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • RB · PIT
    151.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    47.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    298.9
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • QB · NYG
    98.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    40.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    418.7
    Chance he plays
    73%
  • WR · JAX
    120.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    30.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    218.8
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • RB · ARI
    120.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    26.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    257.9
    Chance he plays
    91%
  • QB · LV
    108.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    15.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    261.2
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • QB · JAX
    97.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    6.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    421.0
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • QB · CAR
    100.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    14.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    268.0
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • TE · DAL
    118.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    61.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    181.5
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • RB · NE
    141.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    32.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    295.6
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · SEA
    147.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    65.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    272.3
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • QB · LV
    95.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    398.6
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · GB
    158.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    77.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    283.8
    Chance he plays
    67%
  • TE · TEN
    112.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    58.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    179.3
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • RB · DEN
    140.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    36.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    286.7
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • 102. Zach Wilson †
    QB · DEN
    92.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    11.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    397.8
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • WR · DEN
    108.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    21.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    209.4
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • TE · KC
    173.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    114.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    235.0
    Chance he plays
    62%
  • TE · HOU
    109.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    50.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    172.1
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • RB · TEN
    125.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    21.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    271.2
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · CIN
    151.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    65.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    282.7
    Chance he plays
    63%
  • WR · IND
    99.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    25.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    182.2
    Chance he plays
    99%
  • 109. Carson Wentz †
    QB · KC
    90.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    6.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    415.6
    Chance he plays
    62%
  • RB · MIN
    114.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    5.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    269.2
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • 111. Darren Waller †
    TE · NYG
    110.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    41.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    181.8
    Chance he plays
    86%
  • WR · CHI
    96.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    12.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    186.0
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • RB · IND
    106.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    260.1
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · NYG
    121.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    48.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    241.5
    Chance he plays
    70%
  • TE · NYJ
    94.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    37.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    151.9
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • QB · HOU
    49.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    370.0
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • 117. Kenny Pickett †
    QB · PHI
    59.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    3.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    365.3
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • RB · ATL
    100.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    246.2
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · GB
    112.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    30.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    236.6
    Chance he plays
    72%
  • QB · CLE
    57.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    15.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    324.2
    Chance he plays
    72%
  • WR · CLE
    118.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    41.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    241.1
    Chance he plays
    67%
  • TE · TB
    97.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    34.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    212.1
    Chance he plays
    78%
  • QB · NYJ
    70.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    390.1
    Chance he plays
    60%
  • TE · BAL
    92.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    29.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    206.7
    Chance he plays
    79%
  • QB · ATL
    104.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    54.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    262.2
    Chance he plays
    64%
  • QB · IND
    77.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    377.5
    Chance he plays
    60%
  • QB · MIN
    61.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    17.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    326.1
    Chance he plays
    72%
  • 128. Tommy DeVito †
    QB · NYG
    47.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    6.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    353.4
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • WR · LAC
    115.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    34.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    245.2
    Chance he plays
    65%
  • 130. Tyson Bagent †
    QB · CHI
    41.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    346.7
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • WR · PHI
    109.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    27.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    234.1
    Chance he plays
    67%
  • QB · NE
    43.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    365.3
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • TE · MIA
    82.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    25.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    136.4
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • QB · IND
    38.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    16.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    320.4
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · NE
    100.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    29.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    218.8
    Chance he plays
    70%
  • QB · MIN
    26.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    337.3
    Chance he plays
    73%
  • QB · CAR
    49.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    368.4
    Chance he plays
    63%
  • 138. Bailey Zappe †
    QB · NE
    39.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    345.3
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • TE · PIT
    84.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    24.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    202.5
    Chance he plays
    77%
  • RB · HOU
    78.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    25.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    218.0
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • RB · SEA
    75.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    221.0
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • RB · DEN
    73.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    219.3
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • QB · NYJ
    42.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    5.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    345.0
    Chance he plays
    65%
  • WR · BUF
    96.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    21.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    220.2
    Chance he plays
    67%
  • TE · GB
    71.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    15.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    185.7
    Chance he plays
    80%
  • WR · LAC
    85.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    11.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    209.3
    Chance he plays
    72%
  • WR · ARI
    96.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    18.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    221.3
    Chance he plays
    67%
  • WR · NYG
    78.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    25.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    205.9
    Chance he plays
    73%
  • RB · CHI
    72.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    217.3
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • RB · LV
    71.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    18.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    211.0
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · TB
    86.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    12.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    209.6
    Chance he plays
    71%
  • QB · BUF
    35.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    7.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    302.1
    Chance he plays
    71%
  • TE · GB
    70.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    14.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    181.8
    Chance he plays
    80%
  • WR · LAR
    89.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    13.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    213.8
    Chance he plays
    65%
  • RB · ARI
    67.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    14.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    207.0
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • TE · NE
    82.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    19.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    196.8
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • WR · NYJ
    69.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    17.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    197.3
    Chance he plays
    70%
  • 158. Easton Stick †
    QB · LAC
    38.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    6.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    301.9
    Chance he plays
    67%
  • WR · CAR
    80.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    12.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    199.9
    Chance he plays
    71%
  • RB · JAX
    64.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    11.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    204.2
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • RB · CHI
    62.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    208.3
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • TE · LV
    63.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    7.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    177.1
    Chance he plays
    81%
  • RB · BAL
    56.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    202.5
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · NE
    89.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    13.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    213.6
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · IND
    79.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    7.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    203.5
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • WR · GB
    79.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    13.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    204.7
    Chance he plays
    64%
  • 167. Sam Howell †
    QB · SEA
    48.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    3.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    169.6
    Chance he plays
    87%
  • WR · JAX
    61.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    10.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    190.3
    Chance he plays
    75%
  • WR · DET
    68.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    8.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    191.3
    Chance he plays
    71%
  • RB · MIN
    52.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    198.7
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • RB · PHI
    54.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    199.8
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • RB · CIN
    56.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    195.3
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • TE · NO
    67.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    9.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    182.3
    Chance he plays
    72%
  • QB · MIA
    17.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    282.1
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · KC
    64.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    10.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    193.8
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • WR · DEN
    63.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    185.9
    Chance he plays
    75%
  • WR · ATL
    74.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    20.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    202.4
    Chance he plays
    60%
  • RB · KC
    48.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    196.1
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • 179. Kendre Miller †
    RB · NO
    72.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    19.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    212.2
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • TE · CAR
    51.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    166.1
    Chance he plays
    79%
  • TE · BUF
    58.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    5.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    178.6
    Chance he plays
    73%
  • TE · KC
    53.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    167.3
    Chance he plays
    78%
  • WR · LV
    60.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    7.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    184.3
    Chance he plays
    70%
  • WR · CIN
    56.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    17.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    185.6
    Chance he plays
    66%
  • WR · DAL
    64.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    9.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    193.3
    Chance he plays
    63%
  • 186. AJ Dillon †
    RB · GB
    69.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    215.6
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • QB · TEN
    11.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    273.0
    Chance he plays
    72%
  • TE · NYG
    50.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    156.5
    Chance he plays
    80%
  • TE · IND
    51.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    161.1
    Chance he plays
    76%
  • RB · DAL
    44.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    189.6
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · ARI
    64.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    9.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    192.9
    Chance he plays
    61%
  • 192. Marquise Brown †
    WR · KC
    100.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    21.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    225.5
    Chance he plays
    46%
  • WR · CLE
    53.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    181.6
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • TE · HOU
    43.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    157.0
    Chance he plays
    80%
  • WR · PIT
    57.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    12.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    185.8
    Chance he plays
    64%
  • TE · SEA
    54.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    158.5
    Chance he plays
    75%
  • 197. Drew Lock †
    QB · NYG
    11.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    -0.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    273.0
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • RB · SF
    43.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    182.9
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · DET
    73.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    21.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    201.3
    Chance he plays
    53%
  • 200. Keaton Mitchell †
    RB · BAL
    57.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    202.9
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • QB · GB
    3.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    -2.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    262.2
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • QB · CLE
    6.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    -1.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    265.9
    Chance he plays
    71%
  • WR · SEA
    57.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    11.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    186.3
    Chance he plays
    62%
  • TE · NYJ
    46.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    14.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    134.3
    Chance he plays
    80%
  • WR · BAL
    59.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    181.2
    Chance he plays
    66%
  • 206. Michael Carter †
    RB · ARI
    58.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    5.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    197.9
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · LAC
    42.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    8.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    169.9
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • 208. Will Mallory †
    TE · IND
    47.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    15.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    135.2
    Chance he plays
    75%
  • WR · TEN
    50.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    178.2
    Chance he plays
    67%
  • 210. Brandon Johnson †
    WR · DEN
    71.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    17.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    200.6
    Chance he plays
    51%
  • TE · LAR
    41.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    8.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    131.6
    Chance he plays
    80%
  • TE · LAR
    41.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    154.3
    Chance he plays
    77%
  • WR · HOU
    45.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    173.0
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • 214. Marcus Mariota †
    QB · PHI
    7.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    -0.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    265.1
    Chance he plays
    64%
  • TE · MIA
    50.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    153.6
    Chance he plays
    70%
  • WR · NE
    41.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    5.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    168.9
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • 217. Jarrett Stidham †
    QB · DEN
    4.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    260.7
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • WR · WAS
    40.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    169.3
    Chance he plays
    66%
  • WR · GB
    42.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    171.0
    Chance he plays
    67%
  • TE · CIN
    49.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    156.2
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • RB · CLE
    37.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    176.4
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · LAR
    64.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    12.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    193.6
    Chance he plays
    53%
  • TE · PIT
    43.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    12.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    130.7
    Chance he plays
    77%
  • WR · DEN
    46.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    7.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    175.0
    Chance he plays
    61%
  • WR · SF
    38.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    8.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    166.8
    Chance he plays
    66%
  • TE · MIN
    42.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    8.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    131.7
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • TE · ARI
    31.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    143.3
    Chance he plays
    80%
  • WR · NE
    30.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    158.8
    Chance he plays
    75%
  • TE · CIN
    39.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    8.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    130.4
    Chance he plays
    72%
  • RB · SF
    31.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    171.1
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • 231. Cole Turner †
    TE · WAS
    36.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    124.2
    Chance he plays
    78%
  • WR · TEN
    71.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    14.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    200.4
    Chance he plays
    44%
  • WR · SF
    45.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    173.5
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • RB · TB
    27.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    167.2
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • 235. Tyler Higbee †
    TE · LAR
    69.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    13.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    181.6
    Chance he plays
    46%
  • QB · DAL
    25.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    160.6
    Chance he plays
    70%
  • TE · TEN
    32.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    3.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    123.1
    Chance he plays
    78%
  • TE · CIN
    35.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    147.6
    Chance he plays
    71%
  • WR · HOU
    32.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    160.3
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • TE · NO
    37.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    5.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    126.3
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · DAL
    37.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    16.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    163.4
    Chance he plays
    57%
  • TE · IND
    32.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    6.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    123.3
    Chance he plays
    76%
  • TE · DEN
    29.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    143.5
    Chance he plays
    73%
  • RB · IND
    30.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    7.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    120.6
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · DAL
    35.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    8.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    138.4
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • RB · LV
    31.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    8.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    121.6
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • TE · PIT
    29.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    116.9
    Chance he plays
    81%
  • RB · IND
    25.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    164.4
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • 249. Chris Rodriguez †
    RB · WAS
    35.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    174.9
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • 250. Sean Clifford †
    QB · GB
    17.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    152.8
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • RB · LAR
    30.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    7.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    120.4
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • 252. Deven Thompkins †
    WR · TB
    40.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    5.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    169.3
    Chance he plays
    58%
  • WR · WAS
    30.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    159.6
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • TE · JAX
    28.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    118.8
    Chance he plays
    80%
  • RB · BUF
    18.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    158.0
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • TE · NE
    37.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    7.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    123.5
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • 257. Salvon Ahmed †
    RB · MIA
    37.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    176.3
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • RB · MIA
    18.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    157.5
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • 259. Stone Smartt †
    TE · LAC
    30.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    120.3
    Chance he plays
    72%
  • RB · GB
    29.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    6.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    119.4
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • TE · DEN
    27.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    101.6
    Chance he plays
    79%
  • TE · WAS
    30.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    116.2
    Chance he plays
    75%
  • TE · DET
    28.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    118.1
    Chance he plays
    77%
  • TE · DAL
    25.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    3.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    114.4
    Chance he plays
    77%
  • TE · TB
    26.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    113.9
    Chance he plays
    80%
  • WR · PIT
    31.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    160.1
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • 267. Kendrick Bourne †
    WR · NE
    75.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    5.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    205.1
    Chance he plays
    38%
  • RB · NYG
    26.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    3.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    116.5
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • TE · HOU
    27.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    101.4
    Chance he plays
    78%
  • WR · BUF
    42.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    19.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    145.7
    Chance he plays
    51%
  • RB · GB
    26.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    3.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    116.3
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • TE · MIA
    23.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    -2.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    111.4
    Chance he plays
    80%
  • 273. Case Keenum †
    QB · HOU
    4.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    -1.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    265.0
    Chance he plays
    48%
  • WR · CIN
    31.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    6.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    134.8
    Chance he plays
    63%
  • RB · BAL
    24.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    114.2
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · MIA
    30.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    157.8
    Chance he plays
    55%
  • 277. Jalen Reagor †
    WR · NE
    41.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    15.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    144.4
    Chance he plays
    53%
  • TE · BAL
    23.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    112.9
    Chance he plays
    77%
  • TE · DEN
    24.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    98.2
    Chance he plays
    78%
  • TE · JAX
    24.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    110.4
    Chance he plays
    75%
  • WR · BUF
    35.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    -1.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    163.3
    Chance he plays
    53%
  • RB · LAC
    20.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    110.2
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • TE · MIN
    26.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    114.5
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • 284. Kyle Allen †
    QB · PIT
    3.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    -0.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    134.8
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • WR · PIT
    34.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    10.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    137.0
    Chance he plays
    57%
  • 286. Lucas Krull †
    TE · DEN
    22.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    111.8
    Chance he plays
    70%
  • 287. James Mitchell †
    TE · DET
    24.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    98.1
    Chance he plays
    75%
  • TE · IND
    25.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    3.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    115.2
    Chance he plays
    66%
  • WR · LAR
    24.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    3.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    128.3
    Chance he plays
    62%
  • RB · DAL
    20.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    110.7
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · MIN
    23.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    126.8
    Chance he plays
    63%
  • TE · PHI
    18.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    92.4
    Chance he plays
    77%
  • 293. Zonovan Knight †
    RB · DET
    26.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    3.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    116.8
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • 294. Quintin Morris †
    TE · BUF
    21.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    3.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    96.1
    Chance he plays
    73%
  • 295. Tim Jones †
    WR · JAX
    33.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    9.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    136.9
    Chance he plays
    50%
  • 296. Andrew Beck †
    RB · HOU
    22.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    112.8
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • 297. Chris Moore †
    WR · ARI
    55.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    9.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    181.0
    Chance he plays
    30%
  • TE · SEA
    21.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    -1.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    108.4
    Chance he plays
    67%
  • RB · DEN
    12.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    102.7
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • TE · JAX
    15.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    89.4
    Chance he plays
    73%
  • 301. Craig Reynolds †
    RB · DET
    20.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    109.9
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · LAC
    19.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    122.3
    Chance he plays
    60%
  • 303. Austin Trammell †
    WR · LAR
    21.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    124.7
    Chance he plays
    50%
  • WR · MIA
    14.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    116.7
    Chance he plays
    58%
  • RB · NO
    10.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    -1.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    100.4
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • TE · PHI
    13.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    86.9
    Chance he plays
    75%
  • 307. Ko Kieft †
    TE · TB
    12.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    86.1
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • RB · CHI
    8.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    98.8
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • 309. DeeJay Dallas †
    RB · ARI
    16.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    -0.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    106.2
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · JAX
    14.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    116.3
    Chance he plays
    60%
  • RB · CHI
    8.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    98.4
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • 312. Tylan Wallace †
    WR · BAL
    20.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    123.3
    Chance he plays
    55%
  • 313. Ben Skowronek †
    WR · PIT
    28.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    131.8
    Chance he plays
    46%
  • WR · BAL
    59.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    182.3
    Chance he plays
    28%
  • TE · ATL
    8.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    82.0
    Chance he plays
    75%
  • WR · PHI
    12.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    114.5
    Chance he plays
    58%
  • WR · MIN
    12.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    114.4
    Chance he plays
    56%
  • RB · HOU
    2.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    92.2
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • 319. Ian Thomas †
    TE · CAR
    12.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    84.7
    Chance he plays
    61%
  • 320. Robert Tonyan †
    TE · MIN
    16.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    89.5
    Chance he plays
    52%
  • WR · CAR
    11.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    -0.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    114.0
    Chance he plays
    54%
  • 322. Kene Nwangwu †
    RB · MIN
    5.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    95.1
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • 323. Reggie Gilliam †
    RB · BUF
    2.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    -0.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    92.8
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • 324. KhaDarel Hodge †
    WR · ATL
    28.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    5.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    131.5
    Chance he plays
    32%
  • WR · TB
    9.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    -1.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    110.5
    Chance he plays
    50%
  • 326. D.J. Montgomery †
    WR · IND
    14.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    116.8
    Chance he plays
    43%
  • 327. Mike Strachan †
    WR · CAR
    12.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    114.8
    Chance he plays
    46%
  • 328. Jonathan Ward †
    RB · TEN
    3.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    93.5
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • 329. Chris Manhertz †
    TE · NYG
    13.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    87.2
    Chance he plays
    43%
  • TE · TEN
    2.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    72.4
    Chance he plays
    64%
  • TE · SF
    2.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    73.2
    Chance he plays
    67%
  • 332. Irvin Charles †
    WR · NYJ
    5.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    106.1
    Chance he plays
    45%
  • WR · NYG
    2.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    -1.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    102.6
    Chance he plays
    43%
  • WR · BAL
    3.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    104.3
    Chance he plays
    37%

Ordered by the expected total — the projection counted against the “Chance he plays” figure beside it. A row can therefore rank above one with a larger “Median”.

About these numbers

QB: Some seasons ahead are not ranked for QB here, because what we have for them doesn't hold up; the seasons offered above are the ones we publish. RB: Some seasons ahead are not ranked for RB here, because what we have for them doesn't hold up; the seasons offered above are the ones we publish. WR: Some seasons ahead are not ranked for WR here, because what we have for them doesn't hold up; the seasons offered above are the ones we publish. TE: Some seasons ahead are not ranked for TE here, because what we have for them doesn't hold up; the seasons offered above are the ones we publish.

QB: No combined total is shown for the rest of the 2024 season and the 2025–2026 seasons combined. We tested totals like it, built from our projections, against what non-starting quarterbacks actually scored (284 player-weeks at Weeks 4, 8 and 12). At Week 4 its 90% range held for 84% of them, not close enough to 90% to publish. Starters' totals were tested too (166 player-weeks) and did not pass.

QB: No ranking by the rest of the 2024 season and the 2025 season combined is shown. That combined total is tested for only some players at this position, and a ranking that left the rest out would not be a ranking of the position.

TE: No ranking by the rest of the 2024 season and the 2025–2026 seasons combined is shown. That combined total is tested for only some players at this position, and a ranking that left the rest out would not be a ranking of the position.

QB: Early read: these figures are projected for him individually. The range around them allows for the games he may miss, at the rate starting quarterbacks have actually missed them, and the chance he plays at all is the historical rate for players who carried his workload at his age.

QB: Early read: these figures are projected for him individually. The range around them allows for the games he may miss, at the rate starting quarterbacks have actually missed them, and the chance he plays at all is the historical rate for players who carried his workload at his age. During the season, his figures for the seasons he will play past 30 are also lowered, by as much as we have measured starting quarterbacks that age fall short of their projections.

QB: He was not a full-time starter last season. These figures start from his own most recent season and move every stat he is scored on by how much players at his position and age have actually changed over the same span. The range around them moves those stats together, the way real seasons did, and was widened by exactly as much as we measured it had been too narrow, and the chance he plays is the historical rate for players like him at his age.

QB: 15 players here are projected from the 2023 season, marked † below: no game in 2024. The number comes from the model that looks 2 seasons ahead of a 2023 season, to reach the 2025 season. From a 2023 season we publish through 2026 and no further.

QB: About this range: we checked ranges like it against the seasons that actually followed, and it held at both levels we test — 86% of real seasons landed inside the 80% range and 92% inside the 90% range, measured on 147 player-seasons. What that testing could not settle, using only the seasons completed by then (through 2023), is whether this projection is more accurate than a simple baseline. We publish it because the range holds, not because it has been shown to beat one.

RB: Early read: these figures are projected for him individually. His rushing touchdowns, catches and receiving yards were each moved up and widened by as much as we measured full-time starters' seasons have actually landed above our projections for them, and outside their ranges. The range around them moves every stat he is scored on together, the way full-time starters' seasons actually move, and allows for the games he may miss at the rate full-time starters at his position have missed them; the chance he plays at all is the historical rate for players who carried his workload at his age. During the season, his figures are also adjusted for his age, by as much as we have measured full-time starters at his position decline, or improve, with age from one season to the next.

RB: Early read: these figures are projected for him individually. His rushing touchdowns, catches and receiving yards were each moved up and widened by as much as we measured full-time starters' seasons have actually landed above our projections for them, and outside their ranges. The range around them moves every stat he is scored on together, the way full-time starters' seasons actually move, and allows for the games he may miss at the rate full-time starters at his position have missed them; the chance he plays at all is the historical rate for players who carried his workload.

RB: He was not a full-time starter last season. These figures start from his own most recent season and move every stat he is scored on by how much players at his position and age have actually changed over the same span. The range around them moves those stats together, the way real seasons did, reaches down to the seasons where a player's whole workload fell away, and was widened by exactly as much as we measured it had been too narrow, and the chance he plays is the historical rate for players like him.

RB: 14 players here are projected from the 2023 season, marked † below: no game in 2024. The number comes from the model that looks 2 seasons ahead of a 2023 season, to reach the 2025 season. From a 2023 season we publish through 2026 and no further.

RB: Only 22 of the 79 players here were full-time starters last season projected for them individually, and what follows is about them: This range carries a correction we measured. We compared the season-ahead ranges we had published against the seasons that actually followed, found them about 12% too narrow and centered about 8% of a range's width too low, and moved them by exactly what that comparison measured — nothing was widened to make a number look better. The figure above is a prediction from the corrected model.

RB: About this range: we checked ranges like it against the seasons that actually followed, and it held at both levels we test — 81% of real seasons landed inside the 80% range and 90% inside the 90% range, measured on 124 player-seasons. What that testing could not settle, using only the seasons completed by then (through 2023), is whether this projection is more accurate than a simple baseline. We publish it because the range holds, not because it has been shown to beat one.

WR: Early read: these figures are projected for him individually, and the chance he plays is the historical rate for players who carried his workload at his age.

WR: He was not a full-time starter last season. These figures start from his own most recent season and move every stat he is scored on by how much players at his position and age have actually changed over the same span. The range around them moves those stats together, the way real seasons did, and was widened by exactly as much as we measured it had been too narrow, and the chance he plays is the historical rate for players like him at his age.

WR: 18 players here are projected from the 2023 season, marked † below: no game in 2024. The number comes from the model that looks 2 seasons ahead of a 2023 season, to reach the 2025 season. From a 2023 season we publish through 2026 and no further.

WR: Only 38 of the 120 players here were full-time starters last season projected for them individually, and what follows is about them: This range carries a correction we measured. We compared the season-ahead ranges we had published against the seasons that actually followed, found them about 12% too narrow and centered about 8% of a range's width too low, and moved them by exactly what that comparison measured — nothing was widened to make a number look better. The figure above is a prediction from the corrected model.

WR: About this range: we checked ranges like it against the seasons that actually followed, and it held at both levels we test — 84% of real seasons landed inside the 80% range and 93% inside the 90% range, measured on 251 player-seasons. What that testing could not settle, using only the seasons completed by then (through 2023), is whether this projection is more accurate than a simple baseline. We publish it because the range holds, not because it has been shown to beat one.

WR: Only 38 of the 120 players here are projected for them individually, and what follows is about them: What this number leaves out, on purpose: rushing yards and rushing first downs. We tested our rushing yards projection at this horizon against the simplest baseline there is — projecting none at all — over 1,340 past player-seasons. Ours was off by 14.4 rushing yards a season and the baseline by 10.9, so it did not beat the baseline and we publish it as none rather than as a figure we cannot stand behind. For scale, rushing of every kind was 1.7% of what this position actually scored over those same seasons. Nothing else above is affected.

TE: Early read: these figures are projected for him individually, and the chance he plays is the historical rate for players who carried his workload at his age. During the season, his figures for the seasons he will play before 30 are also raised, by as much as we have measured full-time tight ends that age outperform their projections.

TE: Early read: these figures are projected for him individually, and the chance he plays is the historical rate for players who carried his workload at his age.

TE: He was not a full-time starter last season. These figures start from his own most recent season and move every stat he is scored on by how much players at his position and age have actually changed over the same span. The range around them moves those stats together, the way real seasons did, and was widened by exactly as much as we measured it had been too narrow, and the chance he plays is the historical rate for players like him at his age.

TE: 14 players here are projected from the 2023 season, marked † below: no game in 2024. The number comes from the model that looks 2 seasons ahead of a 2023 season, to reach the 2025 season. From a 2023 season we publish through 2026 and no further.

TE: Only 18 of the 80 players here were full-time starters last season projected for them individually, and what follows is about them: This range carries a correction we measured. We compared the season-ahead ranges we had published against the seasons that actually followed, found them about 12% too narrow and centered about 10% of a range's width too low, and moved them by exactly what that comparison measured — nothing was widened to make a number look better. The figure above is a prediction from the corrected model.

TE: About this range: we checked ranges like it against the seasons that actually followed, and it held at both levels we test — 79% of real seasons landed inside the 80% range and 86% inside the 90% range, measured on 95 player-seasons. What that testing could not settle, using only the seasons completed by then (through 2023), is whether this projection is more accurate than a simple baseline. We publish it because the range holds, not because it has been shown to beat one.

What these columns mean

Team
— His club today, from the current roster — not a week's depth chart, because these figures are for the 2025 season rather than for one game.
Median
— The middle of our projected fantasy points for the 2025 season: half of the simulated outcomes come in above it.
Floor (P10)
— The 10th percentile of the same projection: 10% of simulated outcomes come in below it.
Ceiling (P90)
— The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated outcomes come in above it.
Chance he plays
— The chance he plays at least one game in the 2025 season. The figures to its left are for a season in which he plays at least one game, counting the games he may miss, which is not a promise of his role: on 66 rows here the floor is 0.0, because the range reaches down to seasons where a player's whole workload fell away; where it is a dash, the row carries no such chance and its figures already count the seasons he might not play.
  • © 2026 Downfield Forecast LLC
  • About
  • League audit
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Cookies
  • Disclaimer
  • Acceptable Use
  • Consent Preferences
  • Contact