Players
2024 Week 5 · Archive

Players — 2024 Week 5

Scoring: Full PPR · 6-pt pass TD

SUPERFLEX fantasy football rankings for the 2026 season, ordered by the expected total (the projection counted against the “Chance he plays” figure).

Archived example week — 2024 Week 5. These are not current projections. Many of these players are still active, so don't use these numbers to set a lineup. Subscribers get the live week. See plans →

Today's model, trained only on what was known by 2024 Week 5; some calibration settings were measured on later seasons.

Projected fantasy points for the 2026 season · Directional — lower confidence this far out

# Player Pos Team Median Floor (P10) Ceiling (P90) Chance he plays
1 Patrick Mahomes QB KC 306.6 128.1 479.8 94%
2 Lamar Jackson QB BAL 276.8 111.4 455.2 96%
3 Josh Allen QB BUF 269.0 106.9 445.8 96%
4 Jalen Hurts QB PHI 254.2 101.2 437.3 95%
5 Jared Goff QB DET 268.2 105.8 432.0 91%
6 Tua Tagovailoa QB MIA 246.0 79.9 437.0 95%
7 Brock Purdy QB SF 244.9 86.8 433.6 92%
8 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 232.4 122.0 339.7 96%
9 Jordan Love QB GB 223.3 70.0 406.8 94%
10 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 228.5 109.0 348.1 95%
11 Chris Olave WR NO 210.7 96.8 336.9 97%
12 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 204.0 83.6 325.2 96%
13 C.J. Stroud QB HOU 217.0 62.8 393.1 87%
14 Baker Mayfield QB TB 201.5 62.3 367.2 93%
15 Dak Prescott QB DAL 207.1 66.5 370.6 88%
16 Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET 190.9 56.7 337.7 95%
17 DeVonta Smith WR PHI 197.2 81.7 318.2 94%
18 Rashee Rice WR KC 187.6 85.4 298.4 97%
19 Justin Herbert QB LAC 177.0 43.2 363.4 95%
20 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 186.9 70.5 308.1 97%
21 Jaylen Waddle WR MIA 190.7 85.4 311.9 95%
22 A.J. Brown WR PHI 191.4 83.7 301.9 92%
23 D.J. Moore WR CHI 193.4 79.5 308.6 91%
24 Breece Hall RB NYJ 187.2 49.8 319.3 94%
25 De'Von Achane RB MIA 181.3 52.9 318.7 95%
26 Nico Collins WR HOU 179.0 59.1 306.1 95%
27 Joe Burrow QB CIN 211.6 62.0 496.1 68%
28 Drake London WR ATL 169.0 54.3 290.7 98%
29 Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 172.1 111.1 240.0 97%
30 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 167.5 53.7 290.9 97%
31 Puka Nacua WR LAR 161.5 56.7 269.1 98%
32 D.K. Metcalf WR SEA 171.4 54.6 291.9 93%
33 Trey McBride TE ARI 162.4 98.9 224.8 97%
34 Zay Flowers WR BAL 152.2 47.6 264.6 98%
35 Sam LaPorta TE DET 154.7 83.2 229.7 97%
36 Kyler Murray QB ARI 181.6 35.7 465.1 68%
37 Cooper Kupp WR LAR 171.0 81.3 262.7 87%
38 Kyren Williams RB LAR 155.0 44.6 281.5 93%
39 Jayden Reed WR GB 144.8 40.8 255.3 97%
40 Cole Kmet TE CHI 148.8 76.3 226.9 96%
41 Bijan Robinson RB ATL 146.6 29.4 271.0 95%
42 Brandon Aiyuk WR SF 146.7 38.1 265.2 93%
43 Davante Adams WR LV 161.5 57.5 258.0 86%
44 Chris Godwin WR TB 152.4 54.6 247.8 90%
45 Terry McLaurin WR WAS 148.0 46.1 262.8 89%
46 Kyle Pitts TE ATL 136.2 79.2 201.4 97%
47 Michael Pittman Jr. WR IND 140.4 38.7 251.7 92%
48 Jerry Jeudy WR CLE 137.3 22.2 253.7 95%
49 Trevor Lawrence QB JAX 124.6 11.7 302.4 93%
50 Travis Etienne RB JAX 145.6 41.7 253.5 90%
51 Jordan Addison WR MIN 129.0 30.9 232.2 99%
52 David Njoku TE CLE 137.8 73.8 209.4 92%
53 Josh Jacobs RB GB 148.0 38.9 255.0 87%
54 Chuba Hubbard RB CAR 137.5 34.4 250.7 90%
55 George Pickens WR PIT 125.8 23.8 240.3 98%
56 Isiah Pacheco RB KC 135.5 34.1 240.0 90%
57 Saquon Barkley RB PHI 146.6 43.0 255.6 83%
58 Dallas Goedert TE PHI 154.5 90.0 215.6 78%
59 D'Andre Swift RB CHI 127.9 34.4 238.2 89%
60 Kenneth Walker III RB SEA 119.4 29.4 234.5 93%
61 Geno Smith QB SEA 138.9 26.2 291.6 78%
62 Mac Jones QB JAX 122.1 1.7 406.6 69%
63 Tank Dell WR HOU 117.1 16.4 241.2 96%
64 Deebo Samuel WR SF 125.4 33.3 227.9 89%
65 Kirk Cousins QB ATL 205.6 67.2 490.0 46%
66 Rashid Shaheed WR NO 116.3 15.6 234.3 94%
67 Joshua Dobbs † QB SF 155.3 48.5 426.8 56%
68 Matthew Stafford QB LAR 179.8 50.7 344.8 60%
69 Jakobi Meyers WR LV 121.2 26.0 215.1 91%
70 Josh Downs WR IND 108.9 25.7 207.1 99%
71 Justin Fields QB PIT 95.3 19.1 247.1 94%
72 James Cook RB BUF 115.5 22.8 224.0 91%
73 George Kittle TE SF 163.8 98.0 239.8 67%
74 Stefon Diggs WR HOU 125.2 33.5 224.8 87%
75 Aidan O'Connell QB LV 115.7 3.5 385.6 69%
76 Daniel Jones QB NYG 105.7 36.3 390.4 68%
77 Najee Harris RB PIT 112.7 29.5 221.6 87%
78 Calvin Ridley WR TEN 111.0 17.1 216.3 88%
79 Jake Ferguson TE DAL 106.7 33.5 175.0 96%
80 Christian Kirk WR JAX 103.0 16.3 221.0 91%
81 Gabriel Davis WR JAX 99.6 19.0 208.7 95%
82 Zach Wilson † QB DEN 101.6 1.6 372.2 66%
83 Devin Singletary RB NYG 109.1 26.0 209.0 85%
84 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 138.0 37.2 281.5 64%
85 Alvin Kamara RB NO 151.6 53.3 299.4 59%
86 Brian Robinson Jr. RB WAS 143.7 45.7 292.6 59%
87 Mike Evans WR TB 102.6 19.5 202.2 87%
88 Chig Okonkwo TE TEN 93.2 37.9 159.8 97%
89 Dalton Schultz TE HOU 96.1 30.9 168.9 92%
90 Jaylen Warren RB PIT 139.0 40.9 287.8 59%
91 Derrick Henry RB BAL 135.0 39.6 220.9 68%
92 Romeo Doubs WR GB 151.8 51.0 295.3 54%
93 Rachaad White RB TB 91.0 21.1 193.0 89%
94 Javonte Williams RB DEN 136.5 39.0 285.9 59%
95 Davis Mills QB HOU 67.3 0.5 351.6 69%
96 Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE 128.0 25.1 284.4 59%
97 Jerome Ford RB CLE 85.8 14.5 180.4 91%
98 Evan Engram TE JAX 112.5 43.9 184.2 73%
99 Nick Mullens QB MIN 69.4 8.6 363.7 65%
100 Isaiah Likely TE BAL 88.1 31.1 216.7 74%
101 Tyjae Spears RB TEN 118.1 22.3 266.6 59%
102 Courtland Sutton WR DEN 80.3 6.8 185.1 89%
103 Mark Andrews TE BAL 91.3 37.3 152.8 86%
104 Kenny Pickett † QB PHI 68.4 0.0 337.7 63%
105 Tommy DeVito † QB NYG 65.3 4.7 336.7 64%
106 James Conner RB ARI 102.9 25.6 187.7 75%
107 Cade Otton TE TB 92.5 36.0 221.5 69%
108 Wan'Dale Robinson WR NYG 113.9 13.0 257.3 58%
109 Tee Higgins WR CIN 147.4 41.5 298.1 48%
110 Tyson Bagent † QB CHI 50.6 4.8 322.2 67%
111 Jonnu Smith TE MIA 84.8 19.2 151.3 86%
112 Sam Darnold QB MIN 28.1 4.4 307.5 68%
113 Bailey Zappe † QB NE 44.6 0.0 315.1 65%
114 Aaron Jones RB MIN 107.9 4.0 261.5 59%
115 David Montgomery RB DET 75.2 15.3 164.9 85%
116 Dontayvion Wicks WR GB 102.2 1.4 246.7 61%
117 Anthony Richardson QB IND 35.1 16.0 290.0 69%
118 Tyler Conklin TE NYJ 78.5 16.1 148.9 85%
119 Tucker Kraft TE GB 71.1 15.0 198.4 76%
120 Luke Musgrave TE GB 69.6 15.2 195.1 76%
121 Bryce Young QB CAR 51.0 -2.5 205.0 88%
122 Jonathan Taylor RB IND 98.8 0.0 251.2 59%
123 Gardner Minshew II QB LV 45.2 -3.8 190.4 96%
124 Tyler Allgeier RB ATL 98.5 1.8 244.0 59%
125 Elijah Moore WR CLE 110.3 9.4 254.8 54%
126 Pat Freiermuth TE PIT 78.3 20.7 211.2 67%
127 Keenan Allen WR CHI 67.7 7.1 158.0 86%
128 Tyler Huntley QB MIA 25.2 0.0 322.9 69%
129 Carson Wentz † QB KC 76.0 1.4 360.5 50%
130 Michael Mayer TE LV 62.3 9.3 189.4 79%
131 Jahan Dotson WR PHI 102.6 1.7 246.1 54%
132 Deshaun Watson QB CLE 23.6 0.0 293.3 66%
133 Mitchell Trubisky QB BUF 29.2 4.3 326.5 64%
134 Zach Charbonnet RB SEA 81.8 0.0 220.8 59%
135 Jacoby Brissett QB NE 25.1 0.0 307.8 59%
136 Joshua Palmer WR LAC 106.9 1.0 258.6 51%
137 Jaleel McLaughlin RB DEN 79.3 0.0 219.8 59%
138 DeMario Douglas WR NE 88.4 0.0 232.9 58%
139 Easton Stick † QB LAC 45.9 8.4 344.8 57%
140 Mason Rudolph QB TEN 26.0 -0.7 319.5 65%
141 Roschon Johnson RB CHI 79.2 0.0 227.7 59%
142 Jalin Hyatt WR NYG 76.4 5.4 213.0 62%
143 Tony Pollard RB TEN 61.8 9.2 145.2 84%
144 Khalil Herbert RB CHI 75.7 0.0 245.7 59%
145 Michael Wilson WR ARI 90.5 0.0 234.1 54%
146 Malik Willis QB GB 11.1 -2.5 304.8 69%
147 Travis Kelce TE KC 175.9 115.9 234.2 33%
148 Samaje Perine RB KC 70.5 0.0 242.6 59%
149 Trey Palmer WR TB 79.0 0.0 223.5 60%
150 Quentin Johnston WR LAC 79.0 0.0 222.5 62%
151 Khalil Shakir WR BUF 90.2 0.0 233.7 53%
152 Ty Chandler RB MIN 69.9 0.0 240.8 59%
153 Justice Hill RB BAL 71.3 0.0 242.8 59%
154 Jonathan Mingo WR CAR 67.1 0.0 210.6 60%
155 Kenneth Gainwell RB PHI 69.8 0.0 240.3 59%
156 Xavier Gipson WR NYJ 67.5 0.0 204.1 59%
157 Tommy Tremble TE CAR 48.8 5.2 177.3 74%
158 Rashod Bateman WR BAL 81.3 10.2 217.9 52%
159 Joe Flacco QB IND 80.8 0.0 347.2 38%
160 Daniel Bellinger TE NYG 49.0 1.0 169.7 76%
161 Drew Lock † QB NYG 14.5 0.0 308.0 60%
162 Jameson Williams WR DET 62.8 0.0 206.3 60%
163 Andy Dalton QB CAR 53.5 0.0 335.8 44%
164 Parker Washington WR JAX 59.4 0.0 195.9 64%
165 Dameon Pierce RB HOU 65.3 0.0 238.3 59%
166 Sean Clifford † QB GB 32.6 1.0 273.7 64%
167 Alec Pierce WR IND 72.6 0.0 216.0 55%
168 Aaron Rodgers QB NYJ 74.3 0.0 358.4 38%
169 Tyrod Taylor QB NYJ 45.8 2.7 314.3 49%
170 Noah Gray TE KC 49.5 2.2 176.5 69%
171 Rico Dowdle RB DAL 55.5 0.0 228.5 59%
172 Tutu Atwell WR LAR 84.0 0.0 227.5 52%
173 Marvin Mims WR DEN 55.2 -1.0 199.7 64%
174 Brevin Jordan TE HOU 42.1 0.6 169.2 75%
175 Zamir White RB LV 53.0 0.0 222.0 59%
176 Juwan Johnson TE NO 62.6 10.3 191.2 58%
177 Hunter Henry TE NE 76.2 20.1 204.8 50%
178 Skyy Moore WR KC 63.6 0.0 200.2 56%
179 Kayshon Boutte WR NE 44.9 6.0 191.3 65%
180 Tre Tucker WR LV 54.9 0.0 198.4 59%
181 Jarrett Stidham † QB DEN 32.1 0.5 272.8 60%
182 Christian Watson WR GB 76.7 0.0 220.2 50%
183 Jeremy Ruckert TE NYJ 43.3 12.8 147.2 75%
184 Kylen Granson TE IND 46.7 0.7 169.3 64%
185 Emari Demercado RB ARI 46.8 0.0 217.0 59%
186 AJ Dillon † RB GB 78.6 0.0 229.7 47%
187 Noah Fant TE SEA 53.3 3.4 169.4 63%
188 Davis Allen TE LAR 37.7 6.8 142.3 77%
189 Dawson Knox TE BUF 51.8 4.7 186.9 59%
190 Chase Brown RB CIN 42.3 0.0 214.3 59%
191 Elijah Higgins TE ARI 30.7 0.0 156.2 76%
192 Andrei Iosivas WR CIN 54.6 0.0 191.2 52%
193 Jameis Winston QB CLE 22.0 -2.8 263.0 62%
194 Colby Parkinson TE LAR 37.8 0.0 164.9 68%
195 Xavier Hutchinson WR HOU 48.1 9.2 194.5 55%
196 Jalen Tolbert WR DAL 65.9 0.0 202.5 49%
197 Keaton Mitchell † RB BAL 60.8 0.0 234.3 47%
198 Connor Heyward TE PIT 37.2 9.9 140.9 68%
199 Cedric Tillman WR CLE 51.4 0.0 188.0 54%
200 K.J. Osborn WR NE 73.3 0.0 216.8 41%
201 Darnell Mooney WR ATL 69.4 0.0 205.9 43%
202 Will Mallory † TE IND 39.8 10.4 143.6 69%
203 Jordan Mason RB SF 34.8 0.0 190.9 59%
204 Adam Trautman TE DEN 46.2 14.3 150.8 59%
205 Derius Davis WR LAC 39.7 0.0 176.2 56%
206 Calvin Austin III WR PIT 58.0 0.0 194.6 49%
207 Treylon Burks WR TEN 47.7 0.0 184.3 54%
208 Cooper Rush QB DAL 5.1 -1.5 244.0 62%
209 John Metchie WR HOU 41.9 0.0 178.4 56%
210 Kyle Allen † QB PIT 14.3 -0.6 255.0 59%
211 Tyquan Thornton WR NE 38.8 0.0 175.3 56%
212 Cole Turner † TE WAS 30.8 2.1 134.6 74%
213 Darnell Washington TE PIT 26.5 0.5 130.4 79%
214 Greg Dulcich TE DEN 33.1 6.1 117.6 73%
215 Dyami Brown WR WAS 38.6 0.0 175.1 52%
216 Kyle Juszczyk RB SF 31.8 0.0 164.6 59%
217 Jake Bobo WR SEA 56.3 0.0 192.9 46%
218 Malik Heath WR GB 40.4 0.0 177.0 54%
219 Josh Oliver TE MIN 39.8 8.2 144.3 60%
220 Brenton Strange TE JAX 26.7 2.2 131.3 77%
221 Ameer Abdullah RB LV 31.4 0.0 175.7 59%
222 Teagan Quitoriano † TE HOU 32.1 5.1 116.6 74%
223 Jalen Brooks WR DAL 38.6 0.0 185.1 55%
224 Greg Dortch WR ARI 62.5 0.0 199.1 45%
225 Ronnie Bell WR SF 37.6 0.0 174.1 53%
226 Tyler Higbee † TE LAR 84.3 28.5 211.3 31%
227 Marcus Mariota † QB PHI 13.2 1.7 254.1 52%
228 Marquise Brown † WR KC 86.7 0.0 230.1 33%
229 Josh Whyle TE TEN 25.8 1.5 130.3 71%
230 Brandon Johnson † WR DEN 70.8 0.0 207.4 38%
231 Durham Smythe TE MIA 44.6 0.0 159.4 53%
232 Tanner Hudson TE CIN 43.8 0.5 163.4 50%
233 Pierre Strong RB CLE 30.3 0.0 164.9 59%
234 Tyler Goodson RB IND 29.9 0.0 162.2 59%
235 Foster Moreau TE NO 32.8 4.6 137.4 61%
236 Michael Carter † RB ARI 44.4 0.0 211.2 47%
237 Kendre Miller † RB NO 34.3 0.0 191.1 47%
238 Chris Rodriguez † RB WAS 35.6 0.0 182.5 47%
239 Jalen Reagor † WR NE 46.8 7.9 193.3 41%
240 Tank Bigsby RB JAX 27.8 0.0 157.4 59%
241 Deven Thompkins † WR TB 39.7 0.0 176.3 48%
242 Mike Gesicki TE CIN 31.6 0.0 157.7 54%
243 Lucas Krull † TE DEN 32.7 5.7 117.4 62%
244 Scotty Miller WR PIT 43.6 4.6 190.1 42%
245 Payne Durham TE TB 21.4 0.0 125.4 75%
246 James Mitchell † TE DET 27.3 1.4 111.8 70%
247 Julian Hill TE MIA 19.8 -1.9 123.8 75%
248 Jalen Nailor WR MIN 30.0 0.0 176.5 49%
249 Alec Ingold RB MIA 26.8 0.0 151.0 59%
250 Quintin Morris † TE BUF 27.1 3.6 111.7 66%
251 Drew Sample TE CIN 33.9 6.4 138.5 56%
252 Nate Adkins TE DEN 28.1 2.6 112.6 70%
253 Chris Brooks RB GB 25.5 0.0 146.6 59%
254 Drew Ogletree TE IND 24.7 3.2 129.2 66%
255 Olamide Zaccheaus WR WAS 42.9 4.0 189.4 42%
256 John Bates TE WAS 25.1 2.6 128.0 63%
257 Charlie Jones WR CIN 35.9 0.0 182.4 47%
258 Sean Tucker RB TB 26.5 0.0 150.6 59%
259 Trey Sermon RB IND 24.2 0.0 143.4 59%
260 Ty Johnson RB BUF 25.8 0.0 145.7 59%
261 Case Keenum † QB HOU 41.7 6.8 282.9 35%
262 Brock Wright TE DET 23.5 1.0 127.2 67%
263 Ronnie Rivers RB LAR 24.8 0.0 145.1 59%
264 Eric Gray RB NYG 24.1 0.0 143.9 59%
265 Stone Smartt † TE LAC 24.0 0.2 128.5 64%
266 Kalif Raymond WR DET 77.0 6.0 213.6 30%
267 Lil'Jordan Humphrey WR DEN 43.7 0.0 180.2 45%
268 Luke Schoonmaker TE DAL 19.9 2.0 122.5 67%
269 Emanuel Wilson RB GB 25.3 0.0 149.0 59%
270 Charlie Kolar TE BAL 19.3 0.0 123.3 68%
271 Hunter Luepke RB DAL 24.4 0.0 136.2 59%
272 Patrick Ricard RB BAL 24.4 0.0 140.4 59%
273 KaVontae Turpin WR DAL 45.2 6.3 191.6 38%
274 Demarcus Robinson WR LAR 67.2 0.0 203.8 31%
275 Tyler Johnson WR LAR 28.4 0.0 174.8 46%
276 Salvon Ahmed † RB MIA 30.4 0.0 174.8 47%
277 Grant Calcaterra TE PHI 22.9 0.0 107.2 67%
278 Luke Farrell TE JAX 20.2 0.0 123.1 63%
279 Nick Westbrook-Ikhine † WR TEN 59.1 0.0 195.6 32%
280 Mo Alie-Cox TE IND 42.8 12.2 147.4 45%
281 Jauan Jennings WR SF 36.3 0.0 172.9 41%
282 J.K. Dobbins RB LAC 18.7 0.0 128.8 59%
283 Austin Hooper TE NE 27.3 3.0 129.8 49%
284 Zonovan Knight † RB DET 25.3 0.0 145.7 47%
285 Josiah Deguara TE JAX 21.0 0.0 104.8 59%
286 Jack Stoll TE PHI 17.9 0.0 102.0 64%
287 Tim Jones † WR JAX 37.1 0.0 183.6 37%
288 Kendrick Bourne † WR NE 72.6 0.0 224.3 25%
289 Van Jefferson WR PIT 30.9 0.0 177.4 38%
290 Charlie Woerner TE ATL 16.2 0.0 100.2 63%
291 Tylan Wallace † WR BAL 26.5 0.0 172.9 43%
292 Ko Kieft † TE TB 15.9 1.5 100.6 59%
293 Johnny Mundt TE MIN 18.7 0.0 122.7 50%
294 Pharaoh Brown TE SEA 25.3 1.9 109.6 48%
295 Travis Homer RB CHI 8.7 0.0 118.8 59%
296 D'Wayne Eskridge WR MIA 17.9 0.0 164.4 40%
297 Michael Burton RB DEN 16.0 0.0 126.1 59%
298 Simi Fehoko WR LAC 19.7 0.0 166.1 43%
299 Braxton Berrios WR MIA 31.7 0.0 168.3 34%
300 Ben Skowronek † WR PIT 25.4 0.0 171.8 33%
301 Adam Prentice RB NO 13.8 -1.9 123.9 59%
302 Austin Trammell † WR LAR 25.4 0.0 171.9 38%
303 Velus Jones Jr. RB CHI 8.7 0.0 118.8 59%
304 Dare Ogunbowale RB HOU 8.4 0.0 118.5 59%
305 Andrew Beck † RB HOU 23.2 0.0 133.3 47%
306 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR BUF 36.2 -1.8 172.8 31%
307 Devin Duvernay WR JAX 11.9 0.0 158.4 42%
308 Craig Reynolds † RB DET 20.0 0.0 130.1 47%
309 Mack Hollins WR BUF 41.5 2.6 187.9 27%
310 Britain Covey WR PHI 5.4 0.0 151.8 40%
311 DeeJay Dallas † RB ARI 16.1 -2.1 126.2 47%
312 Sterling Shepard WR TB 37.8 0.0 184.2 25%
313 Ian Thomas † TE CAR 16.6 0.0 100.3 48%
314 Trent Sherfield WR MIN 13.0 0.0 159.5 36%
315 David Moore WR CAR 22.6 0.0 169.1 32%
316 Odell Beckham Jr. † WR BAL 76.4 0.0 220.9 17%
317 Jonathan Ward † RB TEN 7.0 0.0 117.1 47%
318 Kene Nwangwu † RB MIN 6.3 0.0 116.4 47%
319 D.J. Montgomery † WR IND 8.6 0.0 155.1 30%
320 Nick Vannett TE TEN 17.1 0.0 101.4 43%
321 Mike Strachan † WR CAR 10.2 0.0 156.7 34%
322 Reggie Gilliam † RB BUF 6.3 0.0 116.4 47%
323 Robert Tonyan † TE MIN 12.3 0.0 95.7 37%
324 Eric Saubert TE SF 4.6 0.0 85.6 48%
325 KhaDarel Hodge † WR ATL 36.5 0.0 183.0 20%
326 Irvin Charles † WR NYJ 0.2 0.0 146.7 32%
327 Chris Moore † WR ARI 47.4 0.0 184.0 18%
328 Chris Manhertz † TE NYG 19.4 0.0 103.7 28%
329 Laquon Treadwell † WR BAL 0.2 0.0 146.7 24%
  • QB · KC
    306.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    128.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    479.8
    Chance he plays
    94%
  • QB · BAL
    276.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    111.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    455.2
    Chance he plays
    96%
  • QB · BUF
    269.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    106.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    445.8
    Chance he plays
    96%
  • QB · PHI
    254.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    101.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    437.3
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • QB · DET
    268.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    105.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    432.0
    Chance he plays
    91%
  • QB · MIA
    246.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    79.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    437.0
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • QB · SF
    244.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    86.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    433.6
    Chance he plays
    92%
  • WR · DET
    232.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    122.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    339.7
    Chance he plays
    96%
  • QB · GB
    223.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    70.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    406.8
    Chance he plays
    94%
  • WR · DAL
    228.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    109.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    348.1
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • WR · NO
    210.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    96.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    336.9
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · MIN
    204.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    83.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    325.2
    Chance he plays
    96%
  • QB · HOU
    217.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    62.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    393.1
    Chance he plays
    87%
  • QB · TB
    201.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    62.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    367.2
    Chance he plays
    93%
  • QB · DAL
    207.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    66.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    370.6
    Chance he plays
    88%
  • RB · DET
    190.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    56.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    337.7
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • WR · PHI
    197.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    81.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    318.2
    Chance he plays
    94%
  • WR · KC
    187.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    85.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    298.4
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • QB · LAC
    177.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    43.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    363.4
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • WR · CIN
    186.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    70.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    308.1
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · MIA
    190.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    85.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    311.9
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • WR · PHI
    191.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    83.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    301.9
    Chance he plays
    92%
  • WR · CHI
    193.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    79.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    308.6
    Chance he plays
    91%
  • RB · NYJ
    187.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    49.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    319.3
    Chance he plays
    94%
  • RB · MIA
    181.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    52.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    318.7
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • WR · HOU
    179.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    59.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    306.1
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • QB · CIN
    211.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    62.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    496.1
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • WR · ATL
    169.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    54.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    290.7
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • TE · BUF
    172.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    111.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    240.0
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · NYJ
    167.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    53.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    290.9
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · LAR
    161.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    56.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    269.1
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • WR · SEA
    171.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    54.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    291.9
    Chance he plays
    93%
  • TE · ARI
    162.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    98.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    224.8
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · BAL
    152.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    47.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    264.6
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • TE · DET
    154.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    83.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    229.7
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • QB · ARI
    181.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    35.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    465.1
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • WR · LAR
    171.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    81.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    262.7
    Chance he plays
    87%
  • RB · LAR
    155.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    44.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    281.5
    Chance he plays
    93%
  • WR · GB
    144.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    40.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    255.3
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • TE · CHI
    148.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    76.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    226.9
    Chance he plays
    96%
  • RB · ATL
    146.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    29.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    271.0
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • WR · SF
    146.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    38.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    265.2
    Chance he plays
    93%
  • WR · LV
    161.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    57.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    258.0
    Chance he plays
    86%
  • WR · TB
    152.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    54.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    247.8
    Chance he plays
    90%
  • WR · WAS
    148.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    46.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    262.8
    Chance he plays
    89%
  • TE · ATL
    136.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    79.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    201.4
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • WR · IND
    140.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    38.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    251.7
    Chance he plays
    92%
  • WR · CLE
    137.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    22.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    253.7
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • QB · JAX
    124.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    11.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    302.4
    Chance he plays
    93%
  • RB · JAX
    145.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    41.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    253.5
    Chance he plays
    90%
  • WR · MIN
    129.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    30.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    232.2
    Chance he plays
    99%
  • TE · CLE
    137.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    73.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    209.4
    Chance he plays
    92%
  • RB · GB
    148.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    38.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    255.0
    Chance he plays
    87%
  • RB · CAR
    137.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    34.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    250.7
    Chance he plays
    90%
  • WR · PIT
    125.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    23.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    240.3
    Chance he plays
    98%
  • RB · KC
    135.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    34.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    240.0
    Chance he plays
    90%
  • RB · PHI
    146.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    43.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    255.6
    Chance he plays
    83%
  • TE · PHI
    154.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    90.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    215.6
    Chance he plays
    78%
  • RB · CHI
    127.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    34.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    238.2
    Chance he plays
    89%
  • RB · SEA
    119.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    29.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    234.5
    Chance he plays
    93%
  • QB · SEA
    138.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    26.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    291.6
    Chance he plays
    78%
  • QB · JAX
    122.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    406.6
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • WR · HOU
    117.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    16.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    241.2
    Chance he plays
    96%
  • WR · SF
    125.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    33.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    227.9
    Chance he plays
    89%
  • QB · ATL
    205.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    67.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    490.0
    Chance he plays
    46%
  • WR · NO
    116.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    15.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    234.3
    Chance he plays
    94%
  • 67. Joshua Dobbs †
    QB · SF
    155.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    48.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    426.8
    Chance he plays
    56%
  • QB · LAR
    179.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    50.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    344.8
    Chance he plays
    60%
  • WR · LV
    121.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    26.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    215.1
    Chance he plays
    91%
  • WR · IND
    108.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    25.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    207.1
    Chance he plays
    99%
  • QB · PIT
    95.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    19.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    247.1
    Chance he plays
    94%
  • RB · BUF
    115.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    22.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    224.0
    Chance he plays
    91%
  • TE · SF
    163.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    98.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    239.8
    Chance he plays
    67%
  • WR · HOU
    125.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    33.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    224.8
    Chance he plays
    87%
  • QB · LV
    115.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    3.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    385.6
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • QB · NYG
    105.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    36.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    390.4
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • RB · PIT
    112.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    29.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    221.6
    Chance he plays
    87%
  • WR · TEN
    111.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    17.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    216.3
    Chance he plays
    88%
  • TE · DAL
    106.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    33.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    175.0
    Chance he plays
    96%
  • WR · JAX
    103.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    16.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    221.0
    Chance he plays
    91%
  • WR · JAX
    99.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    19.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    208.7
    Chance he plays
    95%
  • 82. Zach Wilson †
    QB · DEN
    101.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    372.2
    Chance he plays
    66%
  • RB · NYG
    109.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    26.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    209.0
    Chance he plays
    85%
  • WR · SEA
    138.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    37.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    281.5
    Chance he plays
    64%
  • RB · NO
    151.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    53.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    299.4
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • RB · WAS
    143.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    45.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    292.6
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · TB
    102.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    19.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    202.2
    Chance he plays
    87%
  • TE · TEN
    93.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    37.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    159.8
    Chance he plays
    97%
  • TE · HOU
    96.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    30.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    168.9
    Chance he plays
    92%
  • RB · PIT
    139.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    40.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    287.8
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • RB · BAL
    135.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    39.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    220.9
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • WR · GB
    151.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    51.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    295.3
    Chance he plays
    54%
  • RB · TB
    91.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    21.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    193.0
    Chance he plays
    89%
  • RB · DEN
    136.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    39.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    285.9
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • QB · HOU
    67.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    351.6
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • RB · NE
    128.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    25.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    284.4
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • RB · CLE
    85.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    14.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    180.4
    Chance he plays
    91%
  • TE · JAX
    112.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    43.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    184.2
    Chance he plays
    73%
  • QB · MIN
    69.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    8.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    363.7
    Chance he plays
    65%
  • TE · BAL
    88.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    31.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    216.7
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • RB · TEN
    118.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    22.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    266.6
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · DEN
    80.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    6.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    185.1
    Chance he plays
    89%
  • TE · BAL
    91.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    37.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    152.8
    Chance he plays
    86%
  • 104. Kenny Pickett †
    QB · PHI
    68.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    337.7
    Chance he plays
    63%
  • 105. Tommy DeVito †
    QB · NYG
    65.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    336.7
    Chance he plays
    64%
  • RB · ARI
    102.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    25.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    187.7
    Chance he plays
    75%
  • TE · TB
    92.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    36.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    221.5
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • WR · NYG
    113.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    13.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    257.3
    Chance he plays
    58%
  • WR · CIN
    147.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    41.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    298.1
    Chance he plays
    48%
  • 110. Tyson Bagent †
    QB · CHI
    50.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    322.2
    Chance he plays
    67%
  • TE · MIA
    84.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    19.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    151.3
    Chance he plays
    86%
  • QB · MIN
    28.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    307.5
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • 113. Bailey Zappe †
    QB · NE
    44.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    315.1
    Chance he plays
    65%
  • RB · MIN
    107.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    261.5
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • RB · DET
    75.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    15.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    164.9
    Chance he plays
    85%
  • WR · GB
    102.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    246.7
    Chance he plays
    61%
  • QB · IND
    35.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    16.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    290.0
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • TE · NYJ
    78.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    16.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    148.9
    Chance he plays
    85%
  • TE · GB
    71.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    15.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    198.4
    Chance he plays
    76%
  • TE · GB
    69.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    15.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    195.1
    Chance he plays
    76%
  • QB · CAR
    51.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    -2.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    205.0
    Chance he plays
    88%
  • RB · IND
    98.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    251.2
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • QB · LV
    45.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    -3.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    190.4
    Chance he plays
    96%
  • RB · ATL
    98.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    244.0
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · CLE
    110.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    9.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    254.8
    Chance he plays
    54%
  • TE · PIT
    78.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    20.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    211.2
    Chance he plays
    67%
  • WR · CHI
    67.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    7.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    158.0
    Chance he plays
    86%
  • QB · MIA
    25.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    322.9
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • 129. Carson Wentz †
    QB · KC
    76.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    360.5
    Chance he plays
    50%
  • TE · LV
    62.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    9.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    189.4
    Chance he plays
    79%
  • WR · PHI
    102.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    246.1
    Chance he plays
    54%
  • QB · CLE
    23.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    293.3
    Chance he plays
    66%
  • QB · BUF
    29.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    326.5
    Chance he plays
    64%
  • RB · SEA
    81.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    220.8
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • QB · NE
    25.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    307.8
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · LAC
    106.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    258.6
    Chance he plays
    51%
  • RB · DEN
    79.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    219.8
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · NE
    88.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    232.9
    Chance he plays
    58%
  • 139. Easton Stick †
    QB · LAC
    45.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    8.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    344.8
    Chance he plays
    57%
  • QB · TEN
    26.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    -0.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    319.5
    Chance he plays
    65%
  • RB · CHI
    79.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    227.7
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · NYG
    76.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    5.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    213.0
    Chance he plays
    62%
  • RB · TEN
    61.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    9.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    145.2
    Chance he plays
    84%
  • RB · CHI
    75.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    245.7
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · ARI
    90.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    234.1
    Chance he plays
    54%
  • QB · GB
    11.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    -2.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    304.8
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • TE · KC
    175.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    115.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    234.2
    Chance he plays
    33%
  • RB · KC
    70.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    242.6
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · TB
    79.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    223.5
    Chance he plays
    60%
  • WR · LAC
    79.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    222.5
    Chance he plays
    62%
  • WR · BUF
    90.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    233.7
    Chance he plays
    53%
  • RB · MIN
    69.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    240.8
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • RB · BAL
    71.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    242.8
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · CAR
    67.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    210.6
    Chance he plays
    60%
  • RB · PHI
    69.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    240.3
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · NYJ
    67.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    204.1
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • TE · CAR
    48.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    5.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    177.3
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · BAL
    81.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    10.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    217.9
    Chance he plays
    52%
  • QB · IND
    80.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    347.2
    Chance he plays
    38%
  • TE · NYG
    49.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    169.7
    Chance he plays
    76%
  • 161. Drew Lock †
    QB · NYG
    14.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    308.0
    Chance he plays
    60%
  • WR · DET
    62.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    206.3
    Chance he plays
    60%
  • QB · CAR
    53.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    335.8
    Chance he plays
    44%
  • WR · JAX
    59.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    195.9
    Chance he plays
    64%
  • RB · HOU
    65.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    238.3
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • 166. Sean Clifford †
    QB · GB
    32.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    273.7
    Chance he plays
    64%
  • WR · IND
    72.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    216.0
    Chance he plays
    55%
  • QB · NYJ
    74.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    358.4
    Chance he plays
    38%
  • QB · NYJ
    45.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    314.3
    Chance he plays
    49%
  • TE · KC
    49.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    176.5
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • RB · DAL
    55.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    228.5
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · LAR
    84.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    227.5
    Chance he plays
    52%
  • WR · DEN
    55.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    -1.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    199.7
    Chance he plays
    64%
  • TE · HOU
    42.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    169.2
    Chance he plays
    75%
  • RB · LV
    53.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    222.0
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • TE · NO
    62.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    10.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    191.2
    Chance he plays
    58%
  • TE · NE
    76.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    20.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    204.8
    Chance he plays
    50%
  • WR · KC
    63.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    200.2
    Chance he plays
    56%
  • WR · NE
    44.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    6.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    191.3
    Chance he plays
    65%
  • WR · LV
    54.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    198.4
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • 181. Jarrett Stidham †
    QB · DEN
    32.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    272.8
    Chance he plays
    60%
  • WR · GB
    76.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    220.2
    Chance he plays
    50%
  • TE · NYJ
    43.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    12.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    147.2
    Chance he plays
    75%
  • TE · IND
    46.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    169.3
    Chance he plays
    64%
  • RB · ARI
    46.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    217.0
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • 186. AJ Dillon †
    RB · GB
    78.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    229.7
    Chance he plays
    47%
  • TE · SEA
    53.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    3.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    169.4
    Chance he plays
    63%
  • TE · LAR
    37.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    6.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    142.3
    Chance he plays
    77%
  • TE · BUF
    51.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    186.9
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • RB · CIN
    42.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    214.3
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • TE · ARI
    30.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    156.2
    Chance he plays
    76%
  • WR · CIN
    54.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    191.2
    Chance he plays
    52%
  • QB · CLE
    22.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    -2.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    263.0
    Chance he plays
    62%
  • TE · LAR
    37.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    164.9
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • WR · HOU
    48.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    9.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    194.5
    Chance he plays
    55%
  • WR · DAL
    65.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    202.5
    Chance he plays
    49%
  • 197. Keaton Mitchell †
    RB · BAL
    60.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    234.3
    Chance he plays
    47%
  • TE · PIT
    37.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    9.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    140.9
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • WR · CLE
    51.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    188.0
    Chance he plays
    54%
  • WR · NE
    73.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    216.8
    Chance he plays
    41%
  • WR · ATL
    69.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    205.9
    Chance he plays
    43%
  • 202. Will Mallory †
    TE · IND
    39.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    10.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    143.6
    Chance he plays
    69%
  • RB · SF
    34.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    190.9
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • TE · DEN
    46.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    14.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    150.8
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · LAC
    39.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    176.2
    Chance he plays
    56%
  • WR · PIT
    58.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    194.6
    Chance he plays
    49%
  • WR · TEN
    47.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    184.3
    Chance he plays
    54%
  • QB · DAL
    5.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    -1.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    244.0
    Chance he plays
    62%
  • WR · HOU
    41.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    178.4
    Chance he plays
    56%
  • 210. Kyle Allen †
    QB · PIT
    14.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    -0.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    255.0
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · NE
    38.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    175.3
    Chance he plays
    56%
  • 212. Cole Turner †
    TE · WAS
    30.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    134.6
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • TE · PIT
    26.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    130.4
    Chance he plays
    79%
  • TE · DEN
    33.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    6.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    117.6
    Chance he plays
    73%
  • WR · WAS
    38.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    175.1
    Chance he plays
    52%
  • RB · SF
    31.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    164.6
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · SEA
    56.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    192.9
    Chance he plays
    46%
  • WR · GB
    40.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    177.0
    Chance he plays
    54%
  • TE · MIN
    39.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    8.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    144.3
    Chance he plays
    60%
  • TE · JAX
    26.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    131.3
    Chance he plays
    77%
  • RB · LV
    31.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    175.7
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • TE · HOU
    32.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    5.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    116.6
    Chance he plays
    74%
  • WR · DAL
    38.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    185.1
    Chance he plays
    55%
  • WR · ARI
    62.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    199.1
    Chance he plays
    45%
  • WR · SF
    37.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    174.1
    Chance he plays
    53%
  • 226. Tyler Higbee †
    TE · LAR
    84.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    28.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    211.3
    Chance he plays
    31%
  • 227. Marcus Mariota †
    QB · PHI
    13.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    254.1
    Chance he plays
    52%
  • 228. Marquise Brown †
    WR · KC
    86.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    230.1
    Chance he plays
    33%
  • TE · TEN
    25.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    130.3
    Chance he plays
    71%
  • 230. Brandon Johnson †
    WR · DEN
    70.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    207.4
    Chance he plays
    38%
  • TE · MIA
    44.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    159.4
    Chance he plays
    53%
  • TE · CIN
    43.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    163.4
    Chance he plays
    50%
  • RB · CLE
    30.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    164.9
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • RB · IND
    29.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    162.2
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • TE · NO
    32.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    137.4
    Chance he plays
    61%
  • 236. Michael Carter †
    RB · ARI
    44.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    211.2
    Chance he plays
    47%
  • 237. Kendre Miller †
    RB · NO
    34.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    191.1
    Chance he plays
    47%
  • 238. Chris Rodriguez †
    RB · WAS
    35.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    182.5
    Chance he plays
    47%
  • 239. Jalen Reagor †
    WR · NE
    46.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    7.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    193.3
    Chance he plays
    41%
  • RB · JAX
    27.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    157.4
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • 241. Deven Thompkins †
    WR · TB
    39.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    176.3
    Chance he plays
    48%
  • TE · CIN
    31.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    157.7
    Chance he plays
    54%
  • 243. Lucas Krull †
    TE · DEN
    32.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    5.7
    Ceiling (P90)
    117.4
    Chance he plays
    62%
  • WR · PIT
    43.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    190.1
    Chance he plays
    42%
  • TE · TB
    21.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    125.4
    Chance he plays
    75%
  • 246. James Mitchell †
    TE · DET
    27.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    111.8
    Chance he plays
    70%
  • TE · MIA
    19.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    -1.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    123.8
    Chance he plays
    75%
  • WR · MIN
    30.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    176.5
    Chance he plays
    49%
  • RB · MIA
    26.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    151.0
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • 250. Quintin Morris †
    TE · BUF
    27.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    3.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    111.7
    Chance he plays
    66%
  • TE · CIN
    33.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    6.4
    Ceiling (P90)
    138.5
    Chance he plays
    56%
  • TE · DEN
    28.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    112.6
    Chance he plays
    70%
  • RB · GB
    25.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    146.6
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • TE · IND
    24.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    3.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    129.2
    Chance he plays
    66%
  • WR · WAS
    42.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    4.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    189.4
    Chance he plays
    42%
  • TE · WAS
    25.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    128.0
    Chance he plays
    63%
  • WR · CIN
    35.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    182.4
    Chance he plays
    47%
  • RB · TB
    26.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    150.6
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • RB · IND
    24.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    143.4
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • RB · BUF
    25.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    145.7
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • 261. Case Keenum †
    QB · HOU
    41.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    6.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    282.9
    Chance he plays
    35%
  • TE · DET
    23.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    127.2
    Chance he plays
    67%
  • RB · LAR
    24.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    145.1
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • RB · NYG
    24.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    143.9
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • 265. Stone Smartt †
    TE · LAC
    24.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    128.5
    Chance he plays
    64%
  • WR · DET
    77.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    6.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    213.6
    Chance he plays
    30%
  • WR · DEN
    43.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    180.2
    Chance he plays
    45%
  • TE · DAL
    19.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    122.5
    Chance he plays
    67%
  • RB · GB
    25.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    149.0
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • TE · BAL
    19.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    123.3
    Chance he plays
    68%
  • RB · DAL
    24.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    136.2
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • RB · BAL
    24.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    140.4
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · DAL
    45.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    6.3
    Ceiling (P90)
    191.6
    Chance he plays
    38%
  • WR · LAR
    67.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    203.8
    Chance he plays
    31%
  • WR · LAR
    28.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    174.8
    Chance he plays
    46%
  • 276. Salvon Ahmed †
    RB · MIA
    30.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    174.8
    Chance he plays
    47%
  • TE · PHI
    22.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    107.2
    Chance he plays
    67%
  • TE · JAX
    20.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    123.1
    Chance he plays
    63%
  • WR · TEN
    59.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    195.6
    Chance he plays
    32%
  • TE · IND
    42.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    12.2
    Ceiling (P90)
    147.4
    Chance he plays
    45%
  • WR · SF
    36.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    172.9
    Chance he plays
    41%
  • RB · LAC
    18.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    128.8
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • TE · NE
    27.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    3.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    129.8
    Chance he plays
    49%
  • 284. Zonovan Knight †
    RB · DET
    25.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    145.7
    Chance he plays
    47%
  • TE · JAX
    21.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    104.8
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • TE · PHI
    17.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    102.0
    Chance he plays
    64%
  • 287. Tim Jones †
    WR · JAX
    37.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    183.6
    Chance he plays
    37%
  • 288. Kendrick Bourne †
    WR · NE
    72.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    224.3
    Chance he plays
    25%
  • WR · PIT
    30.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    177.4
    Chance he plays
    38%
  • TE · ATL
    16.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    100.2
    Chance he plays
    63%
  • 291. Tylan Wallace †
    WR · BAL
    26.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    172.9
    Chance he plays
    43%
  • 292. Ko Kieft †
    TE · TB
    15.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.5
    Ceiling (P90)
    100.6
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • TE · MIN
    18.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    122.7
    Chance he plays
    50%
  • TE · SEA
    25.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    1.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    109.6
    Chance he plays
    48%
  • RB · CHI
    8.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    118.8
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · MIA
    17.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    164.4
    Chance he plays
    40%
  • RB · DEN
    16.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    126.1
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • WR · LAC
    19.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    166.1
    Chance he plays
    43%
  • WR · MIA
    31.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    168.3
    Chance he plays
    34%
  • 300. Ben Skowronek †
    WR · PIT
    25.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    171.8
    Chance he plays
    33%
  • RB · NO
    13.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    -1.9
    Ceiling (P90)
    123.9
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • 302. Austin Trammell †
    WR · LAR
    25.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    171.9
    Chance he plays
    38%
  • RB · CHI
    8.7 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    118.8
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • RB · HOU
    8.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    118.5
    Chance he plays
    59%
  • 305. Andrew Beck †
    RB · HOU
    23.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    133.3
    Chance he plays
    47%
  • WR · BUF
    36.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    -1.8
    Ceiling (P90)
    172.8
    Chance he plays
    31%
  • WR · JAX
    11.9 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    158.4
    Chance he plays
    42%
  • 308. Craig Reynolds †
    RB · DET
    20.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    130.1
    Chance he plays
    47%
  • WR · BUF
    41.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    2.6
    Ceiling (P90)
    187.9
    Chance he plays
    27%
  • WR · PHI
    5.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    151.8
    Chance he plays
    40%
  • 311. DeeJay Dallas †
    RB · ARI
    16.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    -2.1
    Ceiling (P90)
    126.2
    Chance he plays
    47%
  • WR · TB
    37.8 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    184.2
    Chance he plays
    25%
  • 313. Ian Thomas †
    TE · CAR
    16.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    100.3
    Chance he plays
    48%
  • WR · MIN
    13.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    159.5
    Chance he plays
    36%
  • WR · CAR
    22.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    169.1
    Chance he plays
    32%
  • WR · BAL
    76.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    220.9
    Chance he plays
    17%
  • 317. Jonathan Ward †
    RB · TEN
    7.0 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    117.1
    Chance he plays
    47%
  • 318. Kene Nwangwu †
    RB · MIN
    6.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    116.4
    Chance he plays
    47%
  • 319. D.J. Montgomery †
    WR · IND
    8.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    155.1
    Chance he plays
    30%
  • TE · TEN
    17.1 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    101.4
    Chance he plays
    43%
  • 321. Mike Strachan †
    WR · CAR
    10.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    156.7
    Chance he plays
    34%
  • 322. Reggie Gilliam †
    RB · BUF
    6.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    116.4
    Chance he plays
    47%
  • 323. Robert Tonyan †
    TE · MIN
    12.3 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    95.7
    Chance he plays
    37%
  • TE · SF
    4.6 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    85.6
    Chance he plays
    48%
  • 325. KhaDarel Hodge †
    WR · ATL
    36.5 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    183.0
    Chance he plays
    20%
  • 326. Irvin Charles †
    WR · NYJ
    0.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    146.7
    Chance he plays
    32%
  • 327. Chris Moore †
    WR · ARI
    47.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    184.0
    Chance he plays
    18%
  • 328. Chris Manhertz †
    TE · NYG
    19.4 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    103.7
    Chance he plays
    28%
  • WR · BAL
    0.2 median
    Floor (P10)
    0.0
    Ceiling (P90)
    146.7
    Chance he plays
    24%

Ordered by the expected total — the projection counted against the “Chance he plays” figure beside it. A row can therefore rank above one with a larger “Median”.

About these numbers

QB: Some seasons ahead are not ranked for QB here, because what we have for them doesn't hold up; the seasons offered above are the ones we publish. RB: Some seasons ahead are not ranked for RB here, because what we have for them doesn't hold up; the seasons offered above are the ones we publish. WR: Some seasons ahead are not ranked for WR here, because what we have for them doesn't hold up; the seasons offered above are the ones we publish. TE: Some seasons ahead are not ranked for TE here, because what we have for them doesn't hold up; the seasons offered above are the ones we publish.

QB: No combined total is shown for the rest of the 2024 season and the 2025–2026 seasons combined. We tested totals like it, built from our projections, against what non-starting quarterbacks actually scored (284 player-weeks at Weeks 4, 8 and 12). At Week 4 its 90% range held for 84% of them, not close enough to 90% to publish. Starters' totals were tested too (166 player-weeks) and did not pass.

QB: No ranking by the rest of the 2024 season and the 2025 season combined is shown. That combined total is tested for only some players at this position, and a ranking that left the rest out would not be a ranking of the position.

TE: No ranking by the rest of the 2024 season and the 2025–2026 seasons combined is shown. That combined total is tested for only some players at this position, and a ranking that left the rest out would not be a ranking of the position.

QB: Early read: these figures are projected for him individually. The range around them allows for the games he may miss, at the rate starting quarterbacks have actually missed them, and the chance he plays at all is the historical rate for players who carried his workload at his age. During the season, his figures for the seasons he will play past 30 are also lowered, by as much as we have measured starting quarterbacks that age fall short of their projections.

QB: Early read: these figures are projected for him individually. The range around them allows for the games he may miss, at the rate starting quarterbacks have actually missed them, and the chance he plays at all is the historical rate for players who carried his workload at his age.

QB: He was not a full-time starter last season. These figures start from his own most recent season and move every stat he is scored on by how much players at his position and age have actually changed over the same span. The range around them moves those stats together, the way real seasons did, and was widened by exactly as much as we measured it had been too narrow, and the chance he plays is the historical rate for players like him at his age.

QB: 14 players here are projected from the 2023 season, marked † below: no game in 2024. The number comes from the model that looks 3 seasons ahead of a 2023 season, to reach the 2026 season. From a 2023 season we publish through 2026 and no further.

QB: About this range: we checked ranges like it against the seasons that actually followed, and it held at both levels we test — 75% of real seasons landed inside the 80% range and 86% inside the 90% range, measured on 116 player-seasons. What that testing could not settle, using only the seasons completed by then (through 2023), is whether this projection is more accurate than a simple baseline. We publish it because the range holds, not because it has been shown to beat one.

RB: Early read: these figures are projected for him individually. His rushing touchdowns, catches and receiving yards were each moved up and widened by as much as we measured full-time starters' seasons have actually landed above our projections for them, and outside their ranges. The range around them moves every stat he is scored on together, the way full-time starters' seasons actually move, and allows for the games he may miss at the rate full-time starters at his position have missed them; the chance he plays at all is the historical rate for players who carried his workload at his age. During the season, his figures are also adjusted for his age, by as much as we have measured full-time starters at his position decline, or improve, with age from one season to the next.

RB: He was not a full-time starter last season. These figures start from his own most recent season and move every stat he is scored on by how much players at his position and age have actually changed over the same span. The range around them moves those stats together, the way real seasons did, reaches down to the seasons where a player's whole workload fell away, and was widened by exactly as much as we measured it had been too narrow, and the chance he plays is the historical rate for players like him.

RB: 13 players here are projected from the 2023 season, marked † below: no game in 2024. The number comes from the model that looks 3 seasons ahead of a 2023 season, to reach the 2026 season. From a 2023 season we publish through 2026 and no further.

RB: Only 21 of the 78 players here were full-time starters last season projected for them individually, and what follows is about them: This range carries a correction we measured. We compared the season-ahead ranges we had published against the seasons that actually followed, found them about 12% too narrow and centered about 8% of a range's width too low, and moved them by exactly what that comparison measured — nothing was widened to make a number look better. The figure above is a prediction from the corrected model.

RB: About this range: we checked ranges like it against the seasons that actually followed, and it held at both levels we test — 77% of real seasons landed inside the 80% range and 89% inside the 90% range, measured on 95 player-seasons. What that testing could not settle, using only the seasons completed by then (through 2023), is whether this projection is more accurate than a simple baseline. We publish it because the range holds, not because it has been shown to beat one.

WR: Early read: these figures are projected for him individually, and the chance he plays is the historical rate for players who carried his workload at his age.

WR: Early read: these figures are projected for him individually, and the chance he plays is the historical rate for players who carried his workload at his age. During the season, his figures for the seasons he will play past 30 are also lowered, by as much as we have measured full-time receivers that age fall short of their projections.

WR: He was not a full-time starter last season. These figures start from his own most recent season and move every stat he is scored on by how much players at his position and age have actually changed over the same span. The range around them moves those stats together, the way real seasons did, reaches down to the seasons where a player's whole workload fell away, and was widened by exactly as much as we measured it had been too narrow, and the chance he plays is the historical rate for players like him at his age.

WR: 17 players here are projected from the 2023 season, marked † below: no game in 2024. The number comes from the model that looks 3 seasons ahead of a 2023 season, to reach the 2026 season. From a 2023 season we publish through 2026 and no further.

WR: Only 38 of the 119 players here were full-time starters last season projected for them individually, and what follows is about them: This range carries a correction we measured. We compared the season-ahead ranges we had published against the seasons that actually followed, found them about 12% too narrow and centered about 8% of a range's width too low, and moved them by exactly what that comparison measured — nothing was widened to make a number look better. The figure above is a prediction from the corrected model.

WR: About this range: we checked ranges like it against the seasons that actually followed, and it held at both levels we test — 78% of real seasons landed inside the 80% range and 91% inside the 90% range, measured on 194 player-seasons. What that testing could not settle, using only the seasons completed by then (through 2023), is whether this projection is more accurate than a simple baseline. We publish it because the range holds, not because it has been shown to beat one.

WR: Only 38 of the 119 players here are projected for them individually, and what follows is about them: What this number leaves out, on purpose: rushing yards and rushing first downs. We tested our rushing yards projection at this horizon against the simplest baseline there is — projecting none at all — over 941 past player-seasons. Ours was off by 13.7 rushing yards a season and the baseline by 10.5, so it did not beat the baseline and we publish it as none rather than as a figure we cannot stand behind. For scale, rushing of every kind was 1.7% of what this position actually scored over those same seasons. Nothing else above is affected.

TE: Early read: these figures are projected for him individually, and the chance he plays is the historical rate for players who carried his workload at his age. During the season, his figures for the seasons he will play before 30 are also raised, by as much as we have measured full-time tight ends that age outperform their projections.

TE: Early read: these figures are projected for him individually, and the chance he plays is the historical rate for players who carried his workload at his age.

TE: He was not a full-time starter last season. These figures start from his own most recent season and move every stat he is scored on by how much players at his position and age have actually changed over the same span. The range around them moves those stats together, the way real seasons did, and was widened by exactly as much as we measured it had been too narrow, and the chance he plays is the historical rate for players like him at his age.

TE: 12 players here are projected from the 2023 season, marked † below: no game in 2024. The number comes from the model that looks 3 seasons ahead of a 2023 season, to reach the 2026 season. From a 2023 season we publish through 2026 and no further.

TE: Only 16 of the 78 players here were full-time starters last season projected for them individually, and what follows is about them: This range carries a correction we measured. We compared the season-ahead ranges we had published against the seasons that actually followed, found them about 12% too narrow and centered about 10% of a range's width too low, and moved them by exactly what that comparison measured — nothing was widened to make a number look better. The figure above is a prediction from the corrected model.

TE: About this range: we checked ranges like it against the seasons that actually followed, and it held at both levels we test — 82% of real seasons landed inside the 80% range and 91% inside the 90% range, measured on 77 player-seasons. What that testing could not settle, using only the seasons completed by then (through 2023), is whether this projection is more accurate than a simple baseline. We publish it because the range holds, not because it has been shown to beat one.

What these columns mean

Team
— His club today, from the current roster — not a week's depth chart, because these figures are for the 2026 season rather than for one game.
Median
— The middle of our projected fantasy points for the 2026 season: half of the simulated outcomes come in above it.
Floor (P10)
— The 10th percentile of the same projection: 10% of simulated outcomes come in below it.
Ceiling (P90)
— The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated outcomes come in above it.
Chance he plays
— The chance he plays at least one game in the 2026 season. The figures to its left are for a season in which he plays at least one game, counting the games he may miss, which is not a promise of his role: on 134 rows here the floor is 0.0, because the range reaches down to seasons where a player's whole workload fell away; where it is a dash, the row carries no such chance and its figures already count the seasons he might not play.

QB: 1 player is listed below without a rank: ranked on this position's 2025 season board, with no projection for the 2026 season published for them.

RB: 1 player is listed below without a rank: ranked on this position's 2025 season board, with no projection for the 2026 season published for them.

WR: 1 player is listed below without a rank: at least half of each one's projected outcomes are zero points, so the middle of his projection is 0.0 and a rank would order nothing.

TE: 2 players are listed below without a rank: ranked on this position's 2025 season board, with no projection for the 2026 season published for them.

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