Players — 2024 Week 5
Scoring: Full PPR · 6-pt pass TD · IDP
LB fantasy football rankings for the 2027 season, ordered by the expected total (the projection counted against the “Chance he plays” figure).
Archived example week — 2024 Week 5.
These are not current projections. Many of these players are still active, so
don't use these numbers to set a lineup. Subscribers get the live week.
See plans →
Today's model, trained only on what was known by 2024 Week 5; some calibration settings were measured on later seasons.
Projected fantasy points for the 2027 season · Directional — lower confidence this far out
| # | Player | Team | Median | Floor (P10) | Ceiling (P90) | Chance he plays |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ernest Jones | TEN | 224.4 | 111.6 | 344.4 | 62% |
| 2 | Quay Walker | GB | 165.3 | 52.5 | 285.3 | 65% |
| 3 | Micah McFadden | NYG | 161.3 | 48.5 | 281.3 | 63% |
| 4 | Devin Lloyd | JAX | 175.3 | 62.5 | 295.3 | 56% |
| 5 | Tremaine Edmunds | CHI | 186.2 | 73.4 | 306.2 | 54% |
| 6 | Jack Sanborn | CHI | 136.1 | 32.9 | 284.8 | 66% |
| 7 | Leo Chenal | KC | 134.1 | 30.9 | 282.8 | 67% |
| 8 | Jordyn Brooks | MIA | 188.2 | 75.4 | 308.2 | 51% |
| 9 | Nathan Landman | ATL | 169.4 | 56.6 | 289.4 | 57% |
| 10 | Ivan Pace | MIN | 136.3 | 23.5 | 256.3 | 68% |
| 11 | YaYa Diaby | TB | 144.0 | 40.8 | 292.7 | 60% |
| 12 | Nik Bonitto | DEN | 132.1 | 28.9 | 280.8 | 61% |
| 13 | Frankie Luvu | WAS | 198.4 | 85.6 | 318.4 | 45% |
| 14 | Jaelan Phillips | MIA | 135.1 | 31.9 | 283.8 | 60% |
| 15 | T.J. Watt | PIT | 242.2 | 129.4 | 362.2 | 36% |
| 16 | Kayvon Thibodeaux | NYG | 124.3 | 11.5 | 244.3 | 68% |
| 17 | Damone Clark | DAL | 126.3 | 13.5 | 246.3 | 65% |
| 18 | Henry To'oTo'o | HOU | 112.1 | 8.9 | 260.8 | 68% |
| 19 | Nick Bolton | KC | 118.1 | 14.9 | 266.8 | 64% |
| 20 | Zaven Collins | ARI | 119.0 | 15.8 | 267.7 | 60% |
| 21 | Azeez Ojulari | NYG | 86.7 | 24.9 | 249.2 | 65% |
| 22 | Divine Deablo | LV | 134.3 | 21.5 | 254.3 | 55% |
| 23 | Jermaine Johnson II | NYJ | 132.2 | 19.4 | 252.2 | 58% |
| 24 | Pete Werner | NO | 125.3 | 12.5 | 245.3 | 60% |
| 25 | Josh Sweat | PHI | 139.1 | 35.9 | 287.8 | 48% |
| 26 | Jonathon Cooper | DEN | 136.2 | 23.4 | 256.2 | 52% |
| 27 | Tuli Tuipulotu | LAC | 85.3 | 0.0 | 205.3 | 75% |
| 28 | Jack Campbell | DET | 104.4 | 0.0 | 224.4 | 66% |
| 29 | Boye Mafe | SEA | 121.3 | 8.5 | 241.3 | 57% |
| 30 | Jahlani Tavai | NE | 152.4 | 39.6 | 272.4 | 46% |
| 31 | Nick Herbig | PIT | 82.0 | 0.0 | 230.7 | 72% |
| 32 | Tony Fields | CLE | 84.3 | 22.5 | 246.8 | 60% |
| 33 | Tavius Robinson | BAL | 83.7 | 22.0 | 246.3 | 58% |
| 34 | Blake Cashman | MIN | 148.3 | 35.5 | 268.3 | 44% |
| 35 | Dorian Williams | BUF | 75.1 | 0.0 | 223.8 | 70% |
| 36 | K'Lavon Chaisson | LV | 79.7 | 18.0 | 242.3 | 61% |
| 37 | Cody Barton | DEN | 143.3 | 30.5 | 263.3 | 46% |
| 38 | Nolan Smith | PHI | 63.7 | 2.0 | 226.3 | 68% |
| 39 | Jack Cochrane | KC | 81.7 | 20.0 | 244.3 | 58% |
| 40 | Jonathan Greenard | MIN | 130.4 | 17.6 | 250.4 | 49% |
| 41 | Baron Browning | DEN | 99.1 | 0.0 | 247.8 | 58% |
| 42 | Tyrel Dodson | SEA | 106.3 | 0.0 | 226.3 | 55% |
| 43 | Joshua Uche | NE | 82.7 | 21.0 | 245.3 | 56% |
| 44 | Trenton Simpson | BAL | 62.7 | 0.9 | 225.2 | 70% |
| 45 | Segun Olubi | IND | 73.7 | 12.0 | 236.3 | 62% |
| 46 | Odafe Oweh | BAL | 93.1 | 0.0 | 241.8 | 58% |
| 47 | Mack Wilson | ARI | 104.1 | 0.9 | 252.8 | 53% |
| 48 | Dre'Mont Jones | SEA | 117.1 | 13.9 | 265.8 | 47% |
| 49 | Alex Highsmith | PIT | 121.3 | 8.5 | 241.3 | 50% |
| 50 | Derick Hall | SEA | 68.1 | 0.0 | 216.8 | 69% |
| 51 | K.J. Britt | TB | 71.7 | 10.0 | 234.3 | 60% |
| 52 | Jack Gibbens | TEN | 102.4 | 0.0 | 222.4 | 57% |
| 53 | Nakobe Dean | PHI | 71.1 | 0.0 | 219.8 | 68% |
| 54 | Jamien Sherwood | NYJ | 78.1 | 0.0 | 226.8 | 63% |
| 55 | Isaiah McDuffie | GB | 92.4 | 0.0 | 212.4 | 61% |
| 56 | Brian Burns | NYG | 108.3 | 0.0 | 228.3 | 54% |
| 57 | Harold Landry | TEN | 131.4 | 18.6 | 251.4 | 44% |
| 58 | Byron Young | LAR | 112.3 | 0.0 | 232.3 | 53% |
| 59 | Christian Elliss | NE | 70.7 | 9.0 | 233.3 | 58% |
| 60 | Derrick Barnes | DET | 89.4 | 0.0 | 209.4 | 60% |
| 61 | Owen Pappoe | ARI | 56.7 | 0.0 | 219.3 | 67% |
| 62 | Dee Winters | SF | 52.7 | 0.0 | 215.3 | 67% |
| 63 | Malcolm Rodriguez | DET | 65.7 | 4.0 | 228.3 | 59% |
| 64 | Patrick Jones II | MIN | 82.1 | 0.0 | 230.8 | 56% |
| 65 | Dennis Gardeck | ARI | 143.0 | 39.8 | 291.7 | 35% |
| 66 | Devin Bush Jr. | CLE | 76.1 | 0.0 | 224.8 | 55% |
| 67 | SirVocea Dennis | TB | 54.7 | 0.0 | 217.3 | 64% |
| 68 | Daiyan Henley | LAC | 56.7 | 0.0 | 219.3 | 62% |
| 69 | Mohamoud Diabate | CLE | 41.7 | 0.0 | 204.3 | 70% |
| 70 | Anthony Nelson | TB | 100.1 | 0.0 | 248.8 | 48% |
| 71 | Isaiah Land | IND | 53.7 | 0.0 | 216.3 | 63% |
| 72 | Arden Key | TEN | 109.1 | 5.9 | 257.8 | 43% |
| 73 | Willie Gay Jr. | NO | 96.3 | 0.0 | 216.3 | 53% |
| 74 | Clelin Ferrell | WAS | 96.0 | 0.0 | 244.7 | 49% |
| 75 | Drue Tranquill | KC | 127.4 | 14.6 | 247.4 | 40% |
| 76 | Andrew Van Ginkel | MIN | 136.2 | 23.4 | 256.2 | 39% |
| 77 | Khalil Mack | LAC | 240.4 | 127.6 | 360.4 | 21% |
| 78 | Ogbonnia Okoronkwo | CLE | 116.0 | 12.8 | 264.7 | 38% |
| 79 | Jamal Adams | TEN | 114.1 | 10.9 | 262.8 | 41% |
| 80 | Malik Harrison | BAL | 65.7 | 4.0 | 228.3 | 53% |
| 81 | Drake Thomas | SEA | 41.7 | 0.0 | 204.3 | 64% |
| 82 | Zack Baun | PHI | 87.1 | 0.0 | 235.8 | 47% |
| 83 | Akeem Davis-Gaither | CIN | 62.7 | 1.0 | 225.3 | 51% |
| 84 | Anfernee Jennings | NE | 92.3 | 0.0 | 212.3 | 48% |
| 85 | Yasir Abdullah | JAX | 41.7 | 0.0 | 204.3 | 64% |
| 86 | D'Marco Jackson | NO | 53.6 | 0.0 | 216.1 | 55% |
| 87 | Christian Rozeboom | LAR | 96.4 | 0.0 | 216.4 | 47% |
| 88 | Troy Dye | LAC | 69.7 | 8.0 | 232.3 | 45% |
| 89 | Thomas Incoom | CAR | 42.7 | 0.0 | 205.3 | 58% |
| 90 | Eku Leota | CAR | 44.7 | 0.0 | 207.3 | 60% |
| 91 | Bud Dupree | LAC | 131.1 | 27.9 | 279.8 | 28% |
| 92 | Amen Ogbongbemiga | CHI | 40.7 | 0.0 | 203.3 | 56% |
| 93 | Jihad Ward | MIN | 96.0 | 0.0 | 244.7 | 34% |
| 94 | Chazz Surratt | NYJ | 40.7 | 0.0 | 203.3 | 47% |
| 95 | Eric Wilson | GB | 66.7 | 5.0 | 229.3 | 35% |
| 96 | Troy Reeder | LAR | 63.7 | 2.0 | 226.3 | 35% |
| 97 | Kyle Van Noy | BAL | 138.1 | 34.9 | 286.8 | 21% |
| 98 | Za'Darius Smith | CLE | 112.1 | 8.9 | 260.8 | 26% |
| 99 | Matt Judon | ATL | 85.7 | 24.0 | 248.3 | 26% |
| 100 | Shaq Thompson | CAR | 52.7 | 0.0 | 215.3 | 33% |
| 101 | Denzel Perryman | LAC | 95.4 | 0.0 | 215.4 | 27% |
| 102 | DeMarcus Lawrence | DAL | 88.4 | 0.0 | 208.4 | 25% |
| 103 | Von Miller | BUF | 43.7 | 0.0 | 206.3 | 16% |
-
1. Ernest JonesTEN224.4 median
- Floor (P10)
- 111.6
- Ceiling (P90)
- 344.4
- Chance he plays
- 62%
-
2. Quay WalkerGB165.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 52.5
- Ceiling (P90)
- 285.3
- Chance he plays
- 65%
-
NYG161.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 48.5
- Ceiling (P90)
- 281.3
- Chance he plays
- 63%
-
4. Devin LloydJAX175.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 62.5
- Ceiling (P90)
- 295.3
- Chance he plays
- 56%
-
CHI186.2 median
- Floor (P10)
- 73.4
- Ceiling (P90)
- 306.2
- Chance he plays
- 54%
-
6. Jack SanbornCHI136.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 32.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 284.8
- Chance he plays
- 66%
-
7. Leo ChenalKC134.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 30.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 282.8
- Chance he plays
- 67%
-
MIA188.2 median
- Floor (P10)
- 75.4
- Ceiling (P90)
- 308.2
- Chance he plays
- 51%
-
ATL169.4 median
- Floor (P10)
- 56.6
- Ceiling (P90)
- 289.4
- Chance he plays
- 57%
-
10. Ivan PaceMIN136.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 23.5
- Ceiling (P90)
- 256.3
- Chance he plays
- 68%
-
11. YaYa DiabyTB144.0 median
- Floor (P10)
- 40.8
- Ceiling (P90)
- 292.7
- Chance he plays
- 60%
-
12. Nik BonittoDEN132.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 28.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 280.8
- Chance he plays
- 61%
-
13. Frankie LuvuWAS198.4 median
- Floor (P10)
- 85.6
- Ceiling (P90)
- 318.4
- Chance he plays
- 45%
-
14. Jaelan PhillipsMIA135.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 31.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 283.8
- Chance he plays
- 60%
-
15. T.J. WattPIT242.2 median
- Floor (P10)
- 129.4
- Ceiling (P90)
- 362.2
- Chance he plays
- 36%
-
NYG124.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 11.5
- Ceiling (P90)
- 244.3
- Chance he plays
- 68%
-
17. Damone ClarkDAL126.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 13.5
- Ceiling (P90)
- 246.3
- Chance he plays
- 65%
-
18. Henry To'oTo'oHOU112.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 8.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 260.8
- Chance he plays
- 68%
-
19. Nick BoltonKC118.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 14.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 266.8
- Chance he plays
- 64%
-
20. Zaven CollinsARI119.0 median
- Floor (P10)
- 15.8
- Ceiling (P90)
- 267.7
- Chance he plays
- 60%
-
21. Azeez OjulariNYG86.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 24.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 249.2
- Chance he plays
- 65%
-
22. Divine DeabloLV134.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 21.5
- Ceiling (P90)
- 254.3
- Chance he plays
- 55%
-
NYJ132.2 median
- Floor (P10)
- 19.4
- Ceiling (P90)
- 252.2
- Chance he plays
- 58%
-
24. Pete WernerNO125.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 12.5
- Ceiling (P90)
- 245.3
- Chance he plays
- 60%
-
25. Josh SweatPHI139.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 35.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 287.8
- Chance he plays
- 48%
-
26. Jonathon CooperDEN136.2 median
- Floor (P10)
- 23.4
- Ceiling (P90)
- 256.2
- Chance he plays
- 52%
-
27. Tuli TuipulotuLAC85.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 205.3
- Chance he plays
- 75%
-
28. Jack CampbellDET104.4 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 224.4
- Chance he plays
- 66%
-
29. Boye MafeSEA121.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 8.5
- Ceiling (P90)
- 241.3
- Chance he plays
- 57%
-
30. Jahlani TavaiNE152.4 median
- Floor (P10)
- 39.6
- Ceiling (P90)
- 272.4
- Chance he plays
- 46%
-
31. Nick HerbigPIT82.0 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 230.7
- Chance he plays
- 72%
-
32. Tony FieldsCLE84.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 22.5
- Ceiling (P90)
- 246.8
- Chance he plays
- 60%
-
33. Tavius RobinsonBAL83.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 22.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 246.3
- Chance he plays
- 58%
-
34. Blake CashmanMIN148.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 35.5
- Ceiling (P90)
- 268.3
- Chance he plays
- 44%
-
35. Dorian WilliamsBUF75.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 223.8
- Chance he plays
- 70%
-
36. K'Lavon ChaissonLV79.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 18.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 242.3
- Chance he plays
- 61%
-
37. Cody BartonDEN143.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 30.5
- Ceiling (P90)
- 263.3
- Chance he plays
- 46%
-
38. Nolan SmithPHI63.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 2.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 226.3
- Chance he plays
- 68%
-
39. Jack CochraneKC81.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 20.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 244.3
- Chance he plays
- 58%
-
MIN130.4 median
- Floor (P10)
- 17.6
- Ceiling (P90)
- 250.4
- Chance he plays
- 49%
-
41. Baron BrowningDEN99.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 247.8
- Chance he plays
- 58%
-
42. Tyrel DodsonSEA106.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 226.3
- Chance he plays
- 55%
-
43. Joshua UcheNE82.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 21.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 245.3
- Chance he plays
- 56%
-
44. Trenton SimpsonBAL62.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 225.2
- Chance he plays
- 70%
-
45. Segun OlubiIND73.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 12.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 236.3
- Chance he plays
- 62%
-
46. Odafe OwehBAL93.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 241.8
- Chance he plays
- 58%
-
47. Mack WilsonARI104.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 252.8
- Chance he plays
- 53%
-
48. Dre'Mont JonesSEA117.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 13.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 265.8
- Chance he plays
- 47%
-
49. Alex HighsmithPIT121.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 8.5
- Ceiling (P90)
- 241.3
- Chance he plays
- 50%
-
50. Derick HallSEA68.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 216.8
- Chance he plays
- 69%
-
51. K.J. BrittTB71.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 10.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 234.3
- Chance he plays
- 60%
-
52. Jack GibbensTEN102.4 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 222.4
- Chance he plays
- 57%
-
53. Nakobe DeanPHI71.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 219.8
- Chance he plays
- 68%
-
54. Jamien SherwoodNYJ78.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 226.8
- Chance he plays
- 63%
-
55. Isaiah McDuffieGB92.4 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 212.4
- Chance he plays
- 61%
-
56. Brian BurnsNYG108.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 228.3
- Chance he plays
- 54%
-
57. Harold LandryTEN131.4 median
- Floor (P10)
- 18.6
- Ceiling (P90)
- 251.4
- Chance he plays
- 44%
-
58. Byron YoungLAR112.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 232.3
- Chance he plays
- 53%
-
59. Christian EllissNE70.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 9.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 233.3
- Chance he plays
- 58%
-
60. Derrick BarnesDET89.4 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 209.4
- Chance he plays
- 60%
-
61. Owen PappoeARI56.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 219.3
- Chance he plays
- 67%
-
62. Dee WintersSF52.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 215.3
- Chance he plays
- 67%
-
DET65.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 4.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 228.3
- Chance he plays
- 59%
-
64. Patrick Jones IIMIN82.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 230.8
- Chance he plays
- 56%
-
65. Dennis GardeckARI143.0 median
- Floor (P10)
- 39.8
- Ceiling (P90)
- 291.7
- Chance he plays
- 35%
-
66. Devin Bush Jr.CLE76.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 224.8
- Chance he plays
- 55%
-
67. SirVocea DennisTB54.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 217.3
- Chance he plays
- 64%
-
68. Daiyan HenleyLAC56.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 219.3
- Chance he plays
- 62%
-
69. Mohamoud DiabateCLE41.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 204.3
- Chance he plays
- 70%
-
70. Anthony NelsonTB100.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 248.8
- Chance he plays
- 48%
-
71. Isaiah LandIND53.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 216.3
- Chance he plays
- 63%
-
72. Arden KeyTEN109.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 5.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 257.8
- Chance he plays
- 43%
-
73. Willie Gay Jr.NO96.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 216.3
- Chance he plays
- 53%
-
74. Clelin FerrellWAS96.0 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 244.7
- Chance he plays
- 49%
-
75. Drue TranquillKC127.4 median
- Floor (P10)
- 14.6
- Ceiling (P90)
- 247.4
- Chance he plays
- 40%
-
MIN136.2 median
- Floor (P10)
- 23.4
- Ceiling (P90)
- 256.2
- Chance he plays
- 39%
-
77. Khalil MackLAC240.4 median
- Floor (P10)
- 127.6
- Ceiling (P90)
- 360.4
- Chance he plays
- 21%
-
CLE116.0 median
- Floor (P10)
- 12.8
- Ceiling (P90)
- 264.7
- Chance he plays
- 38%
-
79. Jamal AdamsTEN114.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 10.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 262.8
- Chance he plays
- 41%
-
80. Malik HarrisonBAL65.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 4.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 228.3
- Chance he plays
- 53%
-
81. Drake ThomasSEA41.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 204.3
- Chance he plays
- 64%
-
82. Zack BaunPHI87.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 235.8
- Chance he plays
- 47%
-
CIN62.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 1.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 225.3
- Chance he plays
- 51%
-
NE92.3 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 212.3
- Chance he plays
- 48%
-
85. Yasir AbdullahJAX41.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 204.3
- Chance he plays
- 64%
-
86. D'Marco JacksonNO53.6 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 216.1
- Chance he plays
- 55%
-
LAR96.4 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 216.4
- Chance he plays
- 47%
-
88. Troy DyeLAC69.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 8.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 232.3
- Chance he plays
- 45%
-
89. Thomas IncoomCAR42.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 205.3
- Chance he plays
- 58%
-
90. Eku LeotaCAR44.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 207.3
- Chance he plays
- 60%
-
91. Bud DupreeLAC131.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 27.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 279.8
- Chance he plays
- 28%
-
CHI40.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 203.3
- Chance he plays
- 56%
-
93. Jihad WardMIN96.0 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 244.7
- Chance he plays
- 34%
-
94. Chazz SurrattNYJ40.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 203.3
- Chance he plays
- 47%
-
95. Eric WilsonGB66.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 5.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 229.3
- Chance he plays
- 35%
-
96. Troy ReederLAR63.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 2.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 226.3
- Chance he plays
- 35%
-
97. Kyle Van NoyBAL138.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 34.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 286.8
- Chance he plays
- 21%
-
98. Za'Darius SmithCLE112.1 median
- Floor (P10)
- 8.9
- Ceiling (P90)
- 260.8
- Chance he plays
- 26%
-
99. Matt JudonATL85.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 24.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 248.3
- Chance he plays
- 26%
-
100. Shaq ThompsonCAR52.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 215.3
- Chance he plays
- 33%
-
101. Denzel PerrymanLAC95.4 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 215.4
- Chance he plays
- 27%
-
102. DeMarcus LawrenceDAL88.4 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 208.4
- Chance he plays
- 25%
-
103. Von MillerBUF43.7 median
- Floor (P10)
- 0.0
- Ceiling (P90)
- 206.3
- Chance he plays
- 16%
Ordered by the expected total — the projection counted against the “Chance he plays” figure beside it. A row can therefore rank above one with a larger “Median”.
About these numbers
Some seasons ahead are not ranked for LB here, because what we have for them doesn't hold up; the seasons offered above are the ones we publish.
No ranking by the rest of the 2024 season and the 2025 season combined is shown. That combined total is tested for only some players at this position, and a ranking that left the rest out would not be a ranking of the position.
Points on this board are scored at: defensive touchdown 6, interception 6, sack 6, forced fumble 3, fumble recovery 3, pass defensed 3, solo tackle 2, tackle for loss 2, quarterback hit 1, assisted tackle 1.
This format also scores a blocked kick (3) and a safety (3), which we do not project at all — that leg is missing from these totals rather than counted as zero.
He was not a full-time starter last season. These figures start from his own most recent season and move every stat he is scored on by how much players at his position and age have actually changed over the same span. The range around them moves those stats together, the way real seasons did, reaches down to the seasons where a player's whole workload fell away, and was widened by exactly as much as we measured it had been too narrow, and the chance he plays is the historical rate for players like him at his age.
This total leaves out quarterback hits, which this scoring format counts at 1 point each: we do not project them past this season yet, because they are only charted from 2021 and no season-ahead projection of them has been checked against what happened. A starting linebacker records a median of 4 quarterback hits a season (2021-2025), about 4 points a season this total does not carry.
What these columns mean
- Team
- — His club today, from the current roster — not a week's depth chart, because these figures are for the 2027 season rather than for one game.
- Median
- — The middle of our projected fantasy points for the 2027 season: half of the simulated outcomes come in above it.
- Floor (P10)
- — The 10th percentile of the same projection: 10% of simulated outcomes come in below it.
- Ceiling (P90)
- — The 90th percentile: only 10% of simulated outcomes come in above it.
- Chance he plays
- — The chance he plays at least one game in the 2027 season. The figures to its left are for a season in which he plays at least one game, counting the games he may miss, which is not a promise of his role: on 41 rows here the floor is 0.0, because the range reaches down to seasons where a player's whole workload fell away; where it is a dash, the row carries no such chance and its figures already count the seasons he might not play.